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Roger, thanks so much for putting this together. Truthfully, I'm honored that you even included me in the list and

Posted by: FilmGo on Jan 02, 20:28 in response to RogerMore's post Following on from last night's movie prediction accuracy...

I'm simply stunned that I had the best average on both years.  As far as how to make money doing this... I'm still trying to figure that out.  I've been doing this for almost 5 years now and I've yet to make a dime... it's all been for the love of box office.  If any one knows anybody that would like to pay me to be their own personal box office psychic, I'm all ears!

Following on from last night's movie prediction accuracy thread, here are the accuracy figures for 2011 and 2010. RogerMore Jan 01, 09:27

Time for RS to update its model. They are consistent losers. {nm} elchan Jan 01, 09:38

Can you believe they are a business? Makes me think I should start my own movie tracking company. {nm} RogerMore Jan 01, 09:54

i dont think they make much money off it. it supplements their main business (they are a theater chain) {nm} Moviesnob Jan 01, 12:35

Then I hope they don't rely on it when deciding how many theatres should show the new releases :) {nm} RogerMore Jan 01, 14:44

It might work for them, at least on a small scale, their data might line up for them, but it's less useful on a national scale {nm} Moviesnob Jan 01, 15:04

Yeah, I'm just being snarky. Thanks for the info. {nm} RogerMore Jan 01, 16:21

So here is the answer to JDolphin's question about how prediction sites performed with blockbusters: RogerMore Jan 01, 09:52

Wow - thanks a lot for all that work!! Happy New Year! {nm} JDolphin Jan 01, 13:20

How did I do overall at BOF for 2011? think somewhere in the 73-75% range? {nm} xiayun Jan 01, 10:05

I'm away from my computer at the moment, but for Jan to May 2012 you were at 77%, second to EW RogerMore Jan 01, 10:54

thx for putting all that together {nm} tealfan Jan 01, 10:24

Just wondering, for those in the know. How do these prediction companies make money from their predictions? elchan Jan 01, 14:01

I wouldn't say I am in the know, but movie studios and theatre companies would be the main customers RogerMore Jan 01, 14:43

to be clear - most "tracking" companies do not predict box office, they measure marketing. {nm} Moviesnob Jan 01, 14:45

Roger, thanks so much for putting this together. Truthfully, I'm honored that you even included me in the list and FilmGo Jan 02, 20:28





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The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 288 30.13 (+0.19)          Stealth (STELT) 399 2.07 (+0.01)          Spider-Woman (SPDWM) 79 33.93 (+0.04)          Spinal Tap II (STAP2) 79 19.71 (+0.06)          Untitled SpaceX Project (SPACX) 79 21.33 (-0.06)          The Amateur (AMTUR) 50000 37.97 (+0.84)          Long Day’s Journey Into Night (LDSJN) 999 0.26 (0.00)          Scary Stories To Tell In The Dar (SSTI2) 299 5.21 (-0.02)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 77 28.22 (+0.03)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 25000 148.31 (-0.40)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 239 7.62 (0.00)          Millers in Marriage (MILRS) 299 2.92 (0.00)          Wicked H$100 Call (WICKD.CA) 25000 5.11 (-0.15)          Locked (LOCKD) 199 5.70 (+0.05)          Just Watch Me (JUSWM) 159 6.09 (-0.03)          Moana 2 H$130 Call Wed-Sun (MOAN2.CA) 25000 3.51 (+1.51)          Sinners (SINER) 25000 82.84 (+0.14)          Ghostbusters animated (GBUST) 99 17.63 (0.00)          The Governesses (GVRNS) 1000 0.09 (-0.01)          KIlling Castro (KILLC) 199 8.52 (+0.05)          Ronan Boyle and the Bridge of Ri (RBOYL) 99 20.52 (0.00)          Eternity (ETERN) 99 12.67 (-0.04)          The Smack (SMACK) 999 0.61 (0.00)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 99 15.55 (+0.01)          The Joy Luck Club 2 (TJLC2) 99 11.29 (+0.04)          Violent Night 2 (VILN2) 79 19.71 (-0.08)          Voltron (VOLTN) 3 65.88 (+0.01)          Famous (FAMOS) 149999 20.77 (+1.43)          Thread: An Insidious Tale (THRED) 99 18.74 (+0.02)          Send Help (SENDH) 79 29.13 (-0.48)          Red One (REDON) 45071 86.83 (-1.95)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 99 12.88 (-0.02)          Heretic (HERTC) 150000 26.62 (-0.30)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 79 35.53 (+0.02)          Sleeping Dogs (SLPDG) 999 0.21 (-0.02)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 3 137.15 (-0.22)          Play Dirty (PLDRT) 99 19.52 (-0.16)          Scarface (SCARF) 149 2.10 (-0.01)          Scarface (SCARF) 5 2.10 (-0.01)          One Thousand Paper Cranes (OTPCR) 49999 0.01 (-0.02)          Switzerland (SWITZ) 25000 2.56 (-0.12)          Untitled M. Night Shyamalan aka (GDGRD) 95 19.78 (-0.04)          Shockwave (SHKWV) 1499 0.74 (+0.02)          Famous (FAMOS) 25001 20.77 (+1.43)          Long Day’s Journey Into Night (LDSJN) 999 0.26 (0.00)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 79 18.68 (-0.01)          A Real Pain (ARLPN) 150000 5.75 (+0.70)          The Familiars (FAMIL) 99 15.88 (-0.04)          A Real Pain (ARLPN) 150000 5.75 (+0.70)          The Hood (THOOD) 199 7.17 (0.00)