HSX Forum

Movies

what's your prediction at this time {nm}

Posted by: shawman on Jun 27, 11:37 in response to xiayun's post Wow; don't say this often, but that'd be shocking

mtc tfrm 138 6 day Larry 15 and Monte 8 for 4 {nm} notfabio Jun 27, 10:48

...those dont sound like promising numbers for ANY of those movies! {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 10:50

138 is quite a bit lower than some other predictions isn't it? {nm} Juiced Jun 27, 10:50

That would be less than TFORM first 6 full days. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 10:54

could this be like a Super 8 thing, where the first trailer was awesome and got lots of buzz, but now the general public interest is waning? {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 10:57

No, this more like the previous sequel sucked, and sucked the interest from the general public. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 11:01

god, number 2 truly was terrible wasnt it. haha {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 11:04

I don't understand the tuesday opening, either. What's the benefit of that? WOM before the weekend? {nm} Juiced Jun 27, 11:05

If TFRM3 had the same Tue-Thu vs. Fri-Mon ratio as #2 (figuring Tue gains offset July 4 additions--last time was a non-Holiday), that would dsbman Jun 27, 10:56

wow {nm} krapnek Jun 27, 10:56

Hopefully MTC has nailed it(or even better MTC/RS rule works here). {nm} shawman Jun 27, 11:10

MTC had the T2 40 million less then RS 2 years ago. Both was way way off. Looks like history is repeating {nm} filmboy20 Jun 27, 11:24

Were both under the actual result? {nm} Jay_Beezy Jun 27, 11:43

That is incorrect. RS had TF2 at 170M while MTC had it at 162M. That is not close to the difference we are seeing now. {nm} shawman Jun 27, 11:56

was that for the 6-day? so both were under then? {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 12:03

Wow; don't say this often, but that'd be shocking {nm} xiayun Jun 27, 11:27

what's your prediction at this time shawman Jun 27, 11:37

I was at $190m 6-day; not any more; the ticket sales in the bay area are sluggish too; have to re-think about this one {nm} xiayun Jun 27, 11:56

Interesting to me is that 138 is exactly what War of the Worlds adjusts to over the same 6-d holiday frame. {nm} ShawnMR Jun 27, 11:35

TF2 made 215 million its first 6 days. But, TF3 is coming off TF2 negative vibe among many. But 3D seems like it will do well for TF3; WOM Nightfury82 Jun 27, 11:39

There are some signs pointing in the negative direction. For one, ArcLight Hollywood sold out every one of its 15 screens for TFRM2... it dsbman Jun 27, 11:47

For which showing? That's real hard numbers. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 11:52

9pm Dome for #3 vs. Midnight for #2... Also, Midnight 2D regular auditorium has less than 50 tickets sold. By this time, IIRC, there were dsbman Jun 27, 11:55

* That's 8pm Dome (ArcLight got special permission). The Dome Midnight show has about the same number of sales: ~400. dsbman Jun 27, 12:00

i think mtc is being convervative... the buzz of the new Transformer is terrific... i would be not surprised if it gets those numbers for b4bad Jun 27, 15:33

I can't imagine Larry Crowne doing that poorly. {nm} MiyazakiFan Jun 27, 16:07

Tagging [TFRM3], [LCROW], [MONTC] {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jun 28, 00:22





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Winter Spring Summer or Fall (WSSOF) 18000 3.22 (-0.22)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 50000 22.01 (+2.33)          Eternity (ETERN) 29000 17.43 (-0.98)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 1121 91.43 (-0.34)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Put Fri- (GRFLD.PU) 20000 1.75 (-0.16)          Nightbitch (NTBTC) 6148 9.34 (-0.04)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Put Fri- (GRFLD.PU) 20000 1.75 (-0.16)          IF H$50 Call (IMGNF.CA) 20000 1.74 (-0.17)          IF H$50 Call (IMGNF.CA) 20000 1.74 (-0.17)          A Manual for Cleaning Women (AMFCW) 150000 0.90 (+0.01)          Dreamquil (DRMQL) 150000 7.50 (-0.37)          Dreamquil (DRMQL) 150000 7.50 (-0.37)          The Choral (CHORL) 10000 5.00 (0.00)          Borderline (BRLIN) 10000 12.87 (+1.32)          Borderline (BRLIN) 10000 12.87 (+1.32)          The Choral (CHORL) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 5 119.53 (+1.90)          The Haunting In Wicker Park aka (TRUEH) 50000 6.00 (+0.02)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 5.89 (+2.13)          The Haunting In Wicker Park aka (TRUEH) 50000 6.00 (+0.02)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 22.01 (+2.33)          Emmanuelle (EMANU) 10000 2.43 (+0.05)          Jamie Campbell Bower (JCBOW) 1 155.34 (+0.60)          IF (IMGNF) 5000 142.67 (-1.03)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 10000 59.09 (-0.67)          Don't Tell Mom the Babysitter's (DTMBD) 1500 0.84 (-0.01)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 5.89 (+2.13)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 2500 145.15 (+1.68)          Jamie Campbell Bower (JCBOW) 5047 155.34 (+0.60)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Put Fri- (GRFLD.PU) 10000 1.75 (-0.16)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Put Fri- (GRFLD.PU) 10000 1.75 (-0.16)          IF H$50 Call (IMGNF.CA) 10000 1.74 (-0.17)          IF H$50 Call (IMGNF.CA) 10000 1.74 (-0.17)          The Choral (CHORL) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Tarot (HRSCP) 150000 17.63 (-0.18)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 75000 45.85 (+0.03)          Americana aka National Anthem (NATHM) 3000 5.37 (-0.01)          Americana aka National Anthem (NATHM) 3000 5.37 (-0.01)          Borderline (BRLIN) 2000 12.87 (+1.32)          Borderline (BRLIN) 2000 12.87 (+1.32)          The Choral (CHORL) 1000 5.00 (0.00)          The Choral (CHORL) 3000 5.00 (0.00)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZN) 150000 92.24 (-0.87)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZN) 150000 92.24 (-0.87)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 22.01 (+2.33)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 41.36 (+0.54)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 119.53 (+1.90)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 22.01 (+2.33)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 22.01 (+2.33)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 5.89 (+2.13)