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I like HSX, but it needs to expand beyond the U.S. Box Office

Posted by: halkells on Dec 03, 21:37

I like HSX, but it needs to expand beyond the U.S. Box Office. Maybe streaming views? Not just the U.S. but the global box office? Music streams? Podcast streams? Assuming the necessary data were open and available.

Here are 4 reasons why I think HSX needs to innovate and expand beyond the U.S. Box Office:

HSX traffic has fallen very far since 2004. Source: Google Trends, https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=all&geo=US&q=hollywood%20stock%20exchange,hsx
As long COVID-19 is reducing box office (see: Tenet) and streaming is preventing a huge number of movies from release (see: CTAM2, Witches, all 2021 Warner Bros. movies), betting against all movies or actors doing well is the only profitable strategy. Right now, no trader is profiting more with any other strategy; just look at the Forum. The whole market is spiraling downward.
The market will hit bottom and start to recover, probably in mid or late 2021, but the recovery will be incomplete. Even when movie theaters do reopen widely post-pandemic, home streaming and the loss of the exclusive theatrical release is a systemic blow to the U.S. Box Office. Lots of Americans will be watching at home. The Box Office is shrinking and becoming less interesting, permanently.
Even if HSX is called an "entertainment market," it is still heavily Box Office centric. Only one of the main types of securities (derivatives) ever talks about something non-movie related such as TV shows or political events. All the others (movie stocks, StarBonds, and movie funds) are 100% U.S. Box Office-related. People here only really talk only about the U.S. Box Office (see Forums). Becoming a true "entertainment market" has not really been tried yet.

I like HSX, but it needs to expand beyond the U.S. Box Office halkells Dec 03, 21:37

As has been said by many other people, how do you quantify the #s, especially when they aren’t reliably reported? The Big Short Dec 03, 23:39

Good question & here are some thoughts halkells Dec 04, 06:27

Re: negotiating access to streaming numbers. 1) too expensive; 2) they don't WANT to give the information out. {nm} DTravel Dec 04, 08:25

You are saying there is absolutely zero chance that HSX can offer win/win value and get to an agreement? {nm} halkells Dec 04, 10:39

One of the problems is companies face valuation risks if they release data {nm} The Big Short Dec 04, 12:01