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SPID3 vs [IRNM2]
Posted by: KalElFan (a.k.a del_TOM_KalElFan) on May 09, 09:38
So it's a $133.6M opening for [IRNM2]. By my calculations that'll be a $360.72 adjust and a $1,698,500 hit for those of us a full 50K shares long, plus another $61,600 tomorrow if you have 10K of the call option. Easy come easy go. Beyond that for IRNM2 including on the Warrant...
SPID3 had a bigger early May opening ($151.6M). Its delist multiple of that was 2.01, and final box office multiple in August was 2.23. If IRNM2 has the same multiples it'll be looking at a $268.54M delist and a final total of $297.92M. I suspect IRNM2 will do better than SPID3 on these multiples, but I'm skeptical that in can do a whole lot better.
Tag(s): IRNM2
SPID3 vs [IRNM2] KalElFan May 09, 09:38
I'm no expert on BB sequels and franchises, but wasn't the audience for that one a bit different? Also, the further a franchise goes, the Facto May 09, 09:48
SPID2 vs SPID3 vs [IRNM2] KalElFan May 09, 10:08
I would argue that SPID2 is not the best superhor movie lol darknightz May 09, 10:31
Science-Fiction? {nm} Facto May 09, 10:38
ooh thank you {nm} darknightz May 09, 10:39
Or Speculative Fiction if you want to cast a wider net KalElFan May 09, 11:52
You're doing something weird with SPID2 multiple. lukesed May 09, 10:32
But it's 2,45 times the opening (when you include those two days before the Fri-Sun OW) {nm} Facto May 09, 10:37
You're not going to get an apples-apples comparison if you add two extra days to the numerator of the second's multiplier vs the first. {nm} lukesed May 09, 10:40
Well... KalElFan May 09, 11:58
IMO best comparison is PIRT2. 1 was a surprise hit with good action but not too dark + eye candy for women. Sequel is good but not better. {nm} lukesed May 09, 10:38
Much Different Release Date, New Competition, Etc. KalElFan May 09, 12:20
So the further you go in a franchise, the more frontloaded it'll usually be.. {nm} Facto May 09, 10:34
No Good Evidence of That KalElFan May 09, 12:05
SAW Franchise KalElFan May 09, 12:39
Well, you certainly do your homework, Superman.. Thanks :-) {nm} Facto May 09, 12:51
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