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RS 5/21 Future

Posted by: Phatcat on May 17, 14:31 in response to GMov's post Thanks. Do they include estimate for future ones as well?

Prince : low to mid 70s

Killers : mid teens

Sex 2 : low 80s

Greek: low 20s

Marmaduke : mid 20s

MTC: 5/21 notfabio May 17, 10:40

No RS yet. {nm} notfabio May 17, 10:43

85 for Shrek? Am I reading that right? Figuring in 3D/IMAX prices, that number would represent a 45-50% drop in audience from SHREK 3 OW... {nm} ShawnMR May 17, 10:46

Tracking is never very useful when it comes to kids' movies. {nm} secretstalker May 17, 11:05

I hate this day on the exchange. People are back on forth on the more expensive stocks - could be since the weekend was such a wash... ? {nm} Facto May 17, 11:46

Have I mentioned the part about playing the players? I have? Carry on. {nm} Hooray360 May 17, 12:07

I have known about playing the players always. It's just that today is more flip-floppy and idiotic than most days. And I mentioned a hypoth Facto May 17, 12:12

You sound frustrated. {nm} Hooray360 May 17, 12:13

Yeah.. Is Monday the day that MTC and RS usually comes? Cause they're both here now. I thought it was Wednesdays... {nm} Facto May 17, 12:23

It varies, I think IIRC, it has been coming in on Sundays from time to time. But I seem to recall it usually being today. {nm} Hooray360 May 17, 12:26

K, thanks. My bad, then. {nm} Facto May 17, 13:13

$121M - $85M = 36/121 = 30%. Shrek 3 didn't have legs and did less than $120M than 2. If the trend continues... {nm} Antibody May 17, 11:13

You need to take 3D into account as well; $85m would mean $65-70m for a normal Shrek {nm} xiayun May 17, 11:16

Shrek 3 also sucked. {nm} Hooray360 May 17, 11:16

From what I've heard, reviews should be slightly better.. though there's still the wear/tear of having a fourth movie... secretstalker May 17, 11:18

I've managed to convince myself the franchise skipped #3 and went directly from #2 to #4. {nm} Hooray360 May 17, 11:22

It more than sucked. The fact that they are stopping here and not doing part 5... dvsinla May 17, 11:22

It was still successful and I think the key to these movies at this point is that there's a namebrand value secretstalker May 17, 11:16

And if RS still has Shrek at mid-$90m or higher, that woul spell trouble for Shrek; I'm not necessarily surprised though xiayun May 17, 10:55

What was final MTC/RS for previous Shrek films? Also, is it possible both are over-correcting after over-shooting IM2? {nm} ShawnMR May 17, 11:00

MTC for SHREK 3: $105m, actual $122.5m {nm} marek66 May 17, 11:41

Thanks, helpful indeed, and supports what SS hinted at. {nm} Facto May 17, 11:49

RS 5/21 Phatcat May 17, 12:19

That's seems that might be a more realistic number. {nm} Hooray360 May 17, 12:34

Thanks. Do they include estimate for future ones as well? {nm} GMov May 17, 12:47

RS 5/21 Future Phatcat May 17, 14:31

Thanks {nm} GMov May 17, 14:35

RS 5/21 Future - Tagging for Reference numbersix_99 May 17, 14:45

That seems about right for all though I can't see MARMA beating GREEK... but who knows? {nm} secretstalker May 17, 15:06

