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I'll stand by my BLSDS numbers, but I don't expect many people were expecting the fall off a cliff of TWLI2 and all of my revisions where in

Posted by: Vashta Nerada (a.k.a H-Mogul) on Dec 05, 17:47 in response to Mist's post I think the issue here is that the numbers given in the...

the same direction. DOWN. It's not like I whipsawed the market with a post.  IIRC TWLI2 was about $50 above my first delist estimat based on TWLIT dropoffs. It just turned out that it performed that much  less TWLIT which itself had really sucky legs. And it's still priced at about $50 drop after falling in the last week about $30.

Are you saying I shouldn't revise as new numbers come in.

Now here is the important part. Where is your math to show I was $5 to low on BLSDS? If you are going to say show math you better show your math too. There was nothing to stop you from doing that and I still wonder why your post wasn't deleted too.

so DMac is moderating the projected delists hmm Dec 05, 12:38

I think the more impressive thingy to look at is that HSX is moderating the boards on a Saturday {nm} RazorHawk Dec 05, 12:54

are you saying that speculation on delists with logical math should also be banned? sneak Dec 05, 13:11

and to my point [BLDSD] runoff posted a while ago sneak Dec 05, 13:14

Hey I mentioned your post in the post above. Works for me you took a shot and put yourself out there. Vashta Nerada Dec 05, 17:34

and here on [TWLI2] sneak Dec 05, 13:20

good question hmm Dec 05, 15:03

I think the issue here is that the numbers given in the offending posts were clearly wrong and may have scared people who didnt want to Mist Dec 05, 15:23

I'll stand by my BLSDS numbers, but I don't expect many people were expecting the fall off a cliff of TWLI2 and all of my revisions where in Vashta Nerada Dec 05, 17:47

so all we need now is for D.Mac hmm Dec 05, 18:20

Showing your math. {nm} Antibody Dec 06, 11:07

I use the simple method that states a weekends gross is equal to the following 7 days gross and then make adjustments for genre/audience Mist Dec 05, 18:24

are there some typos you wish to correct in your message here in terms of numbers {nm} hmm Dec 05, 18:42

Yeah but you already auto corrected them on-the-fly didnt you? 155 and 170 = 255 and 270, there you go. {nm} Mist Dec 05, 18:46

Well duh! We got new numbers today. And they were worse then the numbers I was using. Everybody should adjust on the fly when there is new Vashta Nerada Dec 05, 20:07

But it some of those strongest legs where fueled by Holiday. Which isn't in effect now, but I probably should have bumped my hold Vashta Nerada Dec 05, 19:29

Out of curiosity, are there forum rules posted somewhere that I'm not seeing with regards to what can and can't be posted? {nm} NotASenator Dec 05, 13:43

yes {nm} mickpix Dec 05, 17:18





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The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 2156 8.99 (+1.53)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 20.04 (+0.05)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 1145 174.50 (-2.05)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 18.60 (-0.80)          Parthenope (PRTNP) 228 2.54 (+0.28)          Parthenope (PRTNP) 188 2.54 (+0.28)          Homestead (HMSTD) 21000 10.29 (0.00)          Materialists (MTRLS) 120000 11.72 (+0.12)          Revival (RVIVL) 598 0.07 (+0.01)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Mandalorian & Grogu (SWAR3) 25000 220.00 (+0.06)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 2144 6.74 (+1.97)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 7738 174.50 (-2.05)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 1085 6.74 (+1.97)          The Man in My Basement (TMIMB) 20000 2.43 (0.00)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 100000 5.57 (+0.57)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 50000 19.30 (+0.02)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 50000 5.73 (+0.02)          Nightbitch (NTBTC) 31000 8.75 (-0.02)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 5156 8.99 (+1.53)          The Lost Boys (LOSTB) 20000 2.80 (0.00)          Wicked (WICKD) 80000 289.73 (+1.74)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 18.60 (-0.80)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 101 20.93 (+0.87)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 18.60 (-0.80)          The Return (TRETU) 31000 7.52 (+0.01)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.42 (-0.58)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 30000 174.50 (-2.05)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 25000 11.42 (-0.58)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 20000 18.60 (-0.80)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Famous (FAMOS) 20000 20.66 (-1.27)          One Thousand Paper Cranes (OTPCR) 805 0.06 (+0.02)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 19000 174.50 (-2.05)          One Thousand Paper Cranes (OTPCR) 7998 0.06 (+0.02)          The History Of Sound (HISND) 20000 1.71 (0.00)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Haunting In Wicker Park aka (TRUEH) 50000 3.23 (+0.01)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 100000 5.57 (+0.57)          Acorns (ACRNS) 10000 83.12 (-0.48)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.42 (-0.58)          Werewolves - Opening Weekend (WEREW.OW) 100000 5.24 (+0.24)          The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 20000 2.95 (0.00)          Not Without Hope (NWOHP) 199 0.03 (+0.01)          The Giant's House (TGNTH) 50000 5.51 (-0.02)          The Gauntlet (GNTLT) 50000 39.91 (+0.13)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 19000 174.50 (-2.05)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 10000 10.00 (0.00)          Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most (GROM2) 9989 0.14 (+0.07)          The Fire Inside (FLNTS) 150000 8.31 (-0.05)