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On second look, I see one SHRK4 abstainer in the second thread, lapuckfan. But there are always enough fuzzy declarations to make...

Posted by: second gary (a.k.a 80181597) on May 22, 17:51 in response to Facto's post I thought I definitely saw several abstainers for Shrek....

... a more exact summary difficult at best.

ERC: SHRK4 72M the MGRUB 4M {nm} Vashta Nerada May 22, 08:36

Gut check review: SHRK4 around 14-7-0, MGRUB around 3-14-2. {nm} second gary May 22, 08:40

Long-short-abstain? {nm} Facto May 22, 08:59

Yes. {nm} second gary May 22, 09:06

If you're going to do abstains then you need to include all the people patting themselves on the back who didn't post a gut check. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:09

Count me in that group. {nm} PendenteLite May 22, 10:05

I thought I definitely saw several abstainers for Shrek. Perhaps you didn't count in all the gut-check threads.. ? {nm} Facto May 22, 09:10

On second look, I see one SHRK4 abstainer in the second thread, lapuckfan. But there are always enough fuzzy declarations to make... second gary May 22, 17:51

Yes 2/2.....batting 1.000 over the past month. well including the robin hood, being that it fell after adjust. {nm} NOLEAFCLOVR May 22, 10:01

Abstaining from an opening is basically admitting that you are a complete lightweight. {nm} lhayes37 May 22, 11:24

Dropoffs: RBNHD 18M, 50% LJULT 9M, 33.5% JUSTW 4.5M, 45.4% {nm} Vashta Nerada May 22, 08:43

IRMN2 projection is coming in about $3M lite with actuals but with next week being a long weekend it should still delist within the Vashta Nerada May 22, 09:09

So probably within 275-280M, then... (?) {nm} Facto May 22, 09:14

You didn't include Monday in your projections and that's about $4 mil you didn't account for right there. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:19

You may want to tag your delist posts so we can find them easier later. {nm} secretstalker May 22, 09:23

That is unreal. I shorted MGRUB.....I was pretty sure it was short but 4??? 4 mil WOW {nm} Borat May 22, 09:01

Still, it hardly mitigates the blow for us SHRK4-longers/MGRUB shorters... Only 400k profits, vs 2,5M loss on Shrek. Holy macaroni. Facto May 22, 09:04

The MGRUB short is worth $1.0-1.1M. The halt was $32 and change. {nm} second gary May 22, 09:07

A-ha.. Poor thinking on my part. I was thinking OW; and not adjust-prices. So naturally then 2.7 better profits than I calculated. Facto May 22, 09:12

That would be "dissolved in alcohol", of course.. Another pointer as to how bad the situation actually was :-D {nm} Facto May 23, 18:30

And I also shorted the put.... Ooops. Anyhew, this further corroborates that the LAT are no longer a perfect prophet. Facto May 22, 09:09

Yes I'm painfully aware. {nm} Borat May 22, 09:11

Bust, all I had was Shrek long. {nm} Instro May 22, 10:18





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Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 1000 10.68 (+0.68)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 300 155.69 (+0.11)          Barkhad Abdi (BABDI) 999 45.99 (0.00)          Barkhad Abdi (BABDI) 999 45.99 (0.00)          The Conjuring: Last Rites (CNJU4) 666 56.32 (0.00)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 6666 35.90 (0.00)          The Monkey (MONKY) 6666 29.20 (0.00)          Werewolves (WEREW) 20000 16.41 (+0.46)          Werewolves (WEREW) 25000 16.41 (+0.46)          Gundam (GUNDM) 100000 14.11 (+0.22)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.68 (+0.68)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.68 (+0.68)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 12.53 (+0.52)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 12.53 (+0.52)          Famous (FAMOS) 150000 21.82 (+0.11)          Famous (FAMOS) 150000 21.82 (+0.11)          Hercules (HRCUL) 5000 32.80 (0.00)          Den of Thieves 2: Pantera (DENO2) 1200 27.97 (0.00)          Den of Thieves 2: Pantera (DENO2) 1200 27.97 (0.00)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 50000 155.69 (+0.11)          Spinal Tap II (STAP2) 3000 19.82 (0.00)          Scary Stories To Tell In The Dar (SSTI2) 5000 5.11 (0.00)          Blade (BLAD1) 1000 91.57 (0.00)          The Order (TORDR) 10000 5.82 (0.00)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 69200 5.66 (+0.01)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 69200 5.66 (+0.01)          The Return (TRETU) 10800 7.55 (0.00)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 25000 10.68 (+0.68)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 19200 20.36 (-0.01)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 1000 20.36 (-0.01)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 600 8.62 (0.00)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 25000 10.68 (+0.68)          Relay (RELAY) 10000 3.63 (+0.27)          Relay (RELAY) 6000 3.63 (+0.27)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 25000 10.68 (+0.68)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 1 10.68 (+0.68)          They Found Us (THFUS) 3000 15.29 (+0.29)          Werewolves (WEREW) 10000 16.41 (+0.46)          Vicious (VICUS) 1000 24.71 (-0.01)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 149999 19.82 (+0.51)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 4000 8.89 (+0.07)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 9200 8.89 (+0.07)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.68 (+0.68)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 4000 8.89 (+0.07)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 30600 10.68 (+0.68)          Phoebe Dynevor (PDYNE) 15000 10.73 (+0.10)          Werewolves (WEREW) 15000 16.41 (+0.46)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 30000 8.44 (-0.19)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 60000 8.44 (-0.19)          Relay (RELAY) 150000 3.63 (+0.27)