HSX Forum

Movies

Since it's Friday and we can gut check, I'm tentatively long on the OW but I'm sticking with $75m weekend

Posted by: TheWeekendWarrior on Mar 24, 08:51 in response to TheWeekendWarrior's post But so is 62 if it's as frontloaded as a superhero sequel...

What really sucks is that the Gold Derby over/under cut-off for Wick *IS* $75 so if it's on the fence Sunday, it could go either way.

THR: ‘John Wick 4’ Blazes to $8.9M in Thursday Previews Peter453 Mar 24, 07:39

Same multiplier as WICK3 would give it an OW of 85.7M. {nm} Jay_Beezy Mar 24, 07:56

80 OW is very possible {nm} Peter453 Mar 24, 07:59

TN: SHAZ2 1M Thursday Peter453 Mar 24, 08:00

Unusual for DL to have an early lowball number (sarcasm) {nm} Peter453 Mar 24, 08:02

But so is 62 if it's as frontloaded as a superhero sequel (that would be a 7X mult, not even the lowest possible) {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Mar 24, 08:49

Since it's Friday and we can gut check, I'm tentatively long on the OW but I'm sticking with $75m weekend TheWeekendWarrior Mar 24, 08:51

62M is not possible. Sales are strong across the weekend. {nm} Peter453 Mar 24, 08:52

If it plays like a John Wick sequel, 80M+ is in play. {nm} Jay_Beezy Mar 24, 09:11

Like I said earlier this week, go with the over-performance {nm} VictorY Mar 24, 08:11

Encouraging sign is D&D is selling well for next week as well. Might get to 40 OW. {nm} Peter453 Mar 24, 08:15

DD looks like a solid word of mouth winner... I'd give it a big (not a huge) run thru April to still do very well {nm} VictorY Mar 24, 08:16

BTW, who here said that D&D isn't playing IMAX? It's taking over the main NYC IMAX screens on Thursday from Wick {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Mar 24, 08:59

Wasnt at the time, got a late in the game imax release set about 3 to 4 weeks ago {nm} notfabio Mar 24, 09:28

Mario is going to be huge. I think will be the highest grosser for the year (domestic) {nm} Peter453 Mar 24, 08:17

I'm on record here already saying it'll hit billion worldwide.. Win Spring.. I agree it could win the year depending on factors. {nm} VictorY Mar 24, 08:20

Mario Bros. also opens in spring... in just two weeks in fact. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Mar 24, 08:52

Overall this should be a good sign that the spin off Ballerina is going to do well with cameos from KREEV and IMSCH {nm} Peter453 Mar 24, 08:57

They need to come up with some dumb BALLERINA: FROM THE WORLD OF JOHN WICK subtitle {nm} notfabio Mar 24, 08:59

I'm sure it'll be in the marketing...Chad Stahelski has minimum involvement with Ballerina though his stunt team is doing it, I believe. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Mar 24, 09:06





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


In the Summers (ITSUM) 2004 0.14 (+0.01)          Kelly Reilly (KREIL) 25000 12.26 (+0.30)          In the Summers (ITSUM) 996 0.14 (+0.01)          Happy Clothes: A Film About Patr (HCAPF) 998 0.06 (0.00)          Happy Clothes: A Film About Patr (HCAPF) 298 0.06 (0.00)          Predator: Badlands (PRED6) 150000 52.38 (-0.24)          Wicked (WICKD) 25000 307.30 (+1.40)          Eureka (EURKA) 1000 0.04 (0.00)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 1997 1.25 (-0.01)          The Senior (SENIR) 3001 4.73 (+1.16)          A Different Man (ADIFM) 1498 1.13 (0.00)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 10000 87.87 (-0.92)          A Different Man (ADIFM) 502 1.13 (0.00)          Queer (QUEER) 150000 3.78 (-0.26)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 20000 167.40 (-3.10)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 22222 44.14 (-2.00)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 55001 44.14 (-2.00)          Winner (WINNR) 2199 0.45 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 80.13 (+5.12)          Wicked (WICKD) 25000 307.30 (+1.40)          Moana 2 H$130 Call Wed-Sun (MOAN2.CA) 25000 6.64 (+0.01)          The 4:30 Movie (T430M) 1500 0.15 (0.00)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 80000 167.40 (-3.10)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 7000 6.04 (-0.16)          The Critic (KLTLT) 497 0.39 (0.00)          Elevation (ELVTN) 15000 2.87 (-0.03)          The Critic (KLTLT) 1497 0.39 (0.00)          Fede Alvarez (FALVA) 25000 62.04 (-0.74)          Dan Da Dan (DDDAN) 2000 2.31 (-0.06)          The Concierge (CNCRG) 1503 1.63 (0.00)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 167.40 (-3.10)          The Thicket (THCKT) 3994 0.03 (-0.01)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 4.73 (+1.16)          Toby Jones (TOJON) 1 33.63 (0.00)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 167.40 (-3.10)          Casa Bonita Mi Amor! (CBMA) 2501 0.17 (0.00)          The Actor (TACTR) 3700 0.54 (-0.02)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 5528 282.48 (+1.21)          Parthenope (PRTNP) 502 2.49 (0.00)          Parthenope (PRTNP) 102 2.49 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 80.13 (+5.12)          Moana 2 - Opening Weekend Wed-Su (MOAN2.OW) 1000 140.02 (0.00)          Fast X Part 2 aka Fast & Furious (FAF11) 150000 131.61 (-0.22)          Dear Santa (DSATA) 800 0.58 (-0.13)          Red One (REDON) 4501 86.68 (-0.87)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 266.75 (+0.23)          Red One (REDON) 4901 86.68 (-0.87)          Song Sung Blues (SSBLU) 5000 21.15 (+0.02)          The Drama (TDRAM) 150000 18.88 (-0.21)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 42500 167.40 (-3.10)