HSX Forum

Movies

Sorry, Im not an expert on how movie stock adjusts, can you explain your math?

Posted by: platonm on Jul 03, 09:37 in response to ~JPV~'s post Oh, they still will... I think I got the math right (inside)

Per your meassage, Terminator will do about $25 mil for the weekend, which is about H$70 like you said, why are you adding additional 15 to it?

Thanks!

THR: TERM5 early estimate 41 (5day); MGCM2 mid to high 30 (5day) Oleg Max Jul 03, 09:19

People don't forget that's not a straight 2.7 multiplier..... {nm} Dorfman Jul 03, 09:25

Oh, they still will... I think I got the math right (inside) ~JPV~ Jul 03, 09:30

You got the math wrong. MGCM2 can't be higher than TERM5. mid to high more like $37. if mid= 4,5,6 and high is 7,8,9 Antibody Jul 03, 09:37

Ah, sorry. Really shouldn't type so fast (esp in the morning). Yeah, I gave it $3M more when subtracting {nm} ~JPV~ Jul 03, 09:41

ugh, i hate the mid-week opener adjusts >:| {nm} adrenalin112 Jul 03, 10:42

Sorry, Im not an expert on how movie stock adjusts, can you explain your math? platonm Jul 03, 09:37

Mid week opener adjust formula: (2.7*Fri-Sun)+previous. Similar to limited releases going wide. {nm} MattW Jul 03, 09:43

The calendar is your friend. (The adjust formula for midweek openers is Fri-Sat-Sun * 2.7 + Previous box office. RogerMore Jul 03, 09:47

38-15 = 23 . . . {nm} wilypueo Jul 03, 09:40

Yes, thank you as pointed out by Anti. Again, will learn not to post so early. ~JPV~ Jul 03, 09:42

How dare you make a mistake JPV!!! what are you?? Human? {nm} Dorfman Jul 03, 09:50

I could be a,,, Terminator. ~JPV~ Jul 03, 10:57

Skynet is that you? {nm} BelizeIt Jul 03, 11:38

Skynet is that you? {nm} BelizeIt Jul 03, 11:38

Its me, Sarah. {nm} DTravel Jul 03, 23:34

How good is Box Office Mojo at predictions? platonm Jul 03, 17:17

Even 41 is a stretch for TG at this point. {nm} Carcharodon Jul 03, 10:08

Now is a perfect time for another trade think piece (or studio PR in disguise) about PG13 and non original films! {nm} Moviesnob Jul 03, 10:14





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Bugonia aka Save the Green Plane (STGPL) 1000 18.78 (+0.02)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 7700 108.36 (+0.35)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 50000 82.86 (-1.79)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.46 (-0.72)          Flow (FLOW) 150000 6.41 (+0.15)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 3400 108.36 (+0.35)          Flow (FLOW) 150000 6.41 (+0.15)          Emma Stone (ESTON) 500 47.41 (0.00)          Relay (RELAY) 1000 3.20 (0.00)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 30000 3.17 (-0.45)          Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 150000 16.37 (+0.68)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 20000 13.00 (-0.94)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 30000 452.62 (+1.25)          Vicious (VICUS) 1000 24.69 (0.00)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 1 3.17 (-0.45)          Companion (CMPAN) 150000 28.88 (-0.03)          Companion (CMPAN) 150000 28.88 (-0.03)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 149975 82.86 (-1.79)          Moana (MOAN1) 10000 174.23 (+0.45)          The Pack (TPACK) 1000 10.07 (-0.02)          Little Shop of Horrors (LSOFH) 150000 3.10 (0.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 10000 303.15 (-0.75)          Thunderbolts* (TBOLT) 1000 211.69 (0.00)          Roofman (ROOFM) 50000 21.64 (+0.15)          Florence Pugh (FPUGH) 500 118.77 (+0.32)          Roofman (ROOFM) 50000 21.64 (+0.15)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 20000 166.26 (-1.02)          Roofman (ROOFM) 50000 21.64 (+0.15)          Roofman (ROOFM) 50000 21.64 (+0.15)          Roofman (ROOFM) 50000 21.64 (+0.15)          Sacrifice (SCRIF) 1000 21.47 (0.00)          Roofman (ROOFM) 50000 21.64 (+0.15)          A Complete Unknown (GOELC) 150000 27.55 (+0.96)          Jacob Marley (MRLEY) 150000 5.55 (-0.03)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 20000 74.74 (-0.03)          Anya Taylor-Joy (ATJOY) 500 84.39 (-0.25)          Spinal Tap II (STAP2) 25000 20.13 (+0.07)          Wicked (WICKD) 20000 310.28 (-1.91)          Spinal Tap II (STAP2) 150000 20.13 (+0.07)          Assassination (ASSNT) 1 14.67 (+1.10)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 36000 281.27 (-1.00)          Assassination (ASSNT) 150000 14.67 (+1.10)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 25000 4.26 (-0.01)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 50000 4.26 (-0.01)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 25000 120.48 (+0.38)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 120.48 (+0.38)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 5000 82.86 (-1.79)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 1 13.46 (-0.72)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 1 13.46 (-0.72)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 303.15 (-0.75)