I think it will be somewhere in between. {nm} secretstalker May 17, 15:59

MTC and RS 5/21 - Tagging for Reference numbersix_99 May 17, 12:59





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Part 3 (TCS53) 125 11.33 (+0.66)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 235 288.68 (+0.48)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 68.60 (+1.55)          Oscar Isaac (OISAA) 25000 94.95 (-0.25)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 16.00 (-0.06)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 1000 7.77 (-0.01)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 68.60 (+1.55)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 1000 3.42 (+0.18)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 13333 68.60 (+1.55)          Bryce Dallas Howard (BDHOW) 25000 129.69 (-0.66)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 1000 288.68 (+0.48)          Bryce Dallas Howard (BDHOW) 25000 129.69 (-0.66)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 2222 68.60 (+1.55)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 1000 5.35 (+0.30)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 1000 1.70 (0.00)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 49999 68.60 (+1.55)          The Friend (FREND) 1000 3.84 (+0.10)          & Sons (ASONS) 6 4.39 (-0.58)          Brian Tyree Henry (BTHEN) 25000 127.50 (-0.33)          Seneca - On The Creation Of Eart (SOTCE) 150000 0.01 (-0.01)          Brian Cox (BCOX) 25000 9.34 (+0.05)          Brandon Sklenar (BSKLE) 25000 48.84 (-0.16)          Noah Baumbach (NBAUM) 5000 2.42 (0.00)          Boyd Holbrook (BHOLB) 25000 55.51 (+0.33)          Boyd Holbrook (BHOLB) 25000 55.51 (+0.33)          Bobby Cannavale (BCANN) 25000 47.54 (-0.16)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 25000 56.82 (+0.33)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 25000 56.82 (+0.33)          Billy Porter (BPORT) 25000 18.16 (-0.10)          Billy Eichner (BEICH) 25000 129.59 (-0.33)          Billy Bob Thornton (BBTHO) 25000 8.65 (-0.05)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 60.21 (-0.50)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 60.21 (-0.50)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.60 (+0.73)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.60 (+0.73)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 13.37 (+0.78)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 13.37 (+0.78)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 30.61 (+1.09)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 30.61 (+1.09)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 25000 30.70 (+0.12)          Bill Murray (BMURR) 25000 94.67 (-0.25)          Lucky Lu (LUCLU) 4709 1.99 (0.00)          F1 (FORM1) 3 91.50 (-0.16)          Tim Blake Nelson (TBNEL) 25000 35.10 (+0.12)          Benedict Wong (BWONG) 25000 166.93 (-1.00)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 150000 3.42 (+0.18)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 150000 3.42 (+0.18)          William Tell (WITEL) 150000 3.33 (+0.13)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 100000 288.68 (+0.48)          William Tell (WITEL) 150000 3.33 (+0.13)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 3 (TCS53) 125 11.33 (+0.66)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 235 288.68 (+0.48)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 68.60 (+1.55)          Oscar Isaac (OISAA) 25000 94.95 (-0.25)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 16.00 (-0.06)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 1000 7.77 (-0.01)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 68.60 (+1.55)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 1000 3.42 (+0.18)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 13333 68.60 (+1.55)          Bryce Dallas Howard (BDHOW) 25000 129.69 (-0.66)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 1000 288.68 (+0.48)          Bryce Dallas Howard (BDHOW) 25000 129.69 (-0.66)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 2222 68.60 (+1.55)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 1000 5.35 (+0.30)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 1000 1.70 (0.00)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 49999 68.60 (+1.55)          The Friend (FREND) 1000 3.84 (+0.10)          & Sons (ASONS) 6 4.39 (-0.58)          Brian Tyree Henry (BTHEN) 25000 127.50 (-0.33)          Seneca - On The Creation Of Eart (SOTCE) 150000 0.01 (-0.01)          Brian Cox (BCOX) 25000 9.34 (+0.05)          Brandon Sklenar (BSKLE) 25000 48.84 (-0.16)          Noah Baumbach (NBAUM) 5000 2.42 (0.00)          Boyd Holbrook (BHOLB) 25000 55.51 (+0.33)          Boyd Holbrook (BHOLB) 25000 55.51 (+0.33)          Bobby Cannavale (BCANN) 25000 47.54 (-0.16)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 25000 56.82 (+0.33)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 25000 56.82 (+0.33)          Billy Porter (BPORT) 25000 18.16 (-0.10)          Billy Eichner (BEICH) 25000 129.59 (-0.33)          Billy Bob Thornton (BBTHO) 25000 8.65 (-0.05)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 60.21 (-0.50)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 60.21 (-0.50)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.60 (+0.73)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.60 (+0.73)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 13.37 (+0.78)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 13.37 (+0.78)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 30.61 (+1.09)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 30.61 (+1.09)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 25000 30.70 (+0.12)          Bill Murray (BMURR) 25000 94.67 (-0.25)          Lucky Lu (LUCLU) 4709 1.99 (0.00)          F1 (FORM1) 3 91.50 (-0.16)          Tim Blake Nelson (TBNEL) 25000 35.10 (+0.12)          Benedict Wong (BWONG) 25000 166.93 (-1.00)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 150000 3.42 (+0.18)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 