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So you're saying I cherry picked haha? The point is, HSX's worth comes from it's predictive abilities and not how much

Posted by: tomcat90 on Oct 25, 15:57 in response to Antibody's post It's easy in hindsight to point to HALW3, when another...

fake money traders earn or how many shares they trade. If I wanted to take the time, I could dig up dozens of charts that either show a ballistic rise or a precipitous fall after or just before OW. It would be much better for HSX's value to be closer to where it actually delists then be off by 400% a month before. Look at it from the point of view of potential investors in the site. If you are looking at it solely from an advertising revenue perspective, then having as many eye balls on the site as often as possible is also desirable. But that would come from better education of the majority of traders so they make more fake money and are attracted to coming back. A lot of people left after the adjust went away and also if people could get "returns" on their investments faster (from traders valuing things more accurately, they would have more to invest in others things and that would hold their interest more. The forums need to be more welcoming, and not having most people afraid to post becuase they will be ridiculed for their opinion in some way. Anyway, lovely discussion, but I'm out. Have a good one and keep up the good work Ā :)

W tracking: [FBST2] One tracker $63 million, another come close to $74.4 million Antibody Oct 25, 10:40

DL tracking: FBST2 $65M-$75M. [WIDOW] $10M-$16M. Antibody Oct 25, 10:41

DL tracking: Ditto for [ISFAM] $10M-$16M. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 10:42

THR: FBST2 $63M-$75M; ISFAM $10 million-$17 million ; WIDOW $10 million-$17 million Antibody Oct 25, 10:48

The first 'Beasts" delisted at a 2.6744 multiple. IF this one matches that, which sequels don't tend to do, it would delist from $168-$200 {nm} tomcat90 Oct 25, 11:58

That's a wrong assumption. TWLI2, HGAM2, LRDR2 did better than the original. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:05

in opening weekend and total box office. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:11

Familiarity breeds the opposite of contempt! {nm} Wilderness_Journey Oct 25, 12:13

Maybe with your cherry picked examples, but what about something more relevant like the first 3 Harry Potter films?2.64 then 2.42, then 2.25 {nm} tomcat90 Oct 25, 12:36

The point is we don't know yet. FBST2 could open above tracking. You're doing calculations on numbers that hasn't happen yet. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:41

And thus the capitalized word "IF" it performs similarly. Just like I said FIRSM didn't deserve a 4.7 and you compared it to Argo tomcat90 Oct 25, 12:47

How about when you calcuated that CRASN would delist less than H$50? It's about credibility, it's about you making early assumptions. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:50

^It's NOT about credibility... {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:51

What? I was long CRASN for the longest time. You sure that was me? although you convinced people to stay in STAR8 tomcat90 Oct 25, 13:12

This whole thread where you calculated old adjust as H$50, and how H$78 would be "aggressive legs". Antibody Oct 25, 14:08

Where it would "adjust" (based on old rules) and where it would "delist" are completely separate things. You wrote tomcat90 Oct 25, 14:59

I'm the one who told you the {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 15:28

I'm the one who told you that adjust does not equal delist. You were long above 70 when you said it had no chance to delist above that? Antibody Oct 25, 15:30

That's what I'm doing, refuting your assumptions. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 14:09

Did that work out for you with FIRSM or STAR8? you love to cherry pick to prove your opinions haha {nm} tomcat90 Oct 25, 15:00

I'm presenting a case for what's possible. If I don't defend HSX, then we will? {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 15:12

If you truly want to defend HSX, then you should want to make it as accurate as possible in it's predictive abilities, and not just tomcat90 Oct 25, 15:25

It's easy in hindsight to point to HALW3, when another recent "reboot/sequel" PRED4 bombed. Antibody Oct 25, 15:40

So you're saying I cherry picked haha? The point is, HSX's worth comes from it's predictive abilities and not how much tomcat90 Oct 25, 15:57

"Instead, it traded at $36 just a month before it's release." JSpicoli13 Oct 25, 16:07

The issue is competition, the first one only had to deal with Moana {nm} austpow Oct 25, 13:46





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Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 40000 404.03 (+2.46)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 149999 16.13 (+0.65)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 149999 16.13 (+0.65)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 404.03 (+2.46)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 20000 404.03 (+2.46)          Mickey 17 (MCKY7) 150000 70.07 (+0.15)          Acorns (ACRNS) 149999 89.20 (-0.58)          Acorns (ACRNS) 149999 89.20 (-0.58)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 149999 63.78 (-0.34)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 149996 63.78 (-0.34)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 149999 41.71 (-0.39)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 149999 41.71 (-0.39)          One Battle After Another (VINEL) 149999 39.01 (-0.33)          One Battle After Another (VINEL) 149999 39.01 (-0.33)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 16000 404.03 (+2.46)          Together (TGETR) 149999 11.34 (-0.75)          Together (TGETR) 149999 11.34 (-0.75)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 689 27.99 (-0.06)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 776 27.99 (-0.06)          Heart Eyes (HRTEY) 150000 28.90 (-1.17)          In the Grey aka Untitled Guy Rit (NGREY) 999 19.68 (-0.06)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 150000 209.17 (-1.15)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 16.53 (+1.18)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 404.03 (+2.46)          Companion (CMPAN) 1001 22.13 (-0.02)          The Friend (FREND) 72250 5.38 (-0.24)          Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out M (KNIV3) 150000 5.30 (+0.60)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 16.53 (+1.18)          Love Hurts (WOLOV) 150000 19.43 (+0.29)          The Monkey H$20 Put (MONKY.PU) 25000 2.06 (+0.02)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 1000 67.83 (+0.05)          Heart Eyes (HRTEY) 150000 28.90 (-1.17)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 150000 209.17 (-1.15)          Swamp Thing (SWAMP) 3000 34.46 (+0.07)          Swamp Thing (SWAMP) 10000 34.46 (+0.07)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 10000 209.17 (-1.15)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 404.03 (+2.46)          Disney's Snow White (SNWHT) 121908 196.06 (-0.73)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 16.53 (+1.18)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 16.53 (+1.18)          Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out M (KNIV3) 11 5.30 (+0.60)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 113649 209.17 (-1.15)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 50000 404.03 (+2.46)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 150000 209.17 (-1.15)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 7500 124.12 (+0.12)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 404.03 (+2.46)