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Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}

Posted by: grammar on Jul 01, 10:43 in response to jamesbik333's post time to short both ted & magic mike

Official Adjusts Antibody Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm} jamesbik333 Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm} ryancoke2 Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. grammar Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm} dioneta Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm} dioneta Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED. BionicMoron Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm} elchan Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm} BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm} LanceStorm22 Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will. Catzan Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm} LanceStorm22 Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2... Catzan Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday... LanceStorm22 Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is... LanceStorm22 Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor. BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have b4bad Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm} dioneta Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm} elchan Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's LanceStorm22 Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm} stevie1der328 Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant. elchan Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm} stevie1der328 Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%. Catzan Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks. elchan Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's LanceStorm22 Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm} Rednax Jul 02, 08:53





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Werewolves - Opening Weekend (WEREW.OW) 100000 3.44 (-0.02)          Chris Evans (CEVAN) 25000 169.33 (0.00)          Wolfs (WOLFS) 150000 0.85 (-0.02)          Red One (REDON) 150000 89.11 (-0.24)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 0.98 (-0.02)          Ice Age 6 (ICEA6) 9899 73.79 (+1.24)          Ice Age 6 (ICEA6) 99999 73.79 (+1.24)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 149999 18.97 (-0.30)          The Day the Earth Blew Up: A Loo (DTEBU) 149999 26.37 (+0.88)          Ice Age 6 (ICEA6) 11200 73.79 (+1.24)          Better Man (BETRM) 4000 21.67 (0.00)          The Fire Inside (FLNTS) 10000 9.07 (+0.26)          Cleaner (CENER) 49500 9.19 (0.00)          Ice Age 6 (ICEA6) 139999 73.79 (+1.24)          Mike & Nick & Nick & Alice (MNANA) 5000 11.99 (0.00)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 3000 14.41 (-0.12)          Please Don't Feed The Children (PDFTC) 10000 4.13 (0.00)          Bethlehem (BTLHM) 3000 32.41 (0.00)          Ice Age 6 (ICEA6) 149999 73.79 (+1.24)          The Fire Inside (FLNTS) 150000 9.07 (+0.26)          The Fire Inside (FLNTS) 150000 9.07 (+0.26)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 600 11.75 (+0.25)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 11200 11.75 (+0.25)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 3200 11.75 (+0.25)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 2000 158.98 (-0.66)          Theater of Thought (THOTH) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 10000 77.70 (-0.75)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 7600 77.70 (-0.75)          Snow White (SNWHT) 100000 211.67 (+0.33)          A Winter's Journey (AWNTJ) 150000 4.03 (-0.09)          A Winter's Journey (AWNTJ) 150000 4.03 (-0.09)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 149999 13.89 (-0.17)          Hurry Up Tomorrow (HUTMR) 4000 11.98 (-0.13)          Hurry Up Tomorrow (HUTMR) 9200 11.98 (-0.13)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 149999 77.70 (-0.75)          Ice Age 6 (ICEA6) 85000 73.79 (+1.24)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 600 21.96 (+0.37)          Standing on the Shoulders of Kit (SOTSK) 150000 1.83 (+0.06)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 18000 21.96 (+0.37)          Ice Age 6 (ICEA6) 60000 73.79 (+1.24)          A Winter's Journey (AWNTJ) 90000 4.03 (-0.09)          A Winter's Journey (AWNTJ) 149998 4.03 (-0.09)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 40000 14.41 (-0.12)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 3200 17.51 (+0.29)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 33000 77.70 (-0.75)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 39999 77.70 (-0.75)          Solo Leveling - ReAwakening (SOLVL) 1 3.41 (0.00)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 18000 17.51 (+0.29)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 20000 158.98 (-0.66)          Ice Age 6 (ICEA6) 25000 73.79 (+1.24)