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I can't see anything breaking out until maybe PIRT4. I know FFUR4 did 70m in April of 2009, but it was the only new movie and there wasn't
much competition att hat moment
MTC: FFUR5 78 (whoa!), PROM 10, Hoodwinked 8, Dylan Dog 3 {nm} Apr 25, 10:42
what do you mean 'whoa'? You think it's a HIGH estimate ??? {nm} Apr 25, 10:44
he definitely is surprised :) .... however i think Fast Five has commedable amount of buzz for a ripping opening... {nm} Apr 25, 11:29
That depends. If this number is realistic, nothing says the movie has any legs. {nm} Apr 25, 11:44
Very true {nm} Apr 25, 11:50
According to the formula that means Fast 5 should open well above 78 mil right? {nm} Apr 25, 10:46
That's the "rule" and 78 is well above 60. {nm} Apr 25, 10:54
let me rephrase the question; Do YOU think it's a high estimate. ( I think it is. Ridicolously high ! ) {nm} Apr 25, 11:16
I posted some numbers below your previous post asking about theaters counts facto {nm} Apr 25, 11:28
Thanks - I see it now {nm} Apr 25, 11:38
Why does SS need to offer his opinion before you give a reasoning on why you think it's 'ridiculously high'. {nm} Apr 25, 11:44
because - woooow... this FF5 thread could be the biggest ever in recent hsx-history - but still; because.... Apr 25, 12:08
SS is not obligated to offer an 'opinion'. But you volunteered your opinion and we're curious to your reasoning. {nm} Apr 25, 12:15
??? Apr 25, 12:23
The discussion is movies and you say you said you can explain your reasoning re FFUR5. {nm} Apr 25, 12:34
So 74 million is doable, but 78 million is high. Gotcha. :) {nm} Apr 25, 13:04
No you don't. 74 is way too high. But that's my humble opininon. What's yours ? :-) {nm} Apr 25, 13:20
no way in hell it does that. just my opinion, though {nm} Apr 25, 10:52
I think the trailers look awesome {nm} Apr 25, 11:13
I was hoping for plus 75 for FFUR5. I love my, I love my, I love my MTC {nm} Apr 25, 10:52
78? Thanks MTC, I needed a good laugh! {nm} Apr 25, 10:55
it has been out opening the last one in every territory so unless the bo malaise is unique to US... {nm} Apr 25, 11:03
We'll see. I'll believe it when I see it. I'll happily eat my crow if I'm wrong, but.. Apr 25, 11:08
WoW really?? Is that because of the movie or how the market has been? {nm} Apr 25, 11:14
BO has been down and it's not summer. I don't think TROCK is that much of a draw. Having original cast helps, though. {nm} Apr 25, 11:18
BO has been down because the movie selection year-to-date has sucked. That changes this weekend. {nm} Apr 25, 11:20
I can't see anything breaking out until maybe PIRT4. I know FFUR4 did 70m in April of 2009, but it was the only new movie and there wasn't Apr 25, 11:30
But you are basing all this on pure instinct/gut.. ? Can you break it down in numbers, please? Apr 25, 11:31
What was MTC on IRNM2? IRNM2 opened at $128M, higher than IRMN at $102M. {nm} Apr 25, 11:41
I have MTC at 150 for IRNM2 {nm} Apr 25, 11:42
By that measure, MTC is conservative with this sequel... {nm} Apr 25, 11:46
I found it now, too - posted by notfabio on May 3, 2010 Apr 25, 11:50
Searching and haven't found it yet - found the MTC for the weekend after.. {nm} Apr 25, 11:47
Woah.. What competition is this movie gonna have?? Dylan Dogg? Hoodwinked?? {nm} Apr 25, 11:33
and we are looking at a PG-13 flick and a G rated movie {nm} Apr 25, 11:42
We'll see! Either way I hope it makes me some H$! {nm} Apr 25, 11:43
Thats the important thing {nm} Apr 25, 11:44
Everyone here is making good points! Apr 25, 11:48
Call it a gut instinct then. That's about all I can say! {nm} Apr 25, 11:49
lol...who needs a gut when halt is on Saturdays usually. ;-) {nm} Apr 25, 11:53
And not just Saturdays but saturday evening..... well for reg stock {nm} Apr 25, 11:54
EXACTLY! I hope it either bombs or breaks out b/c I will be right there making profits! {nm} Apr 25, 11:55
I think last years F&F could have down well more than almost 71 mil if not for Monsters Vs Aliens. Apr 25, 11:49
this, I think (hope) {nm} Apr 25, 12:06
And looking back at this time last year, there were a LOT of shorts... {nm} Apr 25, 11:23
May I suggest that you go back two years, and calculate what you would've lost if you went short on Fast 4? Apr 25, 11:29
Don't have records that far back. What did it halt at? {nm} Apr 25, 11:31
Less than 130, it seems - adjusted to 195 {nm} Apr 25, 11:36
I think that may be a lil high for dylan dogg IMO. Thats 3000 per theatre. {nm} Apr 25, 10:59
LMFAO @ 78. Way off. {nm} Apr 25, 11:00
Fast and Furious 2 years ago took (almost) everyone here on HSX by surprise. Do you remember? {nm} Apr 25, 11:01
I can imagine that there's some "cognitive dissonance" in effect, here(?) Apr 25, 11:09
Last week Antibody posted that Fast5 could get 3500+ Apr 25, 11:20
My 2011 Easter though for you... maybe don't put all your eggs in one basket {nm} Apr 25, 11:27
lol oh i don't {nm} Apr 25, 11:28
I put all my Easter eggs in the same burlap sack. They were fine. {nm} Apr 25, 11:54
Also, IMAX, which will inflate prices even more. {nm} Apr 25, 11:09
Yeah, I don't get it. It may or may not be a bit high, but in no way is it laughably so. {nm} Apr 25, 11:21
Much to Thor's chagrin, this is also the first 'Summer Movie' ("April" be damned) Apr 25, 11:21
Looking at last years F&F movie numbers and theater counts its definitely doable {nm} Apr 25, 11:23
Wrong movie. Look at Fast & Furious from 2009 not 2 fast 2 furious {nm} Apr 25, 11:36
Fast and Furious 2009... Apr 25, 11:41
Read your post wrong dsbman. Thought u were saying 78 was laughable. my bad {nm} Apr 25, 11:55
Tagging [FFUR5], [PROM], [DEADN], [HDWN2]. {nm} Apr 27, 00:26
