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Took a theater/show/screen count during IM3's OW and made a chart. Some basic data, w/Catching Fire added:

Posted by: m051293 on Dec 10, 12:06 in response to Antibody's post BO: STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS will open in an...

 

Top OW Show Count (excluding previews)

IM3 - 163,400
DH2 - 143,400
TDKR - 139,500
BD2 - 136,900

CF - 135,400

TA - 134,400

 

Top OW Screen Count

IM3 - 13,200
TDKR - 11,800
TA - 11,800
DH2 - 11,100
AWE - 10,800

CF- 10,700

 

Top Show:Theater Ratio (>100,000 shows, excluding previews)

IM3 - 38.4
BD2 - 33.6
DH2 - 32.8
THG - 32.5

CF - 32.4

Shrek 3 - 32.1

 

Runtimes for TFA and IM3 are similar.

 

38.4 ratio on 3900 theaters would be ~150,000 shows for the weekend (minus previews).  Let's say an even 40, so 156,000.  25-30K (probably a record number) more from previews would put it at 180-185K shows.  

 

Say the actual theater count goes up to 4000, and the ratio's even higher, like 42.5.  We'd be sitting at 170K shows before even counting previews.  200K can happen.

 

BO: STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS will open in an estimated 3,900 domestic theaters Antibody Dec 10, 11:17

*BOOM* {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 10, 11:48

Lol. Twihards > Fanboys islander Dec 10, 11:48

seems low, would need to avg $50k per screen to get to $195M {nm} lapuckfan Dec 10, 11:54

that's theaters, not total screens {nm} slipping jimmy Dec 10, 11:59

^this {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 10, 12:01

It's the same thing when calculating the PTA/PSA. $195M/39000 = $50,000 average. {nm} Antibody Dec 10, 12:05

$195M/3900 {nm} Antibody Dec 10, 12:06

Plus some are running round the clock. {nm} hyperzeitgeist Dec 10, 12:06

Most people only need to see it once, whether it's Fri 3am or Sun 6pm. {nm} Antibody Dec 10, 12:23

Who really goes to a 4AM show? {nm} skunkrunner Dec 10, 13:35

Show up at 4am and ask. People do lots of things for reasons personal to them {nm} BSmurf Dec 10, 15:40

Avengers avg $47,698; JW $48,855; TDK $36,283; TDKR $36,532 {nm} Antibody Dec 10, 12:10

If my memory success someone said back when ultron opened that the reason it had fewer theaters than the first avengers MattW Dec 10, 11:57

*serves not success {nm} MattW Dec 10, 11:59

In this case though is not about exclusivity, but the restrictions to run on the biggest theater(s) for a month. {nm} Antibody Dec 10, 12:16

I meant screen(s) within a theater {nm} Antibody Dec 10, 12:16

I've read 4400+ so that figure is a tad low. {nm} Baron_Darcon Dec 10, 13:06

3900 came from Disney. Anything you read before was someone's guess. {nm} Antibody Dec 10, 13:14

Took a theater/show/screen count during IM3's OW and made a chart. Some basic data, w/Catching Fire added: m051293 Dec 10, 12:06

Thanks for putting that all in 1 place. {nm} JDolphin Dec 11, 01:08

250 fewer screens than JURA4, AVNG2 & HGAM4?? I'm sorry but thats just not possible. {nm} skunkrunner Dec 10, 12:23

*waves hand* "These are not the movie screens you are looking for." {nm} DTravel Dec 10, 12:37

Many Drive-ins and seasonal theaters are not open in winter {nm} islander Dec 10, 12:56

If that # is accurate then that tells me... skunkrunner Dec 10, 13:08

Disney's plan all along has been holiday legs. The stipulated that STAR7 has to stay on the biggest screen(s) for 4 or more weeks. {nm} Antibody Dec 10, 13:13

So with 3900 theaters how many screens might that be? Still selling like wildfire and selling out lots of theaters already. With that Baron_Darcon Dec 10, 14:05





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Here (HERE1) 90000 16.33 (-0.03)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 3.43 (-0.57)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 12.17 (-1.04)          In the Grey aka Untitled Guy Rit (NGREY) 91751 23.96 (-0.02)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 2.73 (-1.05)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 3.43 (-0.57)          Famous (FAMOS) 147506 21.06 (-1.18)          Rule Breakers (RULBR) 150000 5.49 (-0.06)          Spellbound (SPLBN) 150000 0.27 (-0.02)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 150000 38.12 (+0.02)          They Found Us (THFUS) 1 14.96 (+0.10)          Famous (FAMOS) 150000 21.06 (-1.18)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 100000 272.56 (-4.26)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 3.43 (-0.57)          Avatar: Fire and Ash aka Avatar (AVAT3) 24999 438.06 (-0.12)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 1000 9.19 (+0.06)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 25000 272.56 (-4.26)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 99999 255.04 (-0.55)          Get Away (GAWAY) 1000 2.69 (+0.01)          Get Away (GAWAY) 1 2.69 (+0.01)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 25000 272.56 (-4.26)          In the Grey aka Untitled Guy Rit (NGREY) 93781 23.96 (-0.02)          In the Grey aka Untitled Guy Rit (NGREY) 93781 23.96 (-0.02)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 10000 79.21 (+1.03)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 15.03 (-0.10)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 100000 8.05 (+0.15)          The Return (TRETU) 100000 7.49 (+0.06)          The Return (TRETU) 50000 7.49 (+0.06)          The Return (TRETU) 50000 7.49 (+0.06)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 25000 3.43 (-0.57)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 25000 12.17 (-1.04)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 25000 12.99 (-1.04)          Famous (FAMOS) 20000 21.06 (-1.18)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 50000 4.41 (+0.08)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 9 8.10 (+0.01)          Andy Serkis (ASERK) 25000 167.11 (-1.00)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 40000 79.21 (+1.03)          Julie Walters (JWALT) 25000 78.69 (+0.75)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 150000 205.38 (-1.00)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 2619 6.05 (0.00)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 150000 8.05 (+0.15)          Spider-Man Untitled (SPID9) 150000 355.79 (+1.25)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 150000 8.05 (+0.15)          Werewolves (WEREW) 50000 16.24 (+0.10)          Werewolves (WEREW) 10000 16.24 (+0.10)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 150000 9.19 (+0.06)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 50000 9.19 (+0.06)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 100000 4.41 (+0.08)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 50000 4.41 (+0.08)          They Found Us (THFUS) 100000 14.96 (+0.10)