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Well even though somebody I think it was SS said that this have some of the best action he's seen in a long time. That doesn't come accross

Posted by: Vashta Nerada (a.k.a H-Mogul) on Dec 12, 18:55 in response to eyescovered's post Why is it so hard to believe that TRON2 won't do as well...

in the ads. It looks retro Tron and they haven't sold the wow factor to anybody but the geeks and they were presold. Second some of the geekness rubbed off, and I'm one of those that has gone from must see to wait and see. They are emphizing the 3D and shine has rubbed off that too since Avatar. Just saw a new ad tonight and thought this is better but might be to little to late.

YOGIB  just looks bad but that doesn't mean it won't sell tickets. Even parents don't really know who Yogi Bear is the grand parents might. Yogi playes at 2am on my cable channel. That saying it's Christmas and the praents need to get rid of the kids for a few hours. Tangled going into it's 4th weekend and playing better with good WoM. Probably be a last minute thing with me but the ads don't inspire hope.

HDYKN, more rom/com from RWITH, Yawn nothing new here. She doesn't have the majic she used to  have.

FITER probably has the best chance to make its price that said, it might be a bit of a tight fit at Christmas, working class  boxer, meth adicted brother, foul language white trash girlfriend  that used to be a princess.  That all said America loves a winner, has some Oscar buzz for MWAHL and the movie, but some detractors saying the movie isn't as good as it could have been. Even if it does half Cinderella Man it should come out ok and have legs through to New Years.

 

Either RS is on crack or we all are: [YOGIB] low 30s [TRON2] high 20s [FITER] low double digits [HDYKN] even lower double digits {nm} secretstalker Dec 12, 15:44

Thanks for the numbers. Their prediction for Narnia was off so it's hard to know. Think Tron should be a lot higher though {nm} numbersix_99 Dec 12, 15:47

Why is it so hard to believe that TRON2 won't do as well as HSX priced it? {nm} eyescovered Dec 12, 16:35

Well even though somebody I think it was SS said that this have some of the best action he's seen in a long time. That doesn't come accross Vashta Nerada Dec 12, 18:55

There is no Oscar buzz for MWAHL... none at all. In fact, everyone BUT MWAHL has Oscar buzz. {nm} secretstalker Dec 12, 18:56

***This*** has been playing all over MTV the last two weeks..."Derezzed" by Daft Punk (From Tron:Legacy) RazorHawk Dec 12, 21:37

With the exception of Tron, those numbers are much closer to reality than ERC {nm} RupertPupkin Dec 12, 15:50

Rs tends to over correct its projections when it overshoots the previous week {nm} notfabio Dec 12, 16:00

Yeah, but they've been saying 30s for TRON2 for weeks... and normally, they'll make a more reasonable prediction opening week secretstalker Dec 12, 16:03

Futures: secretstalker Dec 12, 15:51

Is that a typo for GULVR? {nm} The Commish Dec 12, 17:42

GULVR has a Dec 25 release, Dec 26 adjust (I'm assuming you were asking if 2 days is a typo?) {nm} RogerMore Dec 12, 17:46

I guess the stock page is wrong (it says 12/22 release) {nm} The Commish Dec 12, 18:59

Nope, that's 2 days... will be a 4.8 mult. {nm} secretstalker Dec 12, 18:02

MPRN3 has an 5-day with a 2.0 multiplier, right? Because it's not on the calendar yet... {nm} medusa Dec 12, 23:36

secretsalker-how do you get tracking numbers if you are not a subscriber paying alot, sorry for newb question in advance. {nm} HS-X Dec 13, 09:13

Tron has been tracking weak for weeks now and RS is not the only one who is pointing that out. {nm} filmboy20 Dec 12, 16:39

Yes. Even the informal polling at my theater has been weak. Sub-$45m OW appears likely and YOGIB isn't looking so hot, either. {nm} Rolling_Thunder Dec 12, 17:53

Is YOGIB "Patch Adams"? The holiday movie which looks beyond beyond bad, and yet is loved by some? second gary Dec 12, 19:21

$30M for TG doesn't sound high to me. That would be around the same numbers as Valkyrie and the buzz for TG is much stronger than that movie wrongturn687 Dec 12, 19:25

Would sub-45M really be that bad? Legs this time of year are pretty good. What's the good vs. bad OW threshold for it you think? {nm} HarryWarden Dec 12, 22:09

If YOGIB outgrosses TRON2, that would be an epic fail on the part of Disney's marketing. {nm} HarryWarden Dec 12, 22:15

Oh my god, I should have been watching HSX.. my port is a blood bath! {nm} MiyazakiFan Dec 13, 17:48

I shorted tron yesteray; I'm going into long mode now; I don't see how this movie could do less than 45M {nm} Carcharodon Dec 14, 06:15

Alright people, latest tracking at the studio puts the movie at 60, so RS is, indeed, on crack. Sounds more reasonable than 20 for this one. {nm} theinsider Dec 14, 19:02

Alvin and the chipmunks looks equally as terrible as YOGI.... and it made ton of $ when it came out. I think YOGI will make over 60 {nm} Faize Dec 16, 12:54





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