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Long BRUNO, Short ILUBC

Posted by: shadowking (a.k.a shadowking13) on Jul 10, 09:24 in response to gogreen's post A very confident LONG on BRUNO and a very confident SHORT...

I'm not entirely confident on BRUNO, but odds wise I think it has about the same chance of coming in around 50M as it does of coming in around 35M.  Priced at about 41.5M means more potential upside going long the way I see things.

ILUBC is a classic case of a movie I would not know existed if it wasn't for HSX.  For those that would claim it has no where to go but up, 66% of movies halting under H$20 adjust down historically speaking.  It clearly have room to go down further.

ICEA3 may have had an artificially soft Saturday last weekend, but it had an artificially strong Friday to counteract that.  I doubt it cracks 30M this weekend and may not even crack 25M, which will leave it a long way from #1.

 





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A Woman of No Importance (AWONI) 7501 0.01 (0.00)          Triplets (TRPLT) 15000 0.01 (-0.01)          Connie Nielsen (CNIEL) 25000 57.18 (0.00)          The Golden Years Fund (AARP) 10 99.00 (-0.53)          Moana 2 - Opening Weekend Wed-Su (MOAN2.OW) 6000 140.05 (-0.68)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 5000 3.32 (-0.68)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 1000 75.00 (0.00)          Wicked (WICKD) 304 304.87 (+3.39)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Wicked (WICKD) 287 304.87 (+3.39)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 141886 174.70 (+3.87)          Ballerina (BLRNA) 149778 81.78 (+0.02)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 238 174.70 (+3.87)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 149778 87.10 (-0.16)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 8000 302.40 (+2.22)          Motor City (MTRCT) 1 14.44 (+1.06)          Selena Gomez (SGOME) 3 90.96 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 4819 280.57 (-0.97)          Michelle Yeoh (MYEOH) 25000 133.60 (+0.66)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 174.70 (+3.87)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 149999 270.18 (-6.64)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 7000 270.18 (-6.64)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 174.70 (+3.87)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 7727 174.70 (+3.87)          Steve McQueen (SMCQU) 3 19.81 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 90 12.13 (-1.08)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Wicked (WICKD) 50000 304.87 (+3.39)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 118000 12.13 (-1.08)          The Senior (SENIR) 149999 2.32 (-1.46)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 174.70 (+3.87)          Moana 2 - Opening Weekend Wed-Su (MOAN2.OW) 100000 140.05 (-0.68)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 25000 9.19 (+0.10)          Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 25000 9.19 (+0.10)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          A Real Pain (ARLPN) 1 7.90 (+0.02)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 40000 75.00 (0.00)          Famous (FAMOS) 150000 20.43 (-1.81)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Moana 2 - Opening Weekend Wed-Su (MOAN2.OW) 100000 140.05 (-0.68)