HSX Forum

Movies

And I'm done - note zero people agreeing on the tracking, including Antibody's 185...

Posted by: TwoMisfits (a.k.a del_SCA_TwoMisfits) on Dec 16, 14:59 in response to ßionicℳoron®'s post Please do, as I don't recall such a reaction.

Deadline has updated with more Rogue One Stats: 2nd highest day of pre-sales for IMAX (Force Awakens #1)    notfabio on Nov 29, 14:22

Sold more than advanced tickets in one day than all the sales of Dr. Strange, Suicide Squad, Deadpool {nm}   notfabio on Nov 29, 14:23

I don't read that as combined. "For Movietickets, Rogue One‘s first 24 hours outstrips their sales for Suicide Squad, Deadpool and Doctor S {nm}   Antibody on Nov 29, 14:26

Interesting the top 2 2016 films CAPA3 and SUPE2 are not top 3 presellers. {nm}   Antibody on Nov 29, 14:25

^top 2 openers I mean {nm}   Antibody on Nov 29, 14:25

Fans may not have known when presales started - Rogue One made it a huge announcement...that helped day 1  TwoMisfits on Nov 29, 15:35

keep moving the goalposts {nm}   slipping jimmy on Nov 29, 15:35

No moving the goalposts - I still don't see data that takes this out of the trackers' weekend estimates - $4M is nowhere near $150M yet... {nm}   TwoMisfits on Nov 29, 15:36

90% of Force Awakens first-day presales would be more like $5.8m {nm}   slipping jimmy on Nov 29, 15:39

So, when I see presells of $75M or so before OW (or about 25%+ less than Star7), I'll take notice that this could break over $150M   TwoMisfits on Nov 29, 15:39

25% less than STAR7 would be $185M. {nm}   Antibody on Nov 29, 15:41

Star 7 had more than $100M presales (was around $120M if rumors are right) - thus my 25%+ remark...   TwoMisfits on Nov 29, 15:42

it also had an extra month of presales v. Rogue One's 3 weeks {nm}   slipping jimmy on Nov 29, 15:46

I know, so thereotically the OW would also be 25% less. {nm}   Antibody on Nov 29, 15:46

So $75M vs $120M is about 40% less or about $150M OW - wake me when we see that presale # exceeded...then this will be big... {nm}   TwoMisfits on Nov 29, 15:48

And this movie over Xmas actually has real competition for weekend #2 and #3 for families and sci fi...   TwoMisfits on Nov 29, 15:56

competition matters even less at Xmas. everyone has time to see whatever they want {nm}   slipping jimmy on Nov 29, 16:06

If you quit posting about Rogue One, I'll fo that {nm}   JDolphin on Nov 29, 20:11

... I'll do that :) {nm}   JDolphin on Nov 29, 20:12

2nd highest ever means it's already ahead of HGAM films that opened >$150M. {nm}   Antibody on Nov 29, 16:07

DL: SW16 high 60 / 140-145; COLBT 7.5-8 (wknd) Oleg Max Dec 16, 12:09

some think SW16 could tip to 70M today, and if that's the case, it's three-day will get closer to $150M {nm} Oleg Max Dec 16, 12:10

I think it will...still. Great addition to the franchise. {nm} tatoufan Dec 16, 12:51

Some say 70. IMO that 140-145 came from Disney; because he specifically says 7.5-8 didn't come from WB. {nm} Antibody Dec 16, 12:11

THR: Yep. Rivals say Disney is being conservative, and that Rogue One could come in at $150 million or more. Antibody Dec 16, 12:16

V: Rivals issued estimates Friday of as high as $160 million. Antibody Dec 16, 13:39

Omg peeps...may the force be with you. good luck waiting til spring for this one... loved it! {nm} tatoufan Dec 16, 12:47

at $29M midnight, there's pretty much no way this doesn't go over $70M for opening day. {nm} lobogotti Dec 16, 13:07

I expect it will kill the BO estimates at this point.. {nm} tatoufan Dec 16, 13:28

yeah, the only question I have is can hit hit $80M+ for the day. it's not certain, but it stands a pretty good chance. {nm} lobogotti Dec 16, 13:37

That's some good optimism for $80M+...better theater sales today? {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 13:53

BvS did 27.7 / 81.6 {nm} Antibody Dec 16, 13:59

This is Star Wars not supers...not to mention, I don't think 63% of SW's audience this weekend will be 18-34... {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:13

Didn't I say that the last few weeks - that this will play like a supers movie?:) - Posted by: TwoMisfits on Dec 13 Antibody Dec 16, 14:16

Right way frontloaded and no legs (like normal Xmas ones - it's probably 3.0 or so)... {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:23

I guess I should go back to your day 1 presale posts...I'm glad the $200M+ have posted their mea culpas...oh wait, they haven't... {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:24

I think I also said $150M 3 weeks ago...and got slammed for it... {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:26

I was correcting your math during the day 1 presales. It was already tracking $150M 3 weeks ago, so you're remembering things differently. {nm} Antibody Dec 16, 14:38

