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also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec {nm}

Posted by: JDolphin on Nov 26, 01:46 in response to second gary's post Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am...

RS says low single digits for [COLC2] and mid teens for [KILTS] {nm} Moviesnob Nov 25, 18:02

I've seen a strangely high number of COLC2 TV ads, not that this means anything. I wonder if even those who saw the 1st remember it. {nm} dsbman Nov 25, 18:09

Here are some futures that should cause some conversation Moviesnob Nov 25, 18:17

no way! {nm} RazorHawk Nov 25, 18:28

I believe... one of the five will prove close; but the other four are low. second gary Nov 25, 18:41

Remember, December openers tend to have lower OW's and great legs. Highest December opener ever is $77MM. GMov Nov 25, 18:44

A good point. second gary Nov 25, 19:28

Fair poins as well...I agree on Parental Guidance...am indifferent on Les Mis...but why may I ask do you think Hobbit will do so well? Seems {nm} GMov Nov 25, 19:50

Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am legend" for best December opening. second gary Nov 25, 20:16

Avatar would likely have opened better but there was a blizzard that hit 1/4 of the country alfpaulytd2012 Nov 25, 20:31

Seems logical. I have checked with some local theaters and seems like presales are solid but nowhere near the tent poles like GMov Nov 25, 20:43

also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec JDolphin Nov 26, 01:46

I'd forgotten the W opening for LRDR3. That's a good point in HOBIT's favour. {nm} second gary Nov 26, 06:45

I got my tickets to The Hobbit High Frame Rate 3D on the 18th Dec...Can't wait.... but I guess I will. Lucas73 Nov 27, 00:38

BTW I was wondering what that OW multiplier will be for the movies opening on the 25th since its a Tuesday... gardavou Nov 25, 19:39

Scroll down to the bottom of this page, find "Glossary." There, if you go to the entry for "Adjust Price"... second gary Nov 25, 19:55

TY gardavou Nov 25, 20:01

I don't suppose they indicate whether the XMas ones are for just the 3 day weekend? {nm} Paul2k Nov 25, 19:08

nope, but good question {nm} Moviesnob Nov 25, 19:14

Hobbit is gravely under predicted there. thatpj Nov 25, 20:50

Like Avatar's 77 mil? {nm} PVL Admin Nov 26, 10:33

Well, I have *seen* KILTS.... {nm} Facto Nov 25, 18:20

Shame Pitt wasn't better. Though I did enjoy Ray Liotta. {nm} He was looting me, ruining me! Nov 25, 18:32

Pitt was ok, turning in another sociopath character, against JGAND. Saw 7 Psychopaths today, and that was more enjoyable. {nm} Facto Nov 26, 16:47





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Nuremberg (NUREM) 25000 20.02 (+5.23)          Seven Veils (7VEIL) 1 2.28 (+0.02)          The New Boy (TNEWB) 1 1.68 (+0.01)          The Shrouds (SHRUD) 1 2.79 (+1.41)          Poolman (POOLM) 1 0.39 (+0.03)          Nuremberg (NUREM) 140000 20.02 (+5.23)          Free Agents (FREAG) 1 2.79 (+0.02)          The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 150000 2.97 (+2.96)          Relay (RELAY) 1 4.02 (+0.01)          Hope (HOPE) 1 3.02 (+0.02)          The Collaboration (COLAB) 1 1.73 (+0.02)          Universe’s Most Wanted (UNIMW) 1 2.90 (+0.02)          Letitia Wright (LWRIG) 10000 126.76 (+0.78)          Nuremberg (NUREM) 10000 20.02 (+5.23)          On Swift Horses (OSWFH) 1 4.29 (+0.01)          Magazine Dreams (MAGZN) 1 0.93 (+0.02)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 2000 137.78 (+0.22)          The Climb (CLIMB) 1 1.43 (+0.02)          The Young Wife (TYWIF) 150000 1.23 (-0.05)          The Actor (TACTR) 1 1.26 (+0.02)          Harbinger (HARBN) 1 0.84 (+0.01)          Bad Behaviour (BBHAV) 150000 0.81 (-0.04)          Blitz (BLTZ) 1 2.59 (+0.01)          That Christmas (THCHR) 1 1.59 (+0.02)          Evil Does Not Exist (EDNTE) 1 0.69 (+0.02)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 1 4.37 (+0.02)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 50000 91.48 (-0.69)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 1 18.00 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 50000 91.48 (-0.69)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 50000 91.48 (-0.69)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 150000 91.48 (-0.69)          Jake Gyllenhaal (JGYLL) 25000 57.70 (+0.16)          Thelma (THELM) 9 4.34 (+1.08)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 1 24.50 (+0.06)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 10000 20.70 (+0.21)          The War Magician (WARMG) 19 4.59 (+0.01)          Sweet Vengeance (SWVNG) 10 1.64 (+0.01)          Mob Girl (MOBGR) 10 1.01 (+0.03)          The Beast (LBETE) 5 0.51 (+0.01)          Avengers 5 (AVNG5) 50000 349.69 (+1.15)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 150000 39.35 (+0.60)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga - Openin (MMAX5.OW) 100000 56.96 (-0.03)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 150000 16.92 (-2.06)          Michael Angarano (MANGA) 25000 71.25 (+1.25)          The Mandalorian & Grogu (SWAR3) 500 217.68 (+0.68)          Avengers 5 (AVNG5) 500 349.69 (+1.15)          The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 10000 2.97 (+2.96)          Nuremberg (NUREM) 150000 20.02 (+5.23)          The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 15000 2.97 (+2.96)