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yeah, but even 50% gets it $67.5M. that $9.2M is a huge number of fan frontload, so hoping the audience score and limited family films

Posted by: lobogotti on Jun 21, 07:22 in response to numbersix_99's post I still think a 50% drop for Weekend #2 is quite likely,...

continues the mega-sales and helps the bump into 70M+.

btw, reading on BOT that Dory is going to come in close to a $20M Monday number. that would be quite amazing if true. lobogotti Jun 21, 07:12

If true, it would be well ahead of Toy Story 3's $15m Monday {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:13

indeed and onto a $70-80M 2nd weekend. on Saturday I had it doing $80M in it's second weekend, but I was lobogotti Jun 21, 07:15

I still think a 50% drop for Weekend #2 is quite likely, fitting in line with most recent Pixar flicks. {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:17

yeah, but even 50% gets it $67.5M. that $9.2M is a huge number of fan frontload, so hoping the audience score and limited family films lobogotti Jun 21, 07:22

Think $75m second weekend is pretty realistic {nm} xiayun Jun 21, 08:24

nice to see you good man. {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 08:28

xiayun and lobogotti. Two of the finest. Looking forward to reading more of your insights, xiayun. {nm} eallensbp Jun 21, 20:45

It opened 22.7% better than TOYS3. The same bump over TOYS3 first Monday would be $19.15M, or close to $20M shadowking Jun 21, 07:17

yeah, Fathers Day/Finals had more of an impact than I expected. so a number like that today would lobogotti Jun 21, 07:25

I would wait till Wednesday to see how legs will be reelreptile Jun 21, 07:44

sure, and we won't know much until the weekend drop. but still that $19.9M number is pretty darn massive lobogotti Jun 21, 07:51

True, but again Civil War had a 5% better hold on Monday and Tuesday than Ultron and IM3 and then just died {nm} reelreptile Jun 21, 08:18

yes, I'll just point out that comic book films (particularly sequels) are underperforming as of late with their legs. lobogotti Jun 21, 08:28

DL: 19.9 Oleg Max Jun 21, 07:40

Wow, so that a Sun-Mon drop of 43% as opposed to TS3's 51%. Father's Day may be reason but still, impressive. {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:43

only 3 films EVER had a higher Tuesday that wasn't an opening day... lobogotti Jun 21, 07:55

oops {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 07:56

8 films... lobogotti Jun 21, 07:57

A couple of those Monday's are Memorial day, which can be thrown out {nm} shadowking Jun 21, 07:59

6 of those films were on Memorial day or July 4th holiday week. {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 07:59

Wouldn't Father's Day suggest the drop should be bigger? (ie inflated Sunday, normal Monday = bigger % drop) {nm} RogerMore Jun 21, 08:00

I;m assuming Father's Day isn't inflated, that father's would go to an animated movie on THEIR day {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 08:05

Ah, I'm thinking the opposite - that Father's Day means fathers spend more time doing something with their kids. {nm} RogerMore Jun 21, 08:48

Bloody ungrateful kids! {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 09:26

Films normally get boost from Father's Day, but this year Game 7 deflated that effect some, so xiayun Jun 21, 08:22

CI made $4M and Conjuring at $2.2M... lobogotti Jun 21, 08:11

Proportionately, that's better than Jurassic World's 25.34 first Monday, and just slightly below The Dark Knight's 24.5 first Monday. {nm} InigoST Jun 21, 08:23

I'm more interested in the upcoming weekdays to weekdays holds...isn't that where summer kids movies really show their power? {nm} tealfan Jun 21, 09:13

Oh, since I'm back from my vacation TwoMisfits Jun 21, 13:07





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The Seed of the Sacred Fig (TSOSF) 150000 0.83 (+0.02)          Together (TGETR) 55000 11.21 (-0.88)          Moana (MOAN1) 3 188.60 (+0.25)          Jared Harris (JHARR) 25000 32.54 (+0.12)          Together (TGETR) 1600 11.21 (-0.88)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 3 248.75 (+0.16)          Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow (SUPGR) 3 99.40 (-0.25)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 3 297.66 (-0.41)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 3 90.50 (+0.12)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 3 41.03 (-0.10)          Love Hurts (WOLOV) 150000 19.44 (+0.30)          Pierce Brosnan (PBROS) 25000 66.65 (-0.25)          The Mandalorian & Grogu (SWAR3) 3 231.21 (-0.16)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 3200 7.73 (+0.81)          Untitled Event Film Directed By (SKIES) 3 122.12 (-0.11)          Love Hurts (WOLOV) 150000 19.44 (+0.30)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 3 501.12 (+0.29)          The Mummy (TMUMY) 3 43.42 (0.00)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 405.64 (+4.07)          The Super Mario Bros. Movie 2 (MARI2) 3 385.13 (-0.74)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 3000 85.66 (-0.36)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 3 124.12 (+0.12)          Dr. Seuss' The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 2 45.65 (+0.15)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 4000 101.64 (-0.45)          Paddington in Peru (PADT3) 150000 42.65 (-0.93)          Flowervale Street (FLWVS) 3 57.85 (+0.05)          The Phoenician Scheme (TPSCH) 1000 16.05 (-0.20)          Dr. Seuss' The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 3 45.65 (+0.15)          Adrien Brody (ABROD) 25000 11.21 (-0.10)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 4 116.79 (-0.27)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 3 59.11 (+0.15)          Three Bags Full: A Sheep Detecti (3BAGF) 50 22.12 (-0.08)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 1000 75.45 (-0.54)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 6000 75.45 (-0.54)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 3 38.11 (-0.06)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 100 17.06 (-0.12)          The Dutchman (DTCHM) 10000 5.55 (-0.14)          Send Help (SENDH) 5 33.86 (+0.11)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 45961 27.65 (-0.40)          Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 3 45.64 (-0.05)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 3 82.37 (+0.25)          Bethlehem (BTLHM) 3 33.32 (-0.10)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 150000 270.97 (+1.25)          Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 150000 189.64 (+0.89)          Jurassic World Rebirth (JURA7) 150000 287.65 (+1.03)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 20 41.36 (-0.74)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 3 55.93 (+0.05)          The SpongeBob Movie 4: Search fo (SPBO4) 3 67.93 (+0.15)          Paddington in Peru (PADT3) 150000 42.65 (-0.93)          Martin Freeman (MAFRE) 25000 103.10 (+1.33)