HSX Forum

Movies

this has been the widest spread I've seen in a while. and usually "the rule" works best on wide spreads, right? {nm}

Posted by: Oleg Max (a.k.a Oleg_Max) on Aug 13, 17:49 in response to xiayun's post Have more confidence on the "rule" happening on...

mtc 31 expend 17 paranorman and odd life 3 day 13 sparkle {nm} notfabio Aug 13, 16:23

Wow, low for Expendables. {nm} MrSmitherz Aug 13, 16:25

And high for Odd Life... {nm} dioneta Aug 13, 16:32

I feel that Sparkle is being underestimated, just like TLKAM, especially it being Whitney Houston's last movie. {nm} elchan Aug 13, 16:40

Bingo - I've made millions thru the years on how most traders consistently underestimate films targeted to MAlbi Aug 13, 17:00

Agree. Sparkle will open like a Madea movie.The original has a cult like following and with Whitney, there is a lot to drive interest. {nm} leo21 Aug 14, 16:51

MTC tags: [XPND2] 31, [PNORM] 17, [OLOTG] 17 for 3 days, [SPRKL] 13 {nm} Oleg Max Aug 13, 16:47

this should make for a very interesting wknd if MTC/RS rule works... {nm} Oleg Max Aug 13, 16:48

Have more confidence on the "rule" happening on PNORM than XPND2 xiayun Aug 13, 17:31

this has been the widest spread I've seen in a while. and usually "the rule" works best on wide spreads, right? Oleg Max Aug 13, 17:49

I believe so, especially when MTC is lower {nm} xiayun Aug 13, 19:59

What is "the rule"? {nm} Rednax Aug 14, 00:28

If MTC is much lower than RS, then OW will be lower than MTC - but this only works some of the time, but when it does - $$$$ {nm} JDolphin Aug 14, 01:08

anybody have the MTC and RS number on Expendables 1? Thanks {nm} Moviesnob Aug 13, 17:08

....Expendables 1 (MTC 33, RS Low-mid 30s) {nm} dioneta Aug 13, 17:13

thanks {nm} Moviesnob Aug 13, 17:24

1st time ever, liking RS for XPND2 @ $50. My predict is $53M on the nose for XPND2. I think OLOTG is $11M 3-day and $15M overall. {nm} eallensbp Aug 13, 17:13

With elchan on SPRKL estimates. SPRKL getting shafted by progs across the board despite having Whitney's last performance and . . . {nm} eallensbp Aug 13, 17:16

. . . an incredible soundtrack to boot. SPRKL has to open @ $20M, all these guys who keep giving Tyler Perry $20M weekends HAVE to turn out, eallensbp Aug 13, 17:19

I reckon Sparkle would do better with a less girly title. {nm} Jane_Citizen Aug 13, 19:02

Girly title, butch title, SPRKL has great vocal performances--and the black community that tends to turn out for TP's flicks and TLKAM will eallensbp Aug 13, 19:12

I don't see how a movie with no stars, no buzz, and no major distribution thatpj Aug 13, 19:27





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.PU) 25000 2.86 (-0.16)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 12500 118.50 (+0.87)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 20000 143.04 (+2.25)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.87 (+0.08)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 100 13.40 (+0.03)          Dreamquil (DRMQL) 50000 7.54 (-0.33)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 100 144.46 (+0.99)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 20.64 (+0.96)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 5.22 (+1.46)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 100000 45.95 (-0.13)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 100 97.58 (-0.21)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 1000 5.22 (+1.46)          Dragonkeeper (DRGNK) 150000 1.42 (+0.01)          Planes, Trains and Automobiles (PTAUT) 1500 17.60 (+0.51)          Snow White (SNWHT) 150000 181.38 (-0.59)          Muscle (MUSCL) 45000 1.42 (0.00)          Coup de Chance (CDCHN) 150000 0.39 (+0.02)          Griffin in Summer (GRIFS) 150000 1.80 (-0.14)          Snow White (SNWHT) 150000 181.38 (-0.59)          Challengers (CHALN) 100 40.77 (-0.05)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 5.22 (+1.46)          Muscle (MUSCL) 5000 1.42 (0.00)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 17.75 (-0.66)          Abigail (ABGAL) 100 28.65 (-0.03)          Dragonkeeper (DRGNK) 150000 1.42 (+0.01)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 9000 5.22 (+1.46)          Don't Tell Mom the Babysitter's (DTMBD) 100 0.85 (0.00)          Jurassic World Event Film (JURA7) 400 255.14 (+0.49)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 50000 6.75 (-0.02)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 10000 19.60 (+0.04)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 50000 6.75 (-0.02)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 10000 19.60 (+0.04)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 50000 6.75 (-0.02)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 50000 6.75 (-0.02)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 50000 6.75 (-0.02)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 50000 6.75 (-0.02)          Trashers (TRSHR) 50000 1.86 (0.00)          Ayo Edebiri (AEDEB) 5000 47.16 (+0.33)          Alice + Freda Forever (AFREV) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          Barney (BRNEY) 10000 12.60 (0.00)          Ayo Edebiri (AEDEB) 10000 47.16 (+0.33)          Sean Penn (SPENN) 25000 34.43 (-0.12)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.87 (+0.08)          Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow (SUPGR) 5000 52.72 (0.00)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.OW) 100000 50.86 (+0.64)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 10000 6.75 (-0.02)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 1 6.75 (-0.02)          Ayo Edebiri (AEDEB) 10000 47.16 (+0.33)          Ayo Edebiri (AEDEB) 25000 47.16 (+0.33)          IF (IMGNF) 1 143.12 (-0.58)