HSX Forum

Movies

(cont.) "latest" estimates, but then you scroll just a little further down the forum, and you have ten other ppl who thought they were too.

Posted by: chosenone2oo5 on Jun 13, 17:28 in response to chosenone2oo5's post My peeve is that we see everyone thinking they're on top...

These official publication estimates should be regulated by staff, not by users, as it just clutters when everyone parrots it over and over.

But yes, if one looks at one of the early estimates of the weekend, it's just a little math to figure out a solid total from there, with a 70% success rate. I've been "shooting in the dark" since I was 15, and my portfolio says I'm decent at it.

And I assume a lot of people on HSX are too, otherwise the publications would run this site and there would be no surprises or any sense of "winning." So I'm intrigued by people who put their individual guesses out there, and appreciate their take on the situation. Judging by the guesses above your post asking for my guess, they're on it.

Jurassic world beat avenger record? {nm} mike255 Jun 13, 14:27

Would have to beat $207, seems unlikely, but this entire weekend seemed pretty unlikely 48 hours ago. {nm} Raven9167 Jun 13, 14:36

scroll down, some estimates say yes. 207 is the number to beat {nm} andy007 Jun 13, 14:37

Going to be really close I think. I vote yes. {nm} skunkrunner Jun 13, 14:38

Box office predict 210 mike255 Jun 13, 14:38

Wow you're all parrots. Think for yourselves, and stop copying/pasting everyone else's estimated guesses and take your own guess! {nm} chosenone2oo5 Jun 13, 14:42

211.34 {nm} skunkrunner Jun 13, 14:45

Nah, closer to 211.32 {nm} Strider907 Jun 13, 14:46

312.50 {nm} Bubba_Fett Jun 13, 14:56

202.02 {nm} tradermark Jun 13, 15:07

Since you know it all - what's your guess? {nm} JDolphin Jun 13, 14:55

I just can't win with JDolphin! I made a bet w/ a buddy--my guess last week was $148-153M when ppl were saying $100-120M. chosenone2oo5 Jun 13, 16:12

You're not answering the question - you critized someone for posting a published updated estimate for the weekend instead of guessing on JDolphin Jun 13, 17:16

My peeve is that we see everyone thinking they're on top of the {nm} chosenone2oo5 Jun 13, 17:19

I think it's just people having fun with the numbers and amazed at the high estimates. I doesn't matter as stock is not high enough to sell {nm} JDolphin Jun 13, 17:27

One of our highest homo sapien evolutionary traits is our ability to make predictions--parrotting bodes poorly for further evolution. Guess. {nm} chosenone2oo5 Jun 13, 17:38

(cont.) "latest" estimates, but then you scroll just a little further down the forum, and you have ten other ppl who thought they were too. chosenone2oo5 Jun 13, 17:28

Dear HSX, have you ever considered altering the code so that the Enter button doesn't hastily post unfinished posts? Forum format is wack. chosenone2oo5 Jun 13, 17:52

You want change that's not going to happen. If you want a more strenously moderated forum, you'll need to go somewhere else {nm} JDolphin Jun 13, 20:03

Polly want a stock. *squak* {nm} DTravel Jun 13, 18:35

It will get about 6 months and a week to enjoy that record. {nm} nilephelan Jun 13, 14:47

I find your lack of faith disturbing. {nm} Bored76er Jun 13, 17:17

I think it will fall in between Avengers 1 & 2 close to 200 just my guess. {nm} kcpelot Jun 13, 14:50

Unless Star Wars can't break the record due cold winter {nm} mike255 Jun 13, 15:39

It won't be that cold, many schools will be out and lots of theater will be open 24 hours that weekend. {nm} nilephelan Jun 13, 15:44

idk - Avatar opened on the same weekend. There was a hideous snowstorm in the Northeast that kept a lot of folks away from the theatres. CSBD Jun 13, 19:55

Unless big snowstorm in USA it can effect Star Wars box office {nm} mike255 Jun 13, 15:57

Unfortunately, the biggest obstacle for Star Wars: Episode VII--The Force Awakens is a December OW has never hit a record higher than $84.6M chosenone2oo5 Jun 13, 16:22

So what? June had never had more than a $116 million opener and now it potentially has a $210+ million opening. {nm} nilephelan Jun 13, 16:24

Did you read the rest of my post, or did you just click the headline and respond without checking to see if there was more typed out? Look. {nm} chosenone2oo5 Jun 13, 16:26

Sorry, read the headline only. {nm} nilephelan Jun 13, 16:27

I may be from the 140 character Twitter generation, but I almost always utilize the Additional Message space and put it to great use. chosenone2oo5 Jun 13, 16:30