Yes and everyone thought tracking was nuts (but me)...or would you like me to post the thread... {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:53

Please do, as I don't recall such a reaction. {nm} ßionicℳoron® Dec 16, 14:56

And I'm done - note zero people agreeing on the tracking, including Antibody's 185... TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:59

The two people you are argueing with in that thread do not constitue "everyone", and no one there said 200M+ which is the number ßionicℳoron® Dec 16, 15:02

My 200M OW estimate just got a lot closer... {nm} tatoufan on Dec 01, 14:16 {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 15:06

Yes, tatoufan, the one person that's said that, but please keep raging as if that represents "everyone" ßionicℳoron® Dec 16, 15:39

I forgot the 24 hour showings...so no 200+, still nice BO though... {nm} tatoufan Dec 18, 06:51

Quite low? In the end it will rank #2 (or 3) for 2016 OW...it it was not a 'bad year'... {nm} tatoufan Dec 18, 06:54

The fanbase is $900M huge. {nm} Antibody on Dec 13, 12:06 {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 15:08

SW16 was already trading over $416 ($155M opening on Nov 21), so you don't know what you're talking about. {nm} Antibody Dec 16, 15:15

I'm starting to feel the love you've given others in the past...so let me leave on that love and wait til Sunday for final real numbers... TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:56

If you've got sales at your theater, Antibody, selling 2 to 1 versus yesterday, that would be useful to know...Lobo usually has sales... {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:14

hope this makes enough money so that (spoilers) islander Dec 16, 14:12

selling out non-stop. friends have been going to morning shows, kids around here were out half day. lobogotti Dec 16, 14:25

meant for TwoMisfits {nm} lobogotti Dec 16, 14:26

It is - and the Math (since you asked:)... TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:28

I'm merely talking about the Friday total at this point. I think $69M is quite low, but we'll see. {nm} lobogotti Dec 16, 14:41

And glad to see you back on the boards, too:)... {nm} TwoMisfits Dec 16, 14:29





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


City on Fire (CTOFR) 10000 16.18 (0.00)          City on Fire (CTOFR) 10000 16.18 (0.00)          Bugonia aka Save the Green Plane (STGPL) 150000 18.71 (+0.12)          Wicked H$100 Call (WICKD.CA) 25000 8.69 (+0.13)          Bugonia aka Save the Green Plane (STGPL) 150000 18.71 (+0.12)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 26.54 (0.00)          Wicked - Opening Weekend (WICKD.OW) 100000 120.05 (+1.24)          Wicked - Opening Weekend (WICKD.OW) 100000 120.05 (+1.24)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 150000 38.11 (+0.14)          Gundam (GUNDM) 100000 14.28 (+0.39)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 125000 9.01 (+0.19)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 26.54 (0.00)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 25000 3.99 (+0.06)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 3.99 (+0.06)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 25000 4.40 (+0.23)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 150000 4.40 (+0.23)          Relay (RELAY) 133516 4.20 (+0.84)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 173.06 (-0.83)          Famous (FAMOS) 20000 22.73 (+1.02)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 5678 42.83 (-0.10)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 58 42.83 (-0.10)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 1189 203.59 (+2.13)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 70000 12.78 (+2.78)          The SpongeBob Movie 4: Search fo (SPBO4) 150000 64.09 (+0.85)          The SpongeBob Movie 4: Search fo (SPBO4) 150000 64.09 (+0.85)          Gladiator II H$70 Put (GLAD2.PU) 25000 4.78 (+0.40)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 14.39 (+2.38)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 14.39 (+2.38)          Gladiator II H$70 Put (GLAD2.PU) 25000 4.78 (+0.40)          Gladiator II H$70 Call (GLAD2.CA) 25000 1.53 (-0.40)          Famous (FAMOS) 150000 22.73 (+1.02)          Famous (FAMOS) 150000 22.73 (+1.02)          Gladiator II H$70 Call (GLAD2.CA) 25000 1.53 (-0.40)          Famous (FAMOS) 15000 22.73 (+1.02)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 100000 67.97 (-1.15)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 100000 67.97 (-1.15)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 30000 12.78 (+2.78)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 12.78 (+2.78)          Gladiator II H$70 Put (GLAD2.PU) 25000 4.78 (+0.40)          Gladiator II H$70 Put (GLAD2.PU) 25000 4.78 (+0.40)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 173.06 (-0.83)          Gladiator II H$70 Call (GLAD2.CA) 25000 1.53 (-0.40)          Gladiator II H$70 Call (GLAD2.CA) 25000 1.53 (-0.40)          Gladiator II H$70 Put (GLAD2.PU) 25000 4.78 (+0.40)          Gladiator II H$70 Call (GLAD2.CA) 25000 1.53 (-0.40)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 100000 67.97 (-1.15)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 100000 67.97 (-1.15)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 100000 67.97 (-1.15)          Wicked H$100 Put (WICKD.PU) 25000 0.99 (-0.12)          Wicked H$100 Put (WICKD.PU) 25000 0.99 (-0.12)