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Underpredicted Prometheus by about 10M, but got Madagascar spot on. {nm}

Posted by: riczhang on Jun 08, 17:29 in response to Paul2k's post DL: PROME Fri 26/OW 68 (according to rival studios),...

DL: PROME Fri 26/OW 68 (according to rival studios), MADG3 18/57 Paul2k Jun 08, 16:42

I am going to be on the wrong end of the OW... AGAIN. Geez. {nm} dioneta Jun 08, 16:42

You and me both. Two weeks in a row. {nm} Tanker Jun 08, 17:07

Derivatives aside, do you play only openers and news, or are you long-term invested in some things? {nm} Dave3626 Jun 08, 18:00

I play a mix of both. I probably won't be playing the OW ever again. {nm} Tanker Jun 08, 18:10

Don't give up on that. I play the OWs off and on. I enjoy them because they close on Fridays which is where the movie stocks should as well. {nm} mrbeankc Jun 08, 19:17

Could I get an extra 4M Prometheus? ;) {nm} thatpj Jun 08, 16:43

Thats awfully low for MADG3, it should have at least a 18-26-20 weekend.. Just my guess ;-) {nm} karspov Jun 08, 16:49

MADG2 was 17.6-27.5-18.0 in November 2008. {nm} second gary Jun 08, 17:37

yikes!...I swear I only bought one ticket this morning! {nm} tealfan Jun 08, 16:50

Wait until you see your credit card bill. There was a slight error. {nm} mrbeankc Jun 08, 20:43

My first million dollar loss...yay! {nm} ShaneSpear Jun 08, 16:50

Will readily admit I was wrong on PROME :-), and I'm happy for its success as I enjoyed the movie quite a lot {nm} xiayun Jun 08, 17:04

there were a lot of people who took Prometheus possibly doing well personally for some reason. You had a calm, reasonable view point {nm} Moviesnob Jun 08, 17:14

People do that for some reason. One can't help but remember a certain someone who was extremely anti Hunger Games. mrbeankc Jun 08, 19:15

Well, it is pretty easy to take thing personally when you are getting attacked for your opinion. {nm} thatpj Jun 08, 21:38

Depends on how you present your opinion. {nm} mrbeankc Jun 09, 00:21

You are a big man to admit you made a mistake in your analysis. I've made more money than I've lost following your analysis. Tanker Jun 08, 17:17

As long as I'm beating my wife in the game I don't care is my philosophy {nm} mrbeankc Jun 08, 19:19

My Prometheus comment, based on not having seen the movie, in the body. Dales Jun 08, 21:07

Continued... Dales Jun 08, 21:10

"premature epostulation" heh, good one... Well, anyhoo, Terminator (the first) had only stellar reviews. PROME is controversial because of Facto Jun 10, 14:42

FOX is now predicting 56 {nm} RazorHawk Jun 08, 17:08

"But Fox, the studio that specializes in lowering expectations, disputes thos [sic] numbers." {nm} Dales Jun 08, 17:13

So everyone giving up on the PROME Friday front loading theory already? elchan Jun 08, 17:14

That's not taking into account the Fri-Sat drop that will definitely come. Fox's number would be a more reasonable estimate. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jun 08, 17:22

agreed with this. And great for Mad3, opening much better than I anticipated. {nm} ShawnMR Jun 08, 17:28

I hope so cause I forgot to flip the OW. {nm} ryancoke2 Jun 08, 18:43

Underpredicted Prometheus by about 10M, but got Madagascar spot on. riczhang Jun 08, 17:29

No, no youdid not. {nm} magicdreamer Jun 10, 06:08

Shorted it at $173.49, covered at $155.15, made my money and got out, if the mediocre WOM is any indication... austpow Jun 08, 17:35

Mediocre? I think WOM is going to be brutal as the film sucked. {nm} LonePirate Jun 08, 17:43

Mediocre, brutal, and sucked: all words that could describe Contraband, which I actually just paid to see. I want my 4.99 back. {nm} Dave3626 Jun 08, 18:01

Hear, hear... {nm} Facto Jun 08, 18:07

I was at 64 PROME / MADG3 62... if those numbers move a bit, this could be my first hit weekend in awhile. {nm} dsbman Jun 08, 17:36

My guess is that this is helped by the IMAX/3D gross. With Avengers and now this...now everything will be in IMAX 3D... Catzan Jun 08, 19:20

And for once...I was around before halt to take advantage of my theory and long the OW. =) Catzan Jun 08, 19:21

Can't say I'm surprised. Everyone I knew was excited about it and I haven't heard a poor thing yet. {nm} MiyazakiFan Jun 08, 19:44

How about now? Are you surprised now?? :-) {nm} Facto Jun 09, 12:55

Or how about now? {nm} magicdreamer Jun 10, 06:09

DL Update: PROME $21m Fri & $55m Wkend / MADG3 $19.5m Fri & $58m Wkend 15-May-2007 Jun 08, 22:46

Going double or nothing and shorted again. {nm} austpow Jun 08, 23:44





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