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MTC was about 15 points to high on opening weekend for Shrek 4. RS was way worse, at least 40 points too high.

Posted by: Facto on Jun 18, 11:24 in response to Guillo's post let's remember MTC is 108 for [TOYS3] and 8 for [JOHEX]

MTC was also too high on MacGruber, that same weekend, tracking it almost twice as high as it actually opened. Again though, RS was way worse, tracking it almost 4 times higher than what it did on OW.

Incorrect gut checks time!!! This week is too easy so i'll go with #s ...Short Hex w/$11M and Long Toy with a whopping 125! {nm} bennyboy10 Jun 18, 08:59

Don't you need to re-load your incorrectness for a few weeks.. ? Seem to recall you were 2/2 last time around ;-) {nm} Facto Jun 18, 09:01

Yep .. Bennyboy is unreliable now after last week's success. {nm} grammar Jun 18, 09:18

So grammar, how are you playing this weekend's openers? {nm} MoneyMagnet Jun 18, 09:42

I have to go short on johex and long toys :) {nm} grammar Jun 18, 09:44

I'm taking a big risk here shorting Toys, but we'll see how it goes I guess =) {nm} MoneyMagnet Jun 18, 09:48

Same Here {nm} MrsRobinson Jun 18, 10:39

Yeah, we'll see. And if this shorting business goes south, I will forever remember your advice, and how awfully wrong you were.. Facto Jun 18, 14:52

^ ^ ^ Not to be taken too seriously... The part about the name change... Just a suggestion.. ;-) {nm} Facto Jun 18, 15:07

refresh my memory ; You 'think' HEX is a long and TOY a short, so you call the reverse. ( but your hsx$ is on HEX-long and TOY-short )? {nm} JMT Jun 18, 09:22

Lol, no I give what i'm holding...but i was wrong for 7+ straight weeks, so it was like saying "these are likely incorrect" {nm} bennyboy10 Jun 18, 10:43

I can do better than that for incorrect gut check. Short Toy (80) and Long Hex (14). Guillo Jun 18, 09:25

let's remember MTC is 108 for [TOYS3] and 8 for [JOHEX] {nm} Guillo Jun 18, 09:34

MTC was about 15 points to high on opening weekend for Shrek 4. RS was way worse, at least 40 points too high. Facto Jun 18, 11:24

I'm shorting TOY. Tom Hanks made people hate him. Parents are broke. No one over 10 would rush to this. {nm} Borat Jun 18, 09:27

*laughing* {nm} CSBD Jun 18, 09:56

I don't hate Tom. hah {nm} grammar Jun 18, 10:32

Long on HEX, If i had the cash i would shot Toy {nm} idrom Jun 18, 09:32

I'm going long on TOYS3 (not as optimistic on opening weekend though) and short JOHEX. {nm} secretstalker Jun 18, 09:35

scary that I'm right there with you...except I think Hex is more in the $7M range {nm} lapuckfan Jun 18, 09:45

Short them all, just because I like being negative. {nm} shadowking Jun 18, 09:54

Anti Gut check. I'm long on both. I have been wrong a lot of weeks this year so I'm going AGAINST my gut this time. {nm} kcangel Jun 18, 09:57

Oops not long on both. Long on TOYS3, shorting JOHEX. {nm} kcangel Jun 18, 09:58

TOYS3's current price needs a $110 million opening & I think that may be a stretch for OW. Legs of steel though. And short JOHEX, too. {nm} helmetz Jun 18, 10:01

shorting both {nm} Goines12 Jun 18, 11:04

long woody *snicker*...short jonah {nm} