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The examples others have mentioned (Blair Witch, Grudge) give me pause; Ring 2 opened to $35m

Posted by: xiayun on Oct 17, 18:48 in response to secretstalker's post You don't think a sequel to a movie that grossed $107...

but that followed a film with one of the best legs ever for the horror genre, and the performance was generally considered disappointing too with expectations in the $50m opening range.  That would be the absolute best case scenario for PA2, but I don't see the original having that good of WOM for the sequel to come close to the number.

 

RS: [PNAC2] high 20s, [HAFTR] high single digits secretstalker Oct 17, 16:31

Feel it's a little high on PNAC2, while a little low on HAFTR, although the latter is definitely not breaking out {nm} xiayun Oct 17, 16:45

PNAC2 definetly has the potential to be huge again. {nm} gogreen Oct 17, 17:06

So far advance sales have been soft, but the trailer does get good reaction {nm} notfabio Oct 17, 17:47

You don't think a sequel to a movie that grossed $107 million can do at least $30 million opening weekend in a wide release? secretstalker Oct 17, 17:45

Blair Witch 2! {nm} mickpix Oct 17, 17:48

The Grudge 2 islander Oct 17, 17:59

Except PNAC2 is coming out only a year later and it uses the same conventions as the original secretstalker Oct 17, 18:13

The examples others have mentioned (Blair Witch, Grudge) give me pause; Ring 2 opened to $35m xiayun Oct 17, 18:48

Ring 2 was hampered over a film terms issue with at least one major theatre chain (same as The Island) that booked far less prints/late show {nm} notfabio Oct 17, 19:38

I agree, the dvd sold extremely well for a high box office horror film. lots of upside in the sequel {nm} Moviesnob Oct 17, 19:04

Sounds about right to me... {nm} Port Value League Admin Oct 17, 16:46

Thanks ! joeoftexas Oct 17, 16:57

I know saw 6 made only 14.1 on opening weekend, though we may see an upsight tick with the final installment {nm} karspov Oct 17, 17:08

ERC's guesses: PNAC2 36, HAFTR 14. second gary Oct 17, 17:18

BoxOffice guesses: PNAC2 29, SAW 20...see all BO's other guesses - link inside. Port Value League Admin Oct 17, 19:17

LINK Port Value League Admin Oct 17, 19:18





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See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 3.57 (-0.43)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 1520 171.44 (+0.61)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 6 6.05 (0.00)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 150000 24.36 (-0.29)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 12.51 (-0.70)          Dear Santa (DSATA) 41 0.80 (-0.06)          Red One (REDON) 1 86.13 (0.00)          Dear Santa (DSATA) 2746 0.80 (-0.06)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 25 6.05 (0.00)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 90 6.05 (0.00)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 52 6.05 (0.00)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 3.57 (-0.43)          Dear Santa (DSATA) 147213 0.80 (-0.06)          Venom: The Last Dance $130M Bloc (VENM3.BW) 500 10.35 (+0.11)          Venom: The Last Dance $130M Bloc (VENM3.BW) 1000 10.35 (+0.11)          Venom: The Last Dance $130M Bloc (VENM3.BW) 14000 10.35 (+0.11)          The Senior (SENIR) 149999 3.01 (-0.77)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 3.01 (-0.77)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 273.32 (-3.50)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 273.32 (-3.50)          Smurfs (SMRF4) 149999 33.74 (+0.38)          Smurfs (SMRF4) 150000 33.74 (+0.38)          Venom: The Last Dance $130M Bloc (VENM3.BW) 25000 10.35 (+0.11)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 12000 14.97 (-0.02)          Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 149999 16.26 (+0.59)          Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 149999 16.26 (+0.59)          Untitled M. Night Shyamalan aka (GDGRD) 5600 19.83 (-0.02)          Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 150000 16.26 (+0.59)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 3 35.16 (-0.10)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 70000 171.44 (+0.61)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 149999 9.14 (+0.65)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 9.14 (+0.65)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 20000 23.25 (-0.02)          Motor City (MTRCT) 149999 14.20 (+0.82)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 1999 23.25 (-0.02)          Motor City (MTRCT) 150000 14.20 (+0.82)          Roofman (ROOFM) 149999 21.55 (+0.88)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 7193 281.57 (+0.03)          Roofman (ROOFM) 150000 21.55 (+0.88)          Madden (MADEN) 36000 28.48 (-0.09)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 149999 20.45 (+1.07)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 150000 20.45 (+1.07)          Barbarella (BARBA) 20000 44.67 (-0.22)          Dear Santa (DSATA) 150000 0.80 (-0.06)          The 4:30 Movie (T430M) 149999 0.17 (+0.01)          Wolfs (WOLFS) 149999 1.07 (0.00)          Moana 2 - Opening Weekend Wed-Su (MOAN2.OW) 20000 140.78 (+0.05)          Gundam (GUNDM) 100000 14.15 (+0.04)          Y2K (Y2K) 150000 16.27 (+0.12)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 3404 35.16 (-0.10)