150000 3.42 (+0.18)          William Tell (WITEL) 150000 3.33 (+0.13)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 100000 288.68 (+0.48)          William Tell (WITEL) 150000 3.33 (+0.13)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 3 (TCS53) 125 11.33 (+0.66)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 235 288.68 (+0.48)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 68.60 (+1.55)          Oscar Isaac (OISAA) 25000 94.95 (-0.25)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 16.00 (-0.06)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 1000 7.77 (-0.01)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 68.60 (+1.55)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 1000 3.42 (+0.18)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 13333 68.60 (+1.55)          Bryce Dallas Howard (BDHOW) 25000 129.69 (-0.66)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 1000 288.68 (+0.48)          Bryce Dallas Howard (BDHOW) 25000 129.69 (-0.66)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 2222 68.60 (+1.55)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 1000 5.35 (+0.30)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 1000 1.70 (0.00)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 49999 68.60 (+1.55)          The Friend (FREND) 1000 3.84 (+0.10)          & Sons (ASONS) 6 4.39 (-0.58)          Brian Tyree Henry (BTHEN) 25000 127.50 (-0.33)          Seneca - On The Creation Of Eart (SOTCE) 150000 0.01 (-0.01)          Brian Cox (BCOX) 25000 9.34 (+0.05)          Brandon Sklenar (BSKLE) 25000 48.84 (-0.16)          Noah Baumbach (NBAUM) 5000 2.42 (0.00)          Boyd Holbrook (BHOLB) 25000 55.51 (+0.33)          Boyd Holbrook (BHOLB) 25000 55.51 (+0.33)          Bobby Cannavale (BCANN) 25000 47.54 (-0.16)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 25000 56.82 (+0.33)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 25000 56.82 (+0.33)          Billy Porter (BPORT) 25000 18.16 (-0.10)          Billy Eichner (BEICH) 25000 129.59 (-0.33)          Billy Bob Thornton (BBTHO) 25000 8.65 (-0.05)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 60.21 (-0.50)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 60.21 (-0.50)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.60 (+0.73)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.60 (+0.73)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 13.37 (+0.78)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 13.37 (+0.78)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 30.61 (+1.09)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 30.61 (+1.09)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 25000 30.70 (+0.12)          Bill Murray (BMURR) 25000 94.67 (-0.25)          Lucky Lu (LUCLU) 4709 1.99 (0.00)          F1 (FORM1) 3 91.50 (-0.16)          Tim Blake Nelson (TBNEL) 25000 35.10 (+0.12)          Benedict Wong (BWONG) 25000 166.93 (-1.00)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 150000 3.42 (+0.18)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 150000 3.42 (+0.18)          William Tell (WITEL) 150000 3.33 (+0.13)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 100000 288.68 (+0.48)          William Tell (WITEL) 150000 3.33 (+0.13)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 3 (TCS53) 125 11.33 (+0.66)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 235 288.68 (+0.48)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 68.60 (+1.55)          Oscar Isaac (OISAA) 25000 94.95 (-0.25)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 16.00 (-0.06)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 1000 7.77 (-0.01)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 68.60 (+1.55)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 1000 3.42 (+0.18)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 13333 68.60 (+1.55)          Bryce Dallas Howard (BDHOW) 25000 129.69 (-0.66)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 1000 288.68 (+0.48)          Bryce Dallas Howard (BDHOW) 25000 129.69 (-0.66)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 2222 68.60 (+1.55)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 1000 5.35 (+0.30)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 1000 1.70 (0.00)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 49999 68.60 (+1.55)          The Friend (FREND) 1000 3.84 (+0.10)          & Sons (ASONS) 6 4.39 (-0.58)          Brian Tyree Henry (BTHEN) 25000 127.50 (-0.33)          Seneca - On The Creation Of Eart (SOTCE) 150000 0.01 (-0.01)          Brian Cox (BCOX) 25000 9.34 (+0.05)          Brandon Sklenar (BSKLE) 25000 48.84 (-0.16)          Noah Baumbach (NBAUM) 5000 2.42 (0.00)          Boyd Holbrook (BHOLB) 25000 55.51 (+0.33)          Boyd Holbrook (BHOLB) 25000 55.51 (+0.33)          Bobby Cannavale (BCANN) 25000 47.54 (-0.16)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 25000 56.82 (+0.33)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 25000 56.82 (+0.33)          Billy Porter (BPORT) 25000 18.16 (-0.10)          Billy Eichner (BEICH) 25000 129.59 (-0.33)          Billy Bob Thornton (BBTHO) 25000 8.65 (-0.05)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 60.21 (-0.50)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 60.21 (-0.50)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.60 (+0.73)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.60 (+0.73)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 13.37 (+0.78)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 13.37 (+0.78)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 30.61 (+1.09)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 30.61 (+1.09)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 25000 30.70 (+0.12)          Bill Murray (BMURR) 25000 94.67 (-0.25)          Lucky Lu (LUCLU) 4709 1.99 (0.00)          F1 (FORM1) 3 91.50 (-0.16)          Tim Blake Nelson (TBNEL) 25000 35.10 (+0.12)          Benedict Wong (BWONG) 25000 166.93 (-1.00)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 