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Taking a gamble on (TSTET.CA) - Might be Win-Win, Might get burned badly

Posted by: ballpark_frank on Oct 09, 07:18

Saw the price of the Taylor Swift Call derivative break the $7 mark, and did a little thinking:

Last projection for TSWIF OW I saw was $105-140
Had thought, like most others, the OW could break $150+, but looks like numbers are narrowing
Shorted the Call option max
Figure if TSWIF doesn't reach strike - well, that's an easy win (delist = $0)
Figure, even if TSWIF brings in up to $127, the short will still pay off (Box office - $120 strike price)
Of course, if TSWIF does a Barbie, I'm screwed - but looking at a net $22 range on the low end, vs a net $13 range on the high end (based on that last projection I saw) - seems like it's worth a decent gamble

Taking a gamble on (TSTET.CA) - Might be Win-Win, Might get burned badly ballpark_frank Oct 09, 07:18

And... still time left to bail if updated projections warrant it {nm} ballpark_frank Oct 09, 07:19

Inside post message (internal, not header), accidentally used wrong tab/abbreviation (TSWIF) - meant (TSTET). {nm} ballpark_frank Oct 09, 07:43

This one's only going one direction {nm} ndmaster Oct 09, 09:37

Famous Saying from the Game of BRIDGE: 'BET HIGH & SLEEP IN THE STREETS'. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 09, 12:10

I hope you went long on the put as well bc it looks like it's coming in much closer to 100 than 120 MattW Oct 14, 16:50

Sadly, no... ballpark_frank Oct 14, 23:23

+$170k (and kicking myself for not buying 'Put') {nm} ballpark_frank Oct 17, 04:28

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