HSX Forum

Movies

mabye! {nm}

Posted by: professor smartbrain (a.k.a mickpix) on Apr 21, 15:30 in response to tenchi7's post Is Star7 $300 undervalued atm?

Is Star7 $300 undervalued atm? tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:23

star7 is at ~350 {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 15:27

If the industry is looking at a 230-250M opening that means it's worth about 650. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:29

Says who? Not the article you linked. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 15:33

All projections credited to unnamed execs, insiders and analysts. Quite a poor excuse for an article. {nm} Initech Apr 21, 15:43

Still 4500 screens and one of the best trailers ever. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:50

That's a $53K per theatre average. HOBT1 did $20,900, AVATR did $22,300, LRDR3 did $19,600. I expect STAR7 is going to be huge... RogerMore Apr 21, 16:10

(using the midpoint of the $230-$250M prediction above) {nm} RogerMore Apr 21, 16:11

Why is anyone trying to use previous December history for Star Wars 7 opening? That data is completely irrelevant nilephelan Apr 21, 23:08

Because you can't move Christmas, change shopping behavior, travel plans and predict winter storms. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 23:59

Christmas is bigger than any film and the whole period is one big long weekend. You're just going to disregard histories clear evidence? {nm} Shrike Apr 22, 06:08

We are talking Dec. 17th-20th, not Christmas and this is an event film like no other. Name another true December event film. {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 06:22

RogerMore just did. SW isn't any more "true". {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 08:09

Completely incorrect. Poll theater owners or people working in the industry if you think Star Wars isn't any different {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 08:51

Your opinion. Why don't you show us the poll results. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 09:35

Actually, it isn't an opinion. It is at least on an anecdotal scale a solid fact. Theater owners are viewing this as something.... nilephelan Apr 22, 09:42

We all know it's gonna set a new Dec record. Tell us something we dont'. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 09:44

Because we are talking about the industry expectation of $230 million and rogermore, yourself and others... nilephelan Apr 22, 10:04

230 million is a completely made up number by tenchi7. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 10:08

Well, the expectation is that it can at least break $200 million and $230 million is a reachable goal. {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 10:19

I'm not saying it can't be done - but I need a better understanding of why those expectations exist than "Duh, it's Star Wars", before RogerMore Apr 22, 11:05

mabye! professor smartbrain Apr 21, 15:30

Criminally underpriced in my book, but it's still pretty far out. {nm} skunkrunner Apr 21, 15:36

and not a lot of people have 35million to tie up for 3/4 of a year...plenty of other opportunities to double your money in half that time {nm} Cj Apr 21, 15:39

The Largest Pre-Christmas Weekend Box Office (Total for all 78 Films) was 2007 - 160.45 MILL. RotoHockeyYTD2013MainPort Apr 21, 15:42

The largest Weekend Box Office ever was $270 million Dec. 25-27, 2009. Antibody Apr 21, 15:46

that's toast {nm} professor smartbrain Apr 21, 16:04

Last Starwars made 108 mil OW in 2005 dollars = 140 in today's dollars. That's about 378 mil with adjust multiple = underpriced {nm} Awards Fund Apr 21, 16:37

You get a faster return putting the money in AVNG2. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 16:59

No contest. Just answering the question. {nm} Awards Fund Apr 21, 19:56

$30 underprice is a huge difference from his $300. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 00:01

Avng2 is way underpriced also. Even if they sell the same exact amount of tickets that is still about 225 with 10% ticket inflation. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 21:28

And STAR7 could have 1000 more theaters, so add 25% more to that OW. PLus the original actors will bring in fans that ignored the prequels {nm} JDolphin Apr 21, 22:13

8 months of irrational exuberance is going to get real old, oh wait it already is. The OW will be huge but why are people getting islander Apr 22, 06:43





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


The Wild Robot H$30 Call (TWRBT.CA) 25000 4.16 (+0.21)          The Wild Robot H$30 Call (TWRBT.CA) 25000 4.16 (+0.21)          The Wild Robot - Opening Weekend (TWRBT.OW) 100000 31.91 (-0.48)          The Wild Robot - Opening Weekend (TWRBT.OW) 100000 31.91 (-0.48)          The Wild Robot (TWRBT) 150000 90.09 (+0.76)          The Wild Robot (TWRBT) 150000 90.09 (+0.76)          The Wild Robot (TWRBT) 150000 90.09 (+0.76)          Crawl 2 (CRAW2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Ballerina Overdrive (BALOD) 150000 13.87 (-1.13)          The Wild Robot (TWRBT) 10000 90.09 (+0.76)          The Wild Robot H$30 Call (TWRBT.CA) 5000 4.16 (+0.21)          Joker: Folie Ă  Deux (JOKE2) 60000 226.52 (-1.34)          Naomie Harris (NHARR) 25000 93.37 (0.00)          Naomie Harris (NHARR) 25000 93.37 (0.00)          Hey Joe aka Me, You (TUMIA) 150000 0.78 (+0.77)          Hey Joe aka Me, You (TUMIA) 150000 0.78 (+0.77)          Turn Me On (TMEON) 150000 0.74 (+0.62)          Turn Me On (TMEON) 150000 0.74 (+0.62)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 12500 100.35 (-3.82)          Twilight of the Warriors: Walled (TOWWI) 150000 0.96 (+0.01)          Twilight of the Warriors: Walled (TOWWI) 150000 0.96 (+0.01)          Never Let Go (MTHRL) 150000 15.33 (-0.91)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 127144 100.35 (-3.82)          Deadpool & Wolverine $550M Block (DEAD3.BW) 302 19.64 (+0.22)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 135.54 (-1.07)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 149999 88.29 (-0.33)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN5) 150000 46.21 (-0.79)          Never Let Go (MTHRL) 150000 15.33 (-0.91)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 18656 100.35 (-3.82)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 125423 273.87 (+0.99)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 18656 100.35 (-3.82)          Never Let Go (MTHRL) 150000 15.33 (-0.91)          Lilo & Stitch (LILST) 150000 93.46 (+2.58)          Lake Bell (LBELL) 25000 81.62 (0.00)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 150000 100.35 (-3.82)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 150000 100.35 (-3.82)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 150000 100.35 (-3.82)          Ballerina Overdrive (BALOD) 150000 13.87 (-1.13)          Ballerina Overdrive (BALOD) 150000 13.87 (-1.13)          Crawl 2 (CRAW2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Crawl 2 (CRAW2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 90077 32.02 (+0.06)          The Wild Robot - Opening Weekend (TWRBT.OW) 99999 31.91 (-0.48)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 17.77 (+0.94)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 17.77 (+0.94)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 150000 100.35 (-3.82)          Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (BEET2) 150000 243.57 (-0.33)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 150000 100.35 (-3.82)          Lilo & Stitch (LILST) 70000 93.46 (+2.58)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 1 116.02 (+0.22)