HOLLYWOOD STOCK EXCHANGE
THE ENTERTAINMENT MARKET
THE ENTERTAINMENT MARKET
Btw, before anyone asks (or since some may wonder without asking)
I don't believe I was holding any shares of that security, when commenting on your post. But anyone claiming to not know the significance of their words in this forum, on how it may affect stock movement, are either incredibly naive, or lying through their teeth. You seem to be be neither.
On the contrary, your description of yourself on your profile page, indicated that you are very seasoned in all relevant arenas. Also, the rep you accredit yourself with, will definitely add to the weight of your statements on the boards - not least when it comes to predicting opening weekends.
Personally, I lend little credence to box office derby rankings. Most people who engage in those, have too little of a clue, and go to one of the extremes - making it relatively easy to stay safe in the middle, and come out on top in the long run, if one is diligent. So, it counts towards your diligence, for me, and towards accuracy, to some degree. But if you are making posts based on the weight you carry, so to speak, it would be great to have some real numbers and valid comparisons - i.e. documentation. Something that lends credence to the numbers you throw out, besides just your credentials. I believe xiayun is good with providing at least some backing for his (very valuable) forecasts/gut checks - and regardless, we know we will get it in his blog, sometime during Friday.
Either way, I'm not sure what your statement of knowing what you are talking about was meant to reflect back upon? The fact that speculation is welcome here - or the weight your predictions carry, in and of themselves? I maintain that no one has a crystal ball - unless they are working for MTC or perform oversight in some other company performing tracking surveys.. Either way, I am interested in your input, and would love it if you substantiated somewhat more than just throwing numbers out there. (I hope you aren't forgetting what you wrote about yourself on your profile, and that less seasoned players, and less insider personnel, might attach too much relevance to what you write - believing perhaps that you have special access to early trackinig (although I'd say the tone of your relevant post here does not suggest that, in and of itself - it's only when seen in connection with your description of yourself on the player profile page, and taking into account your short follow up quip in response to me, added with some air of clout and/or authority - that it seems as if you are suggesting that you are talking from a position of better info than available to the average player.. and if so, I for one wouldn't mind a bit of clarification. I'm sure everyone loves a little piece of great, savvy analysis, but just numbers for numbers sake can get both confusing and a little tiresome.)
I'd just wish to know where your input is coming from, and what significance to attach to it. We seem to both think that Rio will do quite well, but I don't know why you think that. You prognosticate a prognosticator - MTC. And forget to mention that Rio is up against formidable competition this particular opening weekend, with Hop a strong holdover, and Scream 4 so far predicted to be the biggest opener.. Perhaps the market place will expand a little, to accomodate all, but what I am saying, based on what I've read other experienced analysts say, is that Rio's success will come from strong kiddie-flick + WOM legs, more than an explosive opening weekend. And in the end, only time will tell. Even the most seasoned box office analysts get taken quite by surprise, from time to time.. Or isn't that so? 
Ps. The entire point of how you, or anyone is holding, was retorical - of course 
(First of, it would be obvious, given what you posted, + as players, we can't ask, normally, except for around gutchecks time.)
RS: Scream high 40s, Rio mid 30s (really?), Conspirator 2 Apr 10, 14:50
Is the really? for RIO surprise because it should be higher or lower Apr 10, 14:59
Higher. {nm} Apr 10, 15:10
I agree the RIO targeting, marketing and reviews have been first class - it will be no 1 next week Apr 10, 15:31
I won't be surprised to see MTC come in quite a bit higher with RIO, which could point to $45m+. {nm} Apr 10, 15:30
(not sites, but site - the one with forecasts for all bigger movies opening the next few months) {nm} Apr 10, 16:27
Speculation is welcome here - I have enough experience to know what I'm talking about, Facto. {nm} Apr 10, 18:48
You have a crystal ball, you mean.. ? :-) Tell me instead whether you were holding the stock long at the time of posting Apr 10, 19:54
(judging the worth and weight of your post, I mean - for my own personal use) Apr 10, 19:55
Btw, before anyone asks (or since some may wonder without asking) Apr 10, 20:26
Case in point (for Rio predictions) Apr 10, 20:40
Eh, seems you're missing my point :-) Did you read all I wrote? Apr 10, 23:56
I'm more surprised by Prom, but this is RS after all {nm} Apr 10, 15:07
Exactly! What I am trying to add is that even though I am totally anti-RS, it can still serve a purpose of some kind. {nm} Apr 10, 16:38
Yes - also in keeping us alert, reflecting and social.. {nm} Apr 10, 16:42
Not sure who is going to watch Prom; I think twas DMac who wrote: Apr 10, 22:22
I'd bet my whole port that Rio does more than that in the OW. {nm} Apr 10, 20:16
Really? :-) Apr 10, 20:28
Re Conspirator, it could do a lot in 12 weeks if it did $2mil in its OW Apr 10, 22:19
My understanding is that it wasn't super-well-received at festivals Apr 11, 00:19
Except that there is a better than good chance that 550 is low if it's being considered a wide release by RS. Apr 11, 07:25
You forgot to tag [WELPH] for this RS post. {nm} Apr 13, 20:15