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ugh, Spidey...you're gonna make me do extra math next month {nm}

Posted by: tealfan on Jun 20, 19:32 in response to Paul2k's post THR: pre-release tracking for [SPID4] suggests 6-day...

THR: pre-release tracking for [SPID4] suggests 6-day opening of 125 or more. (adjust should be Tue-Thur + [Fri-Sun x 2.7]) Paul2k Jun 20, 18:52

"Total awareness strong across every demo...def interest, males of all ages appear eager...interest also is good among females < 25, less Paul2k Jun 20, 18:55

I really don't have the numbers to compare to other past super hero movies but... skamanfu Jun 20, 19:09

Do you mean no film "ever" has matched those numbers, or just no film coming up in the future? {nm} Paul2k Jun 20, 19:11

No film that is currently in their list of upcoming films. Numbers only go through 7/6/12 {nm} skamanfu Jun 20, 19:12

Not surprising considering the dearth of "must see" product. The real test is to see how it compares when BATM3 comes on the radar. {nm} Paul2k Jun 20, 19:13

Not sure why the formatting was all funky. But the info is at the bottom of the long blank space. {nm} skamanfu Jun 20, 19:11

Comparison for MIB3 two weeks out: 07, 93, 49, 12 (closest comp I could quickly find) {nm} skamanfu Jun 20, 19:14

Thanks for providing the actual numbers, btw. {nm} Paul2k Jun 20, 19:18

No prob. If D.Mac has a problem with it, just let me know. I know someone used to post them years ago. {nm} skamanfu Jun 20, 19:20

the real question is: how much of that 125 will be spent Tue-Thur without the multiplier? {nm} Oleg Max Jun 20, 19:05

FYI, the last year we had July 4th fall on a Wednesday was 2007. The top opener that year was Transformers 1 which opened on Monday the 1st Paul2k Jun 20, 19:08

no {nm} Oleg Max Jun 20, 19:26

no, no one asked for reboot so fast... {nm} Oleg Max Jun 20, 19:29

ugh, Spidey...you're gonna make me do extra math next month tealfan Jun 20, 19:32

Isn't SPID4 a 2.2 multiplier because of July 4th? {nm} PVL Admin Jun 20, 22:48

I wouldn't think so, considering it's still a 3 day BO count. {nm} elchan Jun 21, 05:23

I wouldn't think so, considering it's still a 3 day BO count. {nm} elchan Jun 21, 05:23

