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also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec {nm}

Posted by: JDolphin on Nov 26, 01:46 in response to second gary's post Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am...

RS says low single digits for [COLC2] and mid teens for [KILTS] {nm} Moviesnob Nov 25, 18:02

I've seen a strangely high number of COLC2 TV ads, not that this means anything. I wonder if even those who saw the 1st remember it. {nm} dsbman Nov 25, 18:09

Here are some futures that should cause some conversation Moviesnob Nov 25, 18:17

no way! {nm} RazorHawk Nov 25, 18:28

I believe... one of the five will prove close; but the other four are low. second gary Nov 25, 18:41

Remember, December openers tend to have lower OW's and great legs. Highest December opener ever is $77MM. GMov Nov 25, 18:44

A good point. second gary Nov 25, 19:28

Fair poins as well...I agree on Parental Guidance...am indifferent on Les Mis...but why may I ask do you think Hobbit will do so well? Seems {nm} GMov Nov 25, 19:50

Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am legend" for best December opening. second gary Nov 25, 20:16

Avatar would likely have opened better but there was a blizzard that hit 1/4 of the country alfpaulytd2012 Nov 25, 20:31

Seems logical. I have checked with some local theaters and seems like presales are solid but nowhere near the tent poles like GMov Nov 25, 20:43

also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec JDolphin Nov 26, 01:46

I'd forgotten the W opening for LRDR3. That's a good point in HOBIT's favour. {nm} second gary Nov 26, 06:45

I got my tickets to The Hobbit High Frame Rate 3D on the 18th Dec...Can't wait.... but I guess I will. Lucas73 Nov 27, 00:38

BTW I was wondering what that OW multiplier will be for the movies opening on the 25th since its a Tuesday... gardavou Nov 25, 19:39

Scroll down to the bottom of this page, find "Glossary." There, if you go to the entry for "Adjust Price"... second gary Nov 25, 19:55

TY gardavou Nov 25, 20:01

I don't suppose they indicate whether the XMas ones are for just the 3 day weekend? {nm} Paul2k Nov 25, 19:08

nope, but good question {nm} Moviesnob Nov 25, 19:14

Hobbit is gravely under predicted there. thatpj Nov 25, 20:50

Like Avatar's 77 mil? {nm} PVL Admin Nov 26, 10:33

Well, I have *seen* KILTS.... {nm} Facto Nov 25, 18:20

Shame Pitt wasn't better. Though I did enjoy Ray Liotta. {nm} He was looting me, ruining me! Nov 25, 18:32

Pitt was ok, turning in another sociopath character, against JGAND. Saw 7 Psychopaths today, and that was more enjoyable. {nm} Facto Nov 26, 16:47





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Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 57 171.15 (-0.81)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 30000 6.10 (+1.33)          Heretic (HERTC) 150000 26.57 (-0.66)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 150000 8.79 (+0.22)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 150000 8.79 (+0.22)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 175.51 (-1.04)          Moana (MOAN1) 149910 171.14 (+1.03)          Superboys of Malegaon (SOMLG) 21000 1.20 (0.00)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 8.01 (+0.55)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 8.01 (+0.55)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 100000 5.45 (+0.45)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 150000 20.70 (+0.64)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 150000 20.70 (+0.64)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 6.10 (+1.33)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 6.10 (+1.33)          Gladiator II H$70 Call (GLAD2.CA) 25000 2.22 (0.00)          Wicked (WICKD) 150000 288.34 (+0.35)          Thunderbolts* (TBOLT) 150000 210.20 (+0.66)          Gladiator II H$70 Put (GLAD2.PU) 25000 4.24 (+0.07)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 100000 69.88 (+0.17)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 175.51 (-1.04)          The Colors Within (TCLRW) 21000 1.70 (0.00)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.22 (-0.78)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 20000 6.10 (+1.33)          The Strangers: Chapter 2 (STRN4) 150000 20.04 (+0.08)          Jurassic World Rebirth (JURA7) 10000 296.36 (+1.25)          Jurassic World Rebirth (JURA7) 10000 296.36 (+1.25)          Valiant One (VLNT1) 21000 6.22 (-0.01)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.22 (-0.78)          The Beast (TBEAS) 25000 14.89 (-0.05)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 150000 4.24 (+0.27)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 150000 4.24 (+0.27)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 1000 8.01 (+0.55)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 26.85 (+0.28)          Kung Fury 2 (KFURY) 5000 0.01 (-0.01)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 50000 6.10 (+1.33)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 26.85 (+0.28)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 21000 5.79 (0.00)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 1000 6.10 (+1.33)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 1000 37.07 (-0.56)          Rule Breakers (RULBR) 20000 5.64 (0.00)          Magazine Dreams (MAGZN) 20000 2.68 (0.00)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 5000 26.85 (+0.28)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 50000 11.22 (-0.78)          Inheritance (NHTNC) 21000 2.38 (0.00)          The Beast (TBEAS) 50000 14.89 (-0.05)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFCN) 150000 118.16 (+1.24)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFCN) 281 118.16 (+1.24)          Christopher Nolan (CNOLA) 25000 161.60 (+0.50)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 50000 6.10 (+1.33)