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This is a much smoke as the posts above. INCPT would have to have

Posted by: H-Mogul on Jul 21, 14:13 in response to grammar's post To be taken seriously, one has to supply some sort of...

declines of 60% both weekend and weekdays to make this price.  Also that hasn't been updated with the weekdays. With the 1st weekend holds and the great WOM I don't see this happening. There is not one numbers person here that didn't do this before we got Monday est/act, it gives you an idea of how to play the post adjust movements in relation to what maybe the eventual delist.

Assuming that it does $9M Wed and Thurs and use that as a base and we just do declines of 50% weekday and weekends you get a delist of $192. 

To get a delist of $240 INCPT would need a hold of 30% all things being equal. Which is a better multiple then Dragon had earlier this year. It won't get the young sub 13, it will get adults that don't go first weekend and wait for what their friends and critics, and those that tend only to go to event movies. Plus those that have to see it again so they can figure it out. :)

Now of course the only big mindf*** movie I can think of off the top of my head is "The Sixth Sense" it had massive holds I don't think INCPT will get anywhere near those holds.

Remember that your mileage may vary.  But everybody is going to be watching for  the early Friday numbers.





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