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I don't know, man. 30 mil OD seems a little outrageous to me. Is it because they were buying into the AEG hype? {nm}

Posted by: Movienaut (a.k.a scrawn) on Oct 28, 23:04 in response to Facto's post Except that over on BOM-forums, they were discussing O/U...

LA Times: 'This Is It' headed for $10 million to $12 million opening day Mattrek Oct 28, 22:46

So $250 million is still possible right... Sandston Oct 28, 22:54

250M was always a global 5-day prediction.. Btw, over on Twitter, PNACT is trending higher than JACKO, and has, mostly, so far.. {nm} Facto Oct 28, 23:07

One has to take Weds openers with a grain of salt. I remember Shrek 3 opened for $11m on a Weds and someone... mrbeankc Oct 29, 00:16

Did Shrek 3 open on a Halloween-weekend.. ? {nm} Facto Oct 29, 03:09

Shrek is skewed towards school age children which are unlikely to get to see a movie on wednesday of a schoolweek doblinitus Oct 29, 08:20

As I specifically said I wasn't comparing [JACKO] to Shrek. You need to read posts a bit better {nm} mrbeankc Oct 29, 13:17

Pretty solid for Wednesday. {nm} Movienaut Oct 28, 22:56

Except that over on BOM-forums, they were discussing O/U on 30M OD. Most thought close to that, some thougt well above... {nm} Facto Oct 28, 22:58

Yup, I was way over, gave into the presale and internet hype. Btw BOM hypes things incredibly high (Black Dynamite, Watchmen etc.). {nm} Mattrek Oct 28, 23:03

I don't know, man. 30 mil OD seems a little outrageous to me. Is it because they were buying into the AEG hype? Movienaut Oct 28, 23:04

It was so incredibly hyped... Mattrek Oct 28, 23:11

It peaked way too early. There was an initial rush the first week...week and a half and then pre-sales petered out. Maybe they should've Catzan Oct 28, 23:16

Exactly, I should've realized that, but even the best predictors over on BOM gave into the hype. Some predicted it would beat TDK's 5-day Mattrek Oct 28, 23:19

Wow...I was liking MTC's 70m number...but after the middies did what they did...I knew that was an uphill battle. {nm} Catzan Oct 28, 23:26

Here's a link. Read the whole story. It's hardly out of the woods. HuskyMiller Oct 28, 23:01

I already have a link in the first post thanks. {nm} Mattrek Oct 28, 23:01

Looks like you need to revisit your mad linking skillz. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 05:18

Oh, I see Husky's attempt was no better. Here's a real link... edzep Oct 29, 05:22

Look like a short for sure; if it's $12m, I'm seeing $30m 3-day and $50m 5-day on the high end {nm} xiayun Oct 28, 23:05

And bad call from me, I'll not hesitate to admit {nm} xiayun Oct 28, 23:26

So 40M For The Three Day Is Unlikely Right ? Well I Knew It Was Overhyped. wrongturn687 Oct 29, 04:03

With your new projection, and a litlle luck, this would be nearly an H$2 Million pickup for shorters. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 04:25

(hours later) Oops. Bad calc. But, with newer numbers, H$2M gain from short does look possible. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 14:24

Ouchies. Well below expectations. I blame AEG for overhyping it. Satisifed I sold before epic fail. {nm} thatpj Oct 29, 05:45





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Crime 101 (CRIM1) 150000 36.19 (-0.23)          Inside Out 2 - Opening Weekend (INOU2.OW) 100000 97.32 (-0.45)          Inside Out 2 - Opening Weekend (INOU2.OW) 100000 97.32 (-0.45)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 150000 271.90 (-0.92)          The Dead Don't Hurt (TDDH) 150000 2.01 (+0.37)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 150000 271.90 (-0.92)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 1 8.68 (+0.68)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 150000 97.13 (-0.56)          Methuselah (METHU) 16501 0.06 (-0.02)          KIlling Castro (KILLC) 5000 10.72 (-0.15)          Raised Eyebrows (REYEB) 100000 0.03 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 49999 14.45 (-0.45)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 49999 14.45 (-0.45)          A Woman of No Importance (AWONI) 84001 0.09 (+0.05)          The Raid (RAID1) 20000 0.10 (+0.03)          Sweet Valley High (SVHI) 100000 0.04 (+0.01)          We Live in Time (WLITM) 49998 9.21 (-1.01)          We Live in Time (WLITM) 49998 9.21 (-1.01)          We Live in Time (WLITM) 49998 9.21 (-1.01)          We Live in Time (WLITM) 49998 9.21 (-1.01)          The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 9000 20.10 (+0.04)          The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 1000 20.10 (+0.04)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 50000 8.68 (+0.68)          Keegan-Michael Key (KMKEY) 25000 156.77 (-1.50)          Keegan-Michael Key (KMKEY) 25000 156.77 (-1.50)          The War Magician (WARMG) 150000 4.35 (-0.05)          The Strangers: Chapter 2 (STRN4) 1 23.25 (-0.14)          Benedict Cumberbatch (BCUMB) 25000 109.33 (-0.34)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 75000 8.68 (+0.68)          Borderline (BRLIN) 50000 11.19 (-0.06)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 41.86 (-0.65)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 8.68 (+0.68)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 8.68 (+0.68)          Me, You (TUMIA) 8000 0.02 (-0.01)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 8.68 (+0.68)          Chungking Express 2020 (CKXP2) 8000 0.01 (-0.03)          The Flamingo Thief (FLMGO) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          The Prince of Fashion (POFSH) 8000 0.01 (-0.02)          The Chain (TCHAN) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          Me, You (TUMIA) 8000 0.02 (-0.01)          Chungking Express 2020 (CKXP2) 8000 0.01 (-0.03)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 8.68 (+0.68)          We Live in Time (WLITM) 150000 9.21 (-1.01)          The Deliverance (DLVRN) 8000 0.01 (-0.01)          The Flamingo Thief (FLMGO) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 150000 8.32 (-1.73)          The Chain (TCHAN) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          Me, You (TUMIA) 6000 0.02 (-0.01)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 150000 122.43 (-2.30)          Snipers (SNIPR) 8000 0.16 (0.00)