Hmm, how did that happen? {nm} elchan Jun 21, 05:24

Weak JohnnyGodard Jun 27, 04:36





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Star Wars directed by Shawn Levy (SWAR4) 2997 153.53 (+3.53)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 4.32 (-0.73)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 23.35 (-0.38)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 23.35 (-0.38)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 70.05 (+0.50)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 70.05 (+0.50)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 149999 236.46 (+0.44)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 150000 13.24 (-0.10)          Joseph Quinn (JQUIN) 25000 90.03 (-0.25)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 150000 13.24 (-0.10)          Joseph Quinn (JQUIN) 25000 90.03 (-0.25)          Star Wars directed by Shawn Levy (SWAR4) 150000 153.53 (+3.53)          Alex Garland (AGARL) 25000 32.71 (0.00)          The Fantastic Four: First Steps (FANF2) 150000 223.37 (-1.66)          The Legend of Ochi (LOCHI) 149999 15.89 (-0.17)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 149999 69.00 (-0.16)          The King of Kings (KOKNG) 150000 48.57 (+3.01)          The King of Kings (KOKNG) 150000 48.57 (+3.01)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 20.21 (-0.14)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 149999 13.43 (-0.05)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 20.21 (-0.14)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 149999 14.22 (+0.88)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 3.89 (-0.15)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 3.89 (-0.15)          Sinners (SINER) 149999 106.15 (+0.23)          Warfare (WARFR) 9899 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Until Dawn (UDAWN) 149999 27.30 (-0.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 3 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 8888 28.75 (+1.13)          Sinners (SINER) 186 106.15 (+0.23)          Warfare (WARFR) 1 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 9899 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 8989 28.75 (+1.13)          Small Dark Look (EASP2) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          Warfare (WARFR) 8888 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 117986 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 89898 28.75 (+1.13)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 4.32 (-0.73)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 4.32 (-0.73)          Warfare (WARFR) 130673 28.75 (+1.13)          The Amateur (AMTUR) 150000 36.70 (-0.05)          The Alchemist (ALCHM) 150000 6.27 (-0.76)          Warfare (WARFR) 9999 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 78798 28.75 (+1.13)          The Alchemist (ALCHM) 150000 6.27 (-0.76)          Star Wars directed by Shawn Levy (SWAR4) 150000 153.53 (+3.53)          Star Wars directed by Shawn Levy (SWAR4) 2997 153.53 (+3.53)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 4.32 (-0.73)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 23.35 (-0.38)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 23.35 (-0.38)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 70.05 (+0.50)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 70.05 (+0.50)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 149999 236.46 (+0.44)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 150000 13.24 (-0.10)          Joseph Quinn (JQUIN) 25000 90.03 (-0.25)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 150000 13.24 (-0.10)          Joseph Quinn (JQUIN) 25000 90.03 (-0.25)          Star Wars directed by Shawn Levy (SWAR4) 150000 153.53 (+3.53)          Alex Garland (AGARL) 25000 32.71 (0.00)          The Fantastic Four: First Steps (FANF2) 150000 223.37 (-1.66)          The Legend of Ochi (LOCHI) 149999 15.89 (-0.17)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 149999 69.00 (-0.16)          The King of Kings (KOKNG) 150000 48.57 (+3.01)          The King of Kings (KOKNG) 150000 48.57 (+3.01)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 20.21 (-0.14)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 149999 13.43 (-0.05)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 20.21 (-0.14)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 149999 14.22 (+0.88)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 3.89 (-0.15)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 3.89 (-0.15)          Sinners (SINER) 149999 106.15 (+0.23)          Warfare (WARFR) 9899 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Until Dawn (UDAWN) 149999 27.30 (-0.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 3 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 8888 28.75 (+1.13)          Sinners (SINER) 186 106.15 (+0.23)          Warfare (WARFR) 1 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 9899 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 8989 28.75 (+1.13)          Small Dark Look (EASP2) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          Warfare (WARFR) 8888 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 117986 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 89898 28.75 (+1.13)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 4.32 (-0.73)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 4.32 (-0.73)          Warfare (WARFR) 130673 28.75 (+1.13)          The Amateur (AMTUR) 150000 36.70 (-0.05)          The Alchemist (ALCHM) 150000 6.27 (-0.76)          Warfare (WARFR) 9999 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 78798 28.75 (+1.13)          The Alchemist (ALCHM) 150000 6.27 (-0.76)          Star Wars directed by Shawn Levy (SWAR4) 150000 153.53 (+3.53)          Star Wars directed by Shawn Levy (SWAR4) 2997 153.53 (+3.53)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 4.32 (-0.73)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 23.35 (-0.38)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 23.35 (-0.38)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 70.05 (+0.50)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 70.05 (+0.50)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 149999 236.46 (+0.44)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 150000 13.24 (-0.10)          Joseph Quinn (JQUIN) 25000 90.03 (-0.25)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 150000 13.24 (-0.10)          Joseph Quinn (JQUIN) 25000 90.03 (-0.25)          Star Wars directed by Shawn Levy (SWAR4) 150000 153.53 (+3.53)          Alex Garland (AGARL) 25000 32.71 (0.00)          The Fantastic Four: First Steps (FANF2) 150000 223.37 (-1.66)          The Legend of Ochi (LOCHI) 149999 15.89 (-0.17)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 149999 69.00 (-0.16)          The King of Kings (KOKNG) 150000 48.57 (+3.01)          The King of Kings (KOKNG) 150000 48.57 (+3.01)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 20.21 (-0.14)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 149999 13.43 (-0.05)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 20.21 (-0.14)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 149999 14.22 (+0.88)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 3.89 (-0.15)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 3.89 (-0.15)          Sinners (SINER) 149999 106.15 (+0.23)          Warfare (WARFR) 9899 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Until Dawn (UDAWN) 149999 27.30 (-0.