HSX Forum

Movies

Actually, that's wrong. Updated here:

Posted by: accountant_4_Jesus (a.k.a ) on Jul 18, 19:09 in response to accountant_4_Jesus' post I used my trusted friend, maths, and reasonable estimates.

At an average ticket price of ~$8, AVNGR sold ~26M tickets on its OW. However, dioneta has since informed me that the first weekend average is usually higher, so if we say ~$10 per ticket, then it sold ~20.7M tickets. The 3D uptick is between $4 and $6 per ticket, so we need to factor that in to the tickets sold and reduce that number proportionally. It's been said that around 52% of AVNGR's OW came from 3D screenings, meaning that of the $207.4M OW, $107.85M came from 3D screenings. Discount this for the 3D uptick, and the normal gross before the uptick from those screenings would be $72.85M, and at an estimated average ticket price of ~$10, that means that ~7.3M tickets were sold in 3D. That means that BATM3 would actually have to sell ~3.5M more tickets to equal AVNGR's gross (if my estimates are close), and that if it did sell ~4.5M more, it would end up somewhere around $215M.

THR: BATM3 has already racked up 25 mil in advance sales, one of the best #s all time; could do 185-195. Paul2k Jul 18, 17:13

Of AVNGR's OW of 207.4, roughly 35 mil came from the 3d upcharge. {nm} Paul2k Jul 18, 17:15

At an estimated ticket price of ~$8, BATM3 would need to sell ~4.5M more tickets than AVNGR to get the record, to make up for no 3D. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jul 18, 17:20

*average ticket price, I mean. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jul 18, 17:20

The $8 average accounts for discount shows, matinees, etc... First run averages are higher {nm} dioneta Jul 18, 17:30

How much higher, do you think? {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jul 18, 17:39

I'm sure one of the "insiders" on the board has access to the actual number...All public sites do not seem to separate them out {nm} dioneta Jul 18, 17:45

I'm sure it has to be closer to $10 if not slightly more... (a pure and total speculation though) {nm} dioneta Jul 18, 17:47

Avengers was released in 50+ less IMAX screens than TDKR {nm} afranco158 Jul 18, 17:32

Where do you find this info? I always wanted to find it myself {nm} darknightz Jul 18, 18:42

I used my trusted friend, maths, and reasonable estimates. accountant_4_Jesus Jul 18, 18:56

Actually, that's wrong. Updated here: accountant_4_Jesus Jul 18, 19:09

ahhh thank you for that in depth response :) Much appreciated! {nm} darknightz Jul 18, 20:07

So if it sold same number of tickets as Avengers, WEBO would be only 172.4! What about Imax? {nm} Rednax Jul 19, 00:59

So it would need to sell 17% more tickets, roughly, to beat the record, and that seems somewhat unlikely, with the more mature audien austpow Jul 19, 02:45

This was the same rhetoric, for AVNGR, except I remember the top number being bandied around was $170M, even up to the opening day. ;-) {nm} elchan Jul 18, 17:33





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Afterburn (AFBRN) 150000 13.94 (+0.44)          Afterburn (AFBRN) 150000 13.94 (+0.44)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 50000 60.70 (+0.11)          Chitty Chitty Bang Bang (CCBB) 5000 39.70 (+2.05)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 2.18 (+0.12)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 150000 16.14 (-0.90)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 50000 16.14 (-0.90)          Until Dawn (UDAWN) 2000 34.30 (-0.05)          The Super Mario Bros. Movie 2 (MARI2) 900 393.68 (+1.62)          Until Dawn (UDAWN) 63860 34.30 (-0.05)          Shelby Oaks (SHOAK) 100000 5.04 (-1.93)          Shelby Oaks (SHOAK) 150000 5.04 (-1.93)          Shelby Oaks (SHOAK) 50000 5.04 (-1.93)          Big Trouble in Little China (BTILC) 900 2.47 (-0.03)          Big Trouble in Little China (BTILC) 900 2.47 (-0.03)          The Wrong Girl (TWRNG) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Mickey 17 (MCKY7) 3728 65.12 (-4.35)          Shelby Oaks (SHOAK) 150000 5.04 (-1.93)          Shelby Oaks (SHOAK) 150000 5.04 (-1.93)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 2.18 (+0.12)          Bride Hard (BRIDH) 150000 2.18 (+0.12)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 75000 16.14 (-0.90)          Chitty Chitty Bang Bang (CCBB) 75000 39.70 (+2.05)          Chitty Chitty Bang Bang (CCBB) 75000 39.70 (+2.05)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 10000 5.82 (-0.51)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 10000 164.61 (+1.53)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 10000 19.14 (-0.02)          Barbarella (BARBA) 15000 46.11 (-0.88)          Barbarella (BARBA) 25000 46.11 (-0.88)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 150000 5.82 (-0.51)          Meghann Fahy (MFAHY) 44 3.44 (0.00)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 12500 67.32 (-0.79)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 25000 67.32 (-0.79)          Magazine Dreams (MAGZN) 150000 2.40 (0.00)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 5763 38.12 (-0.27)          Monopoly (MONOP) 150000 12.17 (+0.91)          Shadow Force (SHDWF) 150000 12.78 (+1.15)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 19.14 (-0.02)          Chitty Chitty Bang Bang (CCBB) 150000 39.70 (+2.05)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 23.27 (+0.06)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 23.27 (+0.06)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 2000 277.84 (+0.35)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 50000 45.09 (-1.18)          Star Trek Origin Story (TREK4) 20000 40.21 (-0.02)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 50000 45.09 (-1.18)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 10000 13.79 (-0.02)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 50000 45.09 (-1.18)          Monopoly (MONOP) 150000 12.17 (+0.91)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 150000 16.14 (-0.90)          Blade (BLAD1) 50000 63.97 (+0.35)