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It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on Jul 02, 14:58 in response to Roger More's post If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not -...

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm} Antibody Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy. BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW xiayun Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though xiayun Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm} numbersix_99 Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm} ShawnMR Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm} baronblacksheep Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday. Roger More Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier dioneta Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm} Roger More Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jul 03, 07:55





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Final Destination: Bloodlines (FDES6) 150000 23.73 (-0.07)          Mufasa: The Lion King - Opening (LION2.OW) 100000 61.40 (-1.82)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 4.22 (-0.32)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 25000 55.46 (+1.70)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 692 48.07 (+8.07)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 48.07 (+8.07)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 48.07 (+8.07)          Queer (QUEER) 150000 3.28 (+0.09)          Alpha (ALPH) 50000 2.00 (0.00)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 48.07 (+8.07)          Amber Midthunder (AMIDT) 25000 20.00 (0.00)          The Return (TRETU) 40000 2.92 (-0.21)          Evil Dead Untitled (EVLD6) 1000 34.26 (-0.08)          The Return (TRETU) 10000 2.92 (-0.21)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 300 19.89 (-0.81)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 19580 48.07 (+8.07)          The Trip (TETRP) 10000 8.85 (+0.89)          The Trip (TETRP) 10000 8.85 (+0.89)          Attack on Titan: THE LAST ATTACK (ATTLA) 10000 8.67 (-1.41)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 1500 29.13 (-1.57)          Attack on Titan: THE LAST ATTACK (ATTLA) 10000 8.67 (-1.41)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 48.07 (+8.07)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 24.59 (+1.14)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 1 0.14 (0.00)          Superman (SUPRM) 1000 237.74 (+1.20)          Venom: The Last Dance $130M Bloc (VENM3.BW) 25000 11.69 (-0.14)          Mufasa: The Lion King - Opening (LION2.OW) 100000 61.40 (-1.82)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 2500 48.07 (+8.07)          Bowen Yang (BYANG) 25000 88.75 (+18.71)          Mufasa: The Lion King - Opening (LION2.OW) 100000 61.40 (-1.82)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 9.97 (+1.58)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 239.85 (-4.83)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 239.85 (-4.83)          28 Years Later Part II (28LT4) 150000 65.83 (+1.89)          Michelle Yeoh (MYEOH) 25000 143.45 (-0.28)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 48.07 (+8.07)          The Friend (FREND) 150000 4.22 (-0.32)          Attack on Titan: THE LAST ATTACK (ATTLA) 150000 8.67 (-1.41)          Rothko (ROTHK) 150000 0.06 (0.00)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 61486 29.13 (-1.57)          Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 150000 14.32 (-0.06)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 239.85 (-4.83)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 150000 55.46 (+1.70)          Bowen Yang (BYANG) 25000 88.75 (+18.71)          Bowen Yang (BYANG) 25000 88.75 (+18.71)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 1 239.85 (-4.83)          Standing on the Shoulders of Kit (SOTSK) 150000 1.53 (-0.05)          Paul Mescal (PMESC) 25000 37.89 (+11.42)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 150000 210.18 (+3.44)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 2115 239.85 (-4.83)