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lets check the math for your 'good instinct' players...
Posted by: RazorHawk on Mar 23, 09:36 in response to Facto's post A few on HSX "knew". All projections said 50-53...
"right before halt, stock rose"
"Some among us had good instincts"
Around 4:oo pm PST Divergent was priced around $148
The price halted at $149.82 (the 'good instinct' players made $182k profits)
*But* it cost the 'good instinct' players $148k in comission to buy ($182k profit - $148k comission = $34k profit)
*But* if they flipped from short to long then it cost them $296k in comission ($182 profit - $296k comission = $-114k profits)
Now the 'good instinct' players are holding Divergent long and it will cost another $149k to dump or $298k to flip back to short.
'Good Instinct' players either made $34k or lost $114k and now get to choose whether to lose another $149k or lose another $298k
Looks like your 'good instinct' players lost money.
Divergent - 56 mill RazorHawk Mar 23, 07:49
Muppets Most Wanted - 16.5 mill RazorHawk Mar 23, 08:24
Miss piggy, u will be missed {nm} karspov Mar 23, 08:41
Good for my portfolio here, but bad for my BoxOfficeChamps studio. Oh well. {nm} MattW Mar 23, 08:42
what's the name of your studio there? Oleg Max Mar 23, 11:19
Dang, you're way up there. Mine is Chicka Chicka. {nm} MattW Mar 23, 14:16
So even if we added Muppets ENTIRE OW to Divergent's, MTC still would've been .5M high on its $73M Divergent estimate. :-) {nm} KalElFan Mar 23, 10:20
God's Not Dead - 8.5 mill from 780 locations RazorHawk Mar 23, 08:25
A few on HSX "knew". All projections said 50-53 or 52-55 yestd. Even still, right before halt, stock rose. Some among us had good instincts. Facto Mar 23, 09:04
lets check the math for your 'good instinct' players... RazorHawk Mar 23, 09:36
Most excellent, Razor! This made my day. Favorite post of the week, easily. My position is good, I lost nothing - in fact, I stand to gain. {nm} Facto Mar 23, 09:39
great post ! {nm} JMT-NL Mar 23, 10:39
V nice analysis. I would posit this subjective point KurtPilo Mar 23, 12:04
Right on the money, I shorted it when it was $161, and covered at $147, since it was looking to adjust higher. {nm} elchan2012 Mar 23, 12:35
I shorted it at $170, thought about covering it when it was 147 but didn't... still have it. {nm} Filmstardust Mar 23, 16:48
I pulled out sat morn...when it was right in the middle of Deadline's range {nm} tealfan Mar 23, 13:20
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