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Your points about Twister and Bad Boys are spot on; just goes to show how much people still believe in tracking data.

Posted by: goodvibe61 on May 04, 10:23 in response to SenJohnBlutarsky's post SUMMER 7 analysis

Personally, I find it difficult to believe that Bad Boys will be that popular. I still cannot believe what Smith did, and whenever i hear the guy's name i think things that evdently others don't think about. 

But when you look around at the various tracking data that's been published, it insists that Bad Boys is perhaps the most anticipated movie outside the big 3 this summer. And HSX's numbers reflect that. And so there you are; almost everyone has selected it, including myself. 

And i think Twister is a real wild card; again, i picked it instead of A Quiet Place or Apes mostly because I'm not sure what to think of its prospects, and i know how badly i got burned last summer by Barbie. And previously by Top Gun. Movies I badly forecasted. There are some movies you feel less confident in than others regarding how it will do. 

I put Mad Max in there despite the mediocre tracking. Why? I think because there are alot of lovers of the last one. Of all these summer movies maybe this will be the one with the best legs? No idea actually. 

Good luck everyone. 





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Moana 2 (MOAN2) 1 394.81 (0.00)          Afterburn (AFBRN) 149999 16.81 (+0.05)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 1 394.81 (0.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 256.82 (+1.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 256.82 (+1.00)          Cliff Curtis (CCURT) 25000 87.82 (0.00)          Cliff Curtis (CCURT) 25000 87.82 (0.00)          Queer (QUEER) 150000 2.77 (-0.02)          The Outrun (OUTRN) 150000 1.25 (-0.02)          A Complete Unknown (GOELC) 2000 29.43 (0.00)          Memoir of a Snail (MOASN) 150000 1.09 (-0.02)          Kanguva (KNGUV) 150000 2.22 (-0.02)          Ernest Cole: Lost and Found (ECLAF) 150000 0.34 (-0.02)          Christmas Eve in Miller's Point (CEIMP) 150000 0.30 (-0.02)          Red One (REDON) 150000 88.86 (-0.49)          Mark Strong (MSTRO) 25000 78.32 (-0.25)          Morena Baccarin (MBACC) 25000 51.24 (+0.34)          Morena Baccarin (MBACC) 25000 51.24 (+0.34)          Lesley Manville (LMANV) 25000 5.49 (+0.20)          Lesley Manville (LMANV) 25000 5.49 (+0.20)          Ken Jeong (KJEON) 25000 27.82 (+0.13)          Jason Mewes (JMEWE) 25000 1.39 (+0.02)          Ian McKellen (IMCKE) 25000 9.30 (+0.10)          Ian McKellen (IMCKE) 25000 9.30 (+0.10)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 11.79 (+0.29)          Nightbitch (NTBTC) 50000 6.72 (+0.01)          Cillian Murphy (CMURP) 25000 84.25 (+0.26)          A Winter's Journey (AWNTJ) 150000 4.00 (-0.12)          Anthony Mackie (AMACK) 25000 53.96 (+0.33)          Standing on the Shoulders of Kit (SOTSK) 150000 1.91 (+0.14)          Anthony Mackie (AMACK) 25000 53.96 (+0.33)          Standing on the Shoulders of Kit (SOTSK) 150000 1.91 (+0.14)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 3.70 (-0.07)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 3.70 (-0.07)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 150000 18.99 (-0.27)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 100000 18.99 (-0.27)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 149999 23.91 (-0.06)          O'Dessa (ODESA) 150000 4.28 (+0.08)          O'Dessa (ODESA) 150000 4.28 (+0.08)          Standing on the Shoulders of Kit (SOTSK) 150000 1.91 (+0.14)          Standing on the Shoulders of Kit (SOTSK) 150000 1.91 (+0.14)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 150000 18.85 (-0.42)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 150000 18.85 (-0.42)          Red One (REDON) 150000 88.86 (-0.49)          Red One (REDON) 150000 88.86 (-0.49)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 50000 253.08 (-1.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 77.20 (-1.25)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 77.20 (-1.25)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 253.08 (-1.00)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 22.08 (+0.49)