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V nice analysis. I would posit this subjective point

Posted by: KurtPilo on Mar 23, 12:04 in response to RazorHawk's post lets check the math for your 'good instinct' players...

Perhaps the fast$ / marginal money was short and with it pricing on top of projections  they covered 

Divergent - 56 mill RazorHawk Mar 23, 07:49

Muppets Most Wanted - 16.5 mill RazorHawk Mar 23, 08:24

Miss piggy, u will be missed {nm} karspov Mar 23, 08:41

Good for my portfolio here, but bad for my BoxOfficeChamps studio. Oh well. {nm} MattW Mar 23, 08:42

what's the name of your studio there? Oleg Max Mar 23, 11:19

Dang, you're way up there. Mine is Chicka Chicka. {nm} MattW Mar 23, 14:16

So even if we added Muppets ENTIRE OW to Divergent's, MTC still would've been .5M high on its $73M Divergent estimate. :-) {nm} KalElFan Mar 23, 10:20

God's Not Dead - 8.5 mill from 780 locations RazorHawk Mar 23, 08:25

A few on HSX "knew". All projections said 50-53 or 52-55 yestd. Even still, right before halt, stock rose. Some among us had good instincts. Facto Mar 23, 09:04

lets check the math for your 'good instinct' players... RazorHawk Mar 23, 09:36

Most excellent, Razor! This made my day. Favorite post of the week, easily. My position is good, I lost nothing - in fact, I stand to gain. {nm} Facto Mar 23, 09:39

great post ! {nm} JMT-NL Mar 23, 10:39

V nice analysis. I would posit this subjective point KurtPilo Mar 23, 12:04

Right on the money, I shorted it when it was $161, and covered at $147, since it was looking to adjust higher. {nm} elchan2012 Mar 23, 12:35

I shorted it at $170, thought about covering it when it was 147 but didn't... still have it. {nm} Filmstardust Mar 23, 16:48

I pulled out sat morn...when it was right in the middle of Deadline's range {nm} tealfan Mar 23, 13:20





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Y2K (Y2K) 150000 16.19 (+0.04)          Jehanne d'Arc (JDARC) 20634 32.20 (-0.10)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 74057 174.45 (-2.10)          Nightbitch (NTBTC) 150000 8.75 (-0.02)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 7.87 (+3.10)          Werewolves - Opening Weekend (WEREW.OW) 100000 5.36 (+0.36)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 95874 65.44 (-0.61)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 9.00 (+1.54)          Werewolves (WEREW) 150000 16.06 (-0.44)          Werewolves (WEREW) 150000 16.06 (-0.44)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 150000 81.21 (+1.39)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 50000 81.21 (+1.39)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 150000 81.21 (+1.39)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 100000 69.57 (-0.14)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.63 (-0.37)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 20.06 (+0.07)          Famous (FAMOS) 150000 21.15 (-0.78)          Famous (FAMOS) 150000 21.15 (-0.78)          Venom: The Last Dance $130M Bloc (VENM3.BW) 25000 9.78 (-0.07)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 100000 69.57 (-0.14)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 100000 69.57 (-0.14)          Wonder Woman 3 (WOND3) 150000 19.55 (-0.02)          Gladiator II H$70 Call (GLAD2.CA) 25000 2.16 (-0.06)          Gladiator II H$70 Call (GLAD2.CA) 25000 2.16 (-0.06)          Wonder Woman 3 (WOND3) 150000 19.55 (-0.02)          Acorns (ACRNS) 50000 84.09 (+0.49)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 100000 5.63 (+0.63)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Werewolves - Opening Weekend (WEREW.OW) 100000 5.36 (+0.36)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 7500 36.13 (+0.04)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.63 (-0.37)          Leigh Whannell (LWHAN) 25000 50.69 (-0.14)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 19.01 (-0.39)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 20.06 (+0.07)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 149975 14.99 (+0.12)          They Found Us (THFUS) 149975 15.01 (-0.86)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Ken Jeong (KJEON) 24975 46.73 (-0.33)          Elio (ELIO) 26517 134.44 (+0.18)          Jason Mewes (JMEWE) 24975 4.23 (-0.05)          Zach Galifianakis (ZGALI) 24975 38.10 (+0.12)          Danny Ramirez (DARAM) 24975 87.44 (+0.50)          Running Man (TRUNM) 150000 66.89 (-0.22)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 1350 10.00 (0.00)          Levon's Trade aka Levon Cade (LEVON) 150000 24.40 (-0.11)          The Day the Earth Blew Up: A Loo (DTEBU) 149975 29.99 (-0.41)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 48253 174.45 (-2.10)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 49778 174.45 (-2.10)