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 3 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 8888 28.75 (+1.13)          Sinners (SINER) 186 106.15 (+0.23)          Warfare (WARFR) 1 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 9899 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 8989 28.75 (+1.13)          Small Dark Look (EASP2) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          Warfare (WARFR) 8888 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 117986 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 89898 28.75 (+1.13)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 4.32 (-0.73)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 4.32 (-0.73)          Warfare (WARFR) 130673 28.75 (+1.13)          The Amateur (AMTUR) 150000 36.70 (-0.05)          The Alchemist (ALCHM) 150000 6.27 (-0.76)          Warfare (WARFR) 9999 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 78798 28.75 (+1.13)          The Alchemist (ALCHM) 150000 6.27 (-0.76)          Star Wars directed by Shawn Levy (SWAR4) 150000 153.53 (+3.53)          Star Wars directed by Shawn Levy (SWAR4) 2997 153.53 (+3.53)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 4.32 (-0.73)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 23.35 (-0.38)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 23.35 (-0.38)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 70.05 (+0.50)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 70.05 (+0.50)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 149999 236.46 (+0.44)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 150000 13.24 (-0.10)          Joseph Quinn (JQUIN) 25000 90.03 (-0.25)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 150000 13.24 (-0.10)          Joseph Quinn (JQUIN) 25000 90.03 (-0.25)          Star Wars directed by Shawn Levy (SWAR4) 150000 153.53 (+3.53)          Alex Garland (AGARL) 25000 32.71 (0.00)          The Fantastic Four: First Steps (FANF2) 150000 223.37 (-1.66)          The Legend of Ochi (LOCHI) 149999 15.89 (-0.17)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 149999 69.00 (-0.16)          The King of Kings (KOKNG) 150000 48.57 (+3.01)          The King of Kings (KOKNG) 150000 48.57 (+3.01)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 20.21 (-0.14)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 149999 13.43 (-0.05)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 20.21 (-0.14)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 149999 14.22 (+0.88)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 3.89 (-0.15)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 3.89 (-0.15)          Sinners (SINER) 149999 106.15 (+0.23)          Warfare (WARFR) 9899 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Until Dawn (UDAWN) 149999 27.30 (-0.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 3 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 8888 28.75 (+1.13)          Sinners (SINER) 186 106.15 (+0.23)          Warfare (WARFR) 1 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 9899 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 8989 28.75 (+1.13)          Small Dark Look (EASP2) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          Warfare (WARFR) 8888 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 117986 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 89898 28.75 (+1.13)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 4.32 (-0.73)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 4.32 (-0.73)          Warfare (WARFR) 130673 28.75 (+1.13)          The Amateur (AMTUR) 150000 36.70 (-0.05)          The Alchemist (ALCHM) 150000 6.27 (-0.76)          Warfare (WARFR) 9999 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 78798 28.75 (+1.13)          The Alchemist (ALCHM) 150000 6.27 (-0.76)          Star Wars directed by Shawn Levy (SWAR4) 150000 153.53 (+3.53)          Star Wars directed by Shawn Levy (SWAR4) 2997 153.53 (+3.53)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 4.32 (-0.73)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 23.35 (-0.38)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 23.35 (-0.38)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 70.05 (+0.50)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 70.05 (+0.50)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 149999 236.46 (+0.44)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 150000 13.24 (-0.10)          Joseph Quinn (JQUIN) 25000 90.03 (-0.25)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 150000 13.24 (-0.10)          Joseph Quinn (JQUIN) 25000 90.03 (-0.25)          Star Wars directed by Shawn Levy (SWAR4) 150000 153.53 (+3.53)          Alex Garland (AGARL) 25000 32.71 (0.00)          The Fantastic Four: First Steps (FANF2) 150000 223.37 (-1.66)          The Legend of Ochi (LOCHI) 149999 15.89 (-0.17)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 149999 69.00 (-0.16)          The King of Kings (KOKNG) 150000 48.57 (+3.01)          The King of Kings (KOKNG) 150000 48.57 (+3.01)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 20.21 (-0.14)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 149999 13.43 (-0.05)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 20.21 (-0.14)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 149999 14.22 (+0.88)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 3.89 (-0.15)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 3.89 (-0.15)          Sinners (SINER) 149999 106.15 (+0.23)          Warfare (WARFR) 9899 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Until Dawn (UDAWN) 149999 27.30 (-0.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 3 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 8888 28.75 (+1.13)          Sinners (SINER) 186 106.15 (+0.23)          Warfare (WARFR) 1 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 9899 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 8989 28.75 (+1.13)          Small Dark Look (EASP2) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          Warfare (WARFR) 8888 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 117986 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 89898 28.75 (+1.13)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 4.32 (-0.73)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 4.32 (-0.73)          Warfare (WARFR) 130673 28.75 (+1.13)          The Amateur (AMTUR) 150000 36.70 (-0.05)          The Alchemist (ALCHM) 150000 6.27 (-0.76)          Warfare (WARFR) 9999 28.75 (+1.13)          Warfare (WARFR) 78798 28.75 (+1.13)          The Alchemist (ALCHM) 150000 6.27 (-0.76)          Star Wars directed by Shawn Levy (SWAR4) 150000 153.53 (+3.53)          Star Wars directed by Shawn Levy (SWAR4) 2997 153.53 (+3.53)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 4.32 (-0.73)