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Thank you for the proper formulas...are there any important variables that may affect the numbers

Posted by: NLitend1 (a.k.a NLitend2) on Apr 20, 07:50 in response to Oleg Max's post of course it is all guestimate, but here is my take

Are those standard weekly drops? do certain types of movies drop more (eg. Scream4 isn't expected to hold well)?

The article states that marketing was/is badly done, is that a factor to consider? The grassroots marketing, on the other hand is strong--is there an historic reference to this and how does that affect the hold? What about the reviews, does that have a formula, and if so, do they make a distinction between audience reviews and critics' reviews? Finally, the exec says that the expansion is coming, but how well can that be trusted given its source? It seems a bit sketchy that they say they lacked to the film prints...maybe they are trying to manipulate the expansion.





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The Things They Carried (TTTHC) 150000 0.08 (0.00)          Fairyland (FARYL) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          Bau: Artist at War (BAUAW) 150000 0.02 (+0.01)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 30000 4.49 (+0.63)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 82.02 (+1.06)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 1 4.54 (+1.24)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 82.02 (+1.06)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 50000 4.54 (+1.24)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 1 18.93 (-0.62)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 40000 18.93 (-0.62)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 1 4.49 (+0.63)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 25000 4.49 (+0.63)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 25000 4.54 (+1.24)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 20000 18.93 (-0.62)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 25000 5.28 (+0.32)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 30000 4.84 (+0.57)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 25000 4.49 (+0.63)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 3 5.28 (+0.32)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 5.28 (+0.32)          The Drama (TDRAM) 20000 20.87 (+1.48)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 20000 15.46 (+1.59)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 25000 4.54 (+1.24)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 20000 18.93 (-0.62)          Untitled SpaceX Project (SPACX) 1 11.08 (-0.84)          Untitled SpaceX Project (SPACX) 50000 11.08 (-0.84)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 25000 293.58 (-1.12)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 5000 453.03 (-0.99)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 150000 13.60 (+0.09)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 82.02 (+1.06)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 201 68.87 (+0.49)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 150000 8.84 (-0.07)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 150000 9.73 (-0.03)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 5.28 (+0.32)          The Drama (TDRAM) 55000 20.87 (+1.48)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 50000 15.46 (+1.59)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 50000 18.93 (-0.62)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.84 (+0.57)          Untitled SpaceX Project (SPACX) 150000 11.08 (-0.84)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 150000 4.49 (+0.63)          Bunker (BUNKR) 150000 5.72 (-0.16)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 150000 15.46 (+1.59)          Bruce Lee (BRLEE) 150000 13.92 (+0.89)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 75000 15.46 (+1.59)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 136 253.64 (-0.21)          Untitled SpaceX Project (SPACX) 25000 11.08 (-0.84)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 82.02 (+1.06)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 30000 4.84 (+0.57)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 150000 4.54 (+1.24)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 150000 4.54 (+1.24)          The Pout-pout Fish (POUTF) 100 2.50 (0.00)