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Thank you for the proper formulas...are there any important variables that may affect the numbers

Posted by: NLitend1 (a.k.a NLitend2) on Apr 20, 07:50 in response to Oleg Max's post of course it is all guestimate, but here is my take

Are those standard weekly drops? do certain types of movies drop more (eg. Scream4 isn't expected to hold well)?

The article states that marketing was/is badly done, is that a factor to consider? The grassroots marketing, on the other hand is strong--is there an historic reference to this and how does that affect the hold? What about the reviews, does that have a formula, and if so, do they make a distinction between audience reviews and critics' reviews? Finally, the exec says that the expansion is coming, but how well can that be trusted given its source? It seems a bit sketchy that they say they lacked to the film prints...maybe they are trying to manipulate the expansion.





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The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 25 279.89 (-4.59)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 133.93 (-1.81)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 10000 279.89 (-4.59)          Easy's Waltz (EWLTZ) 149975 9.09 (-0.06)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 149975 14.85 (-0.18)          In the Grey aka Untitled Guy Rit (NGREY) 149975 24.18 (-0.14)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 2.92 (+2.77)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 2.92 (+2.77)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 132210 7.05 (+0.59)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 1 9.15 (+0.33)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 14.81 (+2.80)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 1 9.15 (+0.33)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 149999 9.15 (+0.33)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 14.81 (+2.80)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 1000 4.00 (0.00)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 150000 7.05 (+0.59)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 500 13.48 (+3.48)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 279.89 (-4.59)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 17790 7.05 (+0.59)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 149999 171.59 (-2.30)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 270 4.00 (0.00)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 46000 4.00 (0.00)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 279.89 (-4.59)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 10000 13.48 (+3.48)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 10000 279.89 (-4.59)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 171.59 (-2.30)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 9975 279.89 (-4.59)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 25000 7.05 (+0.59)          Lilo & Stitch (LILST) 150000 138.80 (+0.93)          Venom: The Last Dance $130M Bloc (VENM3.BW) 24500 10.14 (+0.36)          Venom: The Last Dance $130M Bloc (VENM3.BW) 500 10.14 (+0.36)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 171.59 (-2.30)          PAW Patrol 3 (PAWP3) 1500 36.31 (+0.01)          Lilo & Stitch (LILST) 3500 138.80 (+0.93)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 50000 279.89 (-4.59)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 149999 14.81 (+2.80)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 13.48 (+3.48)          Famous (FAMOS) 50000 22.63 (+0.92)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 171.59 (-2.30)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 171.59 (-2.30)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 13.48 (+3.48)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 14.81 (+2.80)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 14.81 (+2.80)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 19 204.19 (+2.73)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 150000 7.05 (+0.59)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 150000 7.05 (+0.59)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.00 (0.00)