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Is 19 far enough below mid 20s for "the rule" to kick in? {nm}

Posted by: second gary (a.k.a 80181597) on Nov 07, 17:42 in response to xiayun's post So not great news for J&J; the two trackings are...

Rs mid 20s jack and Immortals. Low teens Edgar {nm} notfabio Nov 07, 15:53

Tagging RS: [JAJIL] [IMRTL] [HOOVR] {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 07, 16:03

So not great news for J&J; the two trackings are close for the other two, so they could go anywhere xiayun Nov 07, 16:04

Is 19 far enough below mid 20s for "the rule" to kick in? second gary Nov 07, 17:42

It's over 25%, so could be considered significant, especially with MTC being lower {nm} xiayun Nov 07, 18:03

sorry actually 24% {nm} xiayun Nov 07, 18:03

The Shawn/RT-Flixster number for JAJIL is low, too: 4.9k. {nm} second gary Nov 07, 18:08

It's been low for pretty much everything recently (even adjusting for movies coming in for OW lower than expected). Maybe less traffic {nm} GMov Nov 07, 18:11

I think the number for HAKU3 was ballparky, around 13k-15k. The TWRHS number was under 10k. {nm} second gary Nov 07, 18:14

So is this just saying that we can't be 100% sure using this method? {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 07, 18:21

Well, this "method" began as a coincidence group one week in the summer and a lark. But last week I felt my own suspicions about TWRHS... second gary Nov 07, 18:29

Ah, I see. Is there any way to actually get those figures for myself (and do some "research" on future movies using that method)? {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 07, 19:04

Sure: this is the number on any given film's page at Rotten Tomatoes, the "user ratings" number below the large-font percentage #. second gary Nov 07, 20:32

Thanks for that, Gary. I'll have a play around with it. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 07, 22:29

So why did it go up $5 after I left my computer? {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Nov 07, 19:28

RS numbers. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 07, 19:57

But MTC is below RS and according to xiayun, that's bad. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Nov 07, 20:15

Yes, but RS numbers were posted *after* MTC. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 07, 20:31

Now it's going back down accordingly. {nm} Jay_Beezy Nov 08, 04:01





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J.K. Simmons (JKSIM) 1 55.60 (+0.16)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 9.11 (+0.62)          Materialists (MTRLS) 50 11.68 (0.00)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 8.71 (+0.47)          Wildwood (WILDW) 74999 6.58 (-0.03)          The Fire Inside (FLNTS) 150000 8.39 (+0.06)          The Fire Inside (FLNTS) 150000 8.39 (+0.06)          Hercules (HRCUL) 150000 32.55 (-0.13)          The Electric State (ELCST) 150000 0.21 (+0.04)          Homestead (HMSTD) 150000 10.41 (+0.12)          Homestead (HMSTD) 150000 10.41 (+0.12)          Mortal Kombat 2 (MKMB2) 5 39.05 (0.00)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 1 273.32 (-3.50)          Solo Leveling - ReAwakening (SOLVL) 150000 4.43 (-0.10)          Solo Leveling - ReAwakening (SOLVL) 150000 4.43 (-0.10)          The Senior (SENIR) 100 2.94 (-0.84)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 3 171.50 (+0.67)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 3 171.50 (+0.67)          Nosferatu (NOSFR) 50000 30.08 (-0.10)          King of Kings (KOKNG) 1 15.28 (0.00)          Relay (RELAY) 2 3.35 (-0.22)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 5 64.11 (-0.15)          Relay (RELAY) 150000 3.35 (-0.22)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 1 20.27 (-0.16)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 1 78.92 (+0.74)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 20.27 (-0.16)          Dirty Angels (DRTYA) 150000 2.65 (+0.03)          In the Grey aka Untitled Guy Rit (NGREY) 2 24.15 (+0.17)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 2 4.44 (+0.11)          Brave the Dark (BRVTD) 3 5.18 (+0.10)          Wicked (WICKD) 5 302.52 (+1.04)          The Concierge (CNCRG) 150000 1.64 (+0.04)          Dan Da Dan (DDDAN) 150000 2.33 (+0.02)          In the Grey aka Untitled Guy Rit (NGREY) 150000 24.15 (+0.17)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 150000 4.44 (+0.11)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 273.32 (-3.50)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 273.32 (-3.50)          Brave the Dark (BRVTD) 150000 5.18 (+0.10)          Downton Abbey 3 (DWTA3) 3 28.47 (+0.06)          Downton Abbey 3 (DWTA3) 3 28.47 (+0.06)          Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 3 172.26 (+0.11)          Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 3 172.26 (+0.11)          The Strangers: Chapter 2 (STRN4) 2 20.06 (+0.14)          The Strangers: Chapter 2 (STRN4) 2 20.06 (+0.14)          Y2K (Y2K) 3 16.29 (+0.14)          Y2K (Y2K) 3 16.29 (+0.14)          They Found Us (THFUS) 1 14.88 (+0.02)          They Found Us (THFUS) 1 14.88 (+0.02)          Until Dawn (UDAWN) 3 23.81 (+0.02)          Until Dawn (UDAWN) 3 23.81 (+0.02)