150000 3.42 (+0.18)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 150000 3.42 (+0.18)          William Tell (WITEL) 150000 3.33 (+0.13)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 100000 288.68 (+0.48)          William Tell (WITEL) 150000 3.33 (+0.13)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 3 (TCS53) 125 11.33 (+0.66)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 235 288.68 (+0.48)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 68.60 (+1.55)          Oscar Isaac (OISAA) 25000 94.95 (-0.25)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 16.00 (-0.06)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 1000 7.77 (-0.01)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 68.60 (+1.55)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 1000 3.42 (+0.18)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 13333 68.60 (+1.55)          Bryce Dallas Howard (BDHOW) 25000 129.69 (-0.66)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 1000 288.68 (+0.48)          Bryce Dallas Howard (BDHOW) 25000 129.69 (-0.66)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 2222 68.60 (+1.55)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 1000 5.35 (+0.30)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 1000 1.70 (0.00)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 49999 68.60 (+1.55)          The Friend (FREND) 1000 3.84 (+0.10)          & Sons (ASONS) 6 4.39 (-0.58)          Brian Tyree Henry (BTHEN) 25000 127.50 (-0.33)          Seneca - On The Creation Of Eart (SOTCE) 150000 0.01 (-0.01)          Brian Cox (BCOX) 25000 9.34 (+0.05)          Brandon Sklenar (BSKLE) 25000 48.84 (-0.16)          Noah Baumbach (NBAUM) 5000 2.42 (0.00)          Boyd Holbrook (BHOLB) 25000 55.51 (+0.33)          Boyd Holbrook (BHOLB) 25000 55.51 (+0.33)          Bobby Cannavale (BCANN) 25000 47.54 (-0.16)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 25000 56.82 (+0.33)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 25000 56.82 (+0.33)          Billy Porter (BPORT) 25000 18.16 (-0.10)          Billy Eichner (BEICH) 25000 129.59 (-0.33)          Billy Bob Thornton (BBTHO) 25000 8.65 (-0.05)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 60.21 (-0.50)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 60.21 (-0.50)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.60 (+0.73)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.60 (+0.73)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 13.37 (+0.78)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 13.37 (+0.78)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 30.61 (+1.09)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 30.61 (+1.09)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 25000 30.70 (+0.12)          Bill Murray (BMURR) 25000 94.67 (-0.25)          Lucky Lu (LUCLU) 4709 1.99 (0.00)          F1 (FORM1) 3 91.50 (-0.16)          Tim Blake Nelson (TBNEL) 25000 35.10 (+0.12)          Benedict Wong (BWONG) 25000 166.93 (-1.00)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 150000 3.42 (+0.18)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 150000 3.42 (+0.18)          William Tell (WITEL) 150000 3.33 (+0.13)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 100000 288.68 (+0.48)          William Tell (WITEL) 150000 3.33 (+0.13)          The Chosen: Last Supper - Part 3 (TCS53) 125 11.33 (+0.66)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 235 288.68 (+0.48)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 68.60 (+1.55)          Oscar Isaac (OISAA) 25000 94.95 (-0.25)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 16.00 (-0.06)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 1000 7.77 (-0.01)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 68.60 (+1.55)          The Luckiest Man in America (PLUCK) 1000 3.42 (+0.18)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 13333 68.60 (+1.55)          Bryce Dallas Howard (BDHOW) 25000 129.69 (-0.66)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 1000 288.68 (+0.48)          Bryce Dallas Howard (BDHOW) 25000 129.69 (-0.66)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 2222 68.60 (+1.55)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 1000 5.35 (+0.30)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 1000 1.70 (0.00)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 49999 68.60 (+1.55)          The Friend (FREND) 1000 3.84 (+0.10)          & Sons (ASONS) 6 4.39 (-0.58)          Brian Tyree Henry (BTHEN) 25000 127.50 (-0.33)          Seneca - On The Creation Of Eart (SOTCE) 150000 0.01 (-0.01)          Brian Cox (BCOX) 25000 9.34 (+0.05)          Brandon Sklenar (BSKLE) 25000 48.84 (-0.16)          Noah Baumbach (NBAUM) 5000 2.42 (0.00)          Boyd Holbrook (BHOLB) 25000 55.51 (+0.33)          Boyd Holbrook (BHOLB) 25000 55.51 (+0.33)          Bobby Cannavale (BCANN) 25000 47.54 (-0.16)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 25000 56.82 (+0.33)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 25000 56.82 (+0.33)          Billy Porter (BPORT) 25000 18.16 (-0.10)          Billy Eichner (BEICH) 25000 129.59 (-0.33)          Billy Bob Thornton (BBTHO) 25000 8.65 (-0.05)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 60.21 (-0.50)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 60.21 (-0.50)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.60 (+0.73)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 13.60 (+0.73)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 13.37 (+0.78)          Eden aka Origin Of Species (OSPEC) 150000 13.37 (+0.78)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 30.61 (+1.09)          Warfare (WARFR) 150000 30.61 (+1.09)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 25000 30.70 (+0.12)          Bill Murray (BMURR) 25000 94.67 (-0.25)          Lucky Lu (LUCLU) 4709 1.99 (0.00)          F1 (FORM1) 3 91.50 (-0.16)          Tim Blake Nelson (TBNEL) 25000 35.10 (+0.12)          Benedict Wong (BWONG) 25000 166.93 (-1.00)