HSX Forum

Movies

It's a fact that Scream4 had the biggest Monday since Deathly Hollows..

Posted by: karspov on Apr 12, 23:21 in response to Paul2k's post It can be factual AND misleading at the same time. From a...

However, it only did 3/4 of the Monday tweets when compared with movies of the same genre and sequence order.. like Paranormal 2, which did around 40M opening..

Different ratios are used for different genres by boxoffice.. therefore when we compare twitter friendly genres like teenage or horror movies.. we will have to follow closely how the tweets perform as the week goes by..

I am not saying it won't do well, it's just that the signs are not looking rosy..

BO.com: 'Scream 4' rides premiere buzz To biggest Monday since 'Deathly Hallows' {nm} PVL Admin Apr 12, 20:44

http://www.boxoffice.com:80/statistics/twitter_article/2011-04-scream-4-rides-premiere-buzz-to-biggest-monday-since-deathly-hallows {nm} PVL Admin Apr 12, 20:45

"$20 million+ Friday including midnights still looks to be on the cards"...thats making me feel a lot better, THANKS! {nm} Moviesnob Apr 12, 21:05

Does BoxOffice have a better rep than MTC? They said 27 million all weekend {nm} secretstalker Apr 12, 21:29

well YOU said 40, which is more in line with BO. You better be reliable or I'll cut you {nm} Moviesnob Apr 12, 21:38

That is only an opinion, man. {nm} Antibody Apr 12, 21:32

watch it dude theres a beverage here! {nm} Moviesnob Apr 12, 21:39

That is a misleading headline. SCRM4's actual tweet count Monday is 25% less than PNAC2, which opened to $40M. {nm} Antibody Apr 12, 21:32

lol. How's that misleading. Since Deathly Hallows...which came out last? {nm} horlicks Apr 12, 22:11

You're smarter than that. It doesn't tell the story. Shouldn't the tweet counts of a horror sequel be more comparable to another horror seq Antibody Apr 12, 22:42

Doesn't make it incorrect. Its a factual statement. {nm} horlicks Apr 12, 23:01

It can be factual AND misleading at the same time. From a certain point of view, as old ben kenobi would say. {nm} Paul2k Apr 12, 23:04

It's a fact that Scream4 had the biggest Monday since Deathly Hollows.. karspov Apr 12, 23:21

Be weary of a single point analysis. horlicks Apr 12, 23:34

No problem Horlicks, because normally I pay loads of attention on your prediction site to decide on how the weekly openers will do.. karspov Apr 12, 23:48

Do you have evidence that genre matters in tweet analysis? ty97 Apr 12, 23:38

Finding ratios between tweet counts and box office according to genre/audience is the whole point of BOP's tweet analysis {nm} RogerMore Apr 13, 07:12

Did you even read the article before mouthing off? Antibody Apr 13, 10:10

I did, my statement stands. You are the moderator here, and have the power associated with that. ty97 Apr 13, 16:33

I don't know much about the Scream franchise, not being a fan of horror movies JohnTEQP Apr 12, 23:10

MTC is a force to be reckon with, with a few misses here and there,but alot of people here still have loads of confidence on its predictions {nm} karspov Apr 12, 23:23

Did someone already post MTC for this weekend? I can't seem to find them. {nm} petz Apr 13, 00:22

Link karspov Apr 13, 00:26

I loved it.. I made money shorting it when it started to drop. (inside) winstonman78 Apr 13, 05:11

And yeah the price is gonna drop like a bomb when it's been trading for a 37mil ow and MTC says 27. winstonman78 Apr 13, 05:14

Unless scream actually ends out making 40+ million... ;) jeankie Apr 13, 06:20

yah. and i can always dump the put stock if im making more than what its worth even if it did less than 40. winstonman78 Apr 13, 06:39

IMO the call for scream is pretty cheap and seems like low risk incase it does make 40mil. {nm} winstonman78 Apr 13, 06:47





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Frozen III (FROZ3) 150000 250.85 (-0.63)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 749 167.69 (-2.81)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 149999 4.45 (+0.99)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 140000 168.30 (-0.42)          The Senior (SENIR) 149999 4.32 (+0.75)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 4000 4.45 (+0.99)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 149999 4.45 (+0.99)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 150000 215.67 (+0.33)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 1000 77.58 (+2.57)          Jim Carrey (JCARR) 25000 116.51 (-0.33)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 4.32 (+0.75)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 149999 13.93 (+1.12)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 150000 11.80 (+0.15)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 149999 4.45 (+0.99)          Ridley Scott (RSCOT) 25000 62.04 (-0.50)          Ridley Scott (RSCOT) 25000 62.04 (-0.50)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 149999 265.74 (-0.78)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 150000 209.75 (+2.12)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 77.58 (+2.57)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 167.69 (-2.81)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 26508 77.58 (+2.57)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 50672 77.58 (+2.57)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 136.03 (+0.55)          Wolf Man (TWLFM) 5000 30.68 (+0.13)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 25000 167.69 (-2.81)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 167.69 (-2.81)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 77.58 (+2.57)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 150000 209.75 (+2.12)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 136.03 (+0.55)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 77.58 (+2.57)          Untitled Monsterverse Godzilla x (GOKO3) 138 115.21 (+0.11)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 10000 209.75 (+2.12)          Dear Santa (DSATA) 150000 0.68 (-0.03)          Ballerina (BLRNA) 97 81.73 (+0.08)          Spider-Man Untitled (SPID9) 25000 355.93 (-0.37)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 1402 167.69 (-2.81)          Elio (ELIO) 10000 135.18 (-0.15)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 25000 281.01 (-0.26)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 10000 77.58 (+2.57)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 100000 13.78 (-0.18)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFCN) 75000 121.18 (+0.16)          Moana 2 H$130 Put Wed-Sun (MOAN2.PU) 25000 1.00 (-0.02)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 77.58 (+2.57)          Elio (ELIO) 25000 135.18 (-0.15)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 4.32 (+0.75)          Avatar: Fire and Ash aka Avatar (AVAT3) 15000 437.38 (-0.18)          The Senior (SENIR) 100000 4.32 (+0.75)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 100000 38.27 (+0.43)          A Simple Favor 2 (ASFA2) 150000 17.69 (+0.06)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 100000 77.58 (+2.57)