I agree with you. Star Wars has no comparison and all previous openings mean absolutely nothing in comparison. {nm} nilephelan Jun 13, 16:28

Taking a winter film and making it beat the highest summer blockbuster OW record...everyone on HSX is going to love it! It blows my mind. chosenone2oo5 Jun 13, 16:32

I do believe people generally have more disposable income in June than around Christmas. More free time as well. {nm} tradermark Jun 14, 00:25

Star Wars open 200 million in December {nm} mike255 Jun 13, 16:30

Easily. I think it gets to $225+ million if Disney doesn't do something stupid like have only Midnight openings. {nm} nilephelan Jun 13, 16:31

Disney's putting Thurs previews to great use for Marvel, so shouldn't have that issue. Marketing has been perfect, so $225M is lowball. chosenone2oo5 Jun 13, 16:35

I am guessing they will follow the Avengers 2 model and go with 7pm. Midnight in December is cruel to the northern states {nm} nilephelan Jun 13, 16:43

I also don't think they want to give away $20 million in sales for no reason and a potential record. Thursday seems like a no brainer {nm} nilephelan Jun 13, 16:44

Remember when "Star Wars: Episode III--Revenge of the Sith" had a $50M Thurs? Poor comp since it was out all day, but $20M is also lowball. chosenone2oo5 Jun 13, 17:07

I agree, and yet the stock just keeps dropping every single day. {nm} skunkrunner Jun 13, 19:07

Early yesterday you saw lots of dumping from ports with little disposable income to add or get into JURA4. tradermark Jun 14, 00:28

Blame Disney avenger 2 didn't reach 200 million due they didn't move the date due boxing match. mike255 Jun 13, 16:45

Could possibly be franchise fatigue and it simply didn't look like that fun or interesting of a movie. Audiences didn't connect as much {nm} nilephelan Jun 13, 16:50

Correct, the WOM wasn't as impressive with "Avengers: Age of Ultron" as it was with the first Avengers. Release date was picked 3 years ago. chosenone2oo5 Jun 13, 17:00

If it hits that $71 est. from BO, that puts it $3m ahead for Fri-Sat, the record is absolutely in play now. austpow Jun 13, 21:23





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 1 12.52 (+0.87)          Flow (FLOW) 150000 5.61 (+3.36)          The Wild Robot $105M Blockbuster (TWRBT.BW) 25000 16.33 (-0.08)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 75000 76.24 (-0.59)          Moana 2 - Opening Weekend Wed-Su (MOAN2.OW) 100000 140.02 (0.00)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 167.42 (-3.08)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 80.12 (+5.11)          Venom: The Last Dance $130M Bloc (VENM3.BW) 25000 11.03 (+0.11)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 75000 80.12 (+5.11)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 167.42 (-3.08)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 167.42 (-3.08)          Wicked (WICKD) 200 306.60 (+0.70)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 100 167.42 (-3.08)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 40990 80.12 (+5.11)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 150000 157.00 (+0.55)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 23500 169.26 (+0.58)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 103571 80.12 (+5.11)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 303.90 (+1.50)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 80.12 (+5.11)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 4000 44.15 (-1.99)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 5200 44.15 (-1.99)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 1000 118.56 (+1.61)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 50000 169.26 (+0.58)          Flow (FLOW) 150000 5.61 (+3.36)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 3000 118.56 (+1.61)          Dear Santa (DSATA) 100 0.58 (-0.13)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFCN) 150000 121.68 (+0.66)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 5439 80.12 (+5.11)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 26.21 (-0.10)          F1 aka Untitled Formula One (FORM1) 30000 69.94 (-0.17)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 20000 14.57 (+1.76)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 20000 14.57 (+1.76)          Wicked (WICKD) 150000 306.60 (+0.70)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 167.42 (-3.08)          Flow (FLOW) 150000 5.61 (+3.36)          Wicked (WICKD) 50000 306.60 (+0.70)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 17200 14.57 (+1.76)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 100000 167.42 (-3.08)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 10000 14.57 (+1.76)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 20000 14.76 (+1.75)          Spinal Tap II (STAP2) 150000 19.90 (+0.10)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 80.12 (+5.11)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 20000 14.76 (+1.75)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 9200 14.76 (+1.75)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 10000 14.76 (+1.75)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 80.12 (+5.11)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 10000 14.76 (+1.75)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 10000 14.76 (+1.75)          Wicked (WICKD) 10000 306.60 (+0.70)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 29200 4.08 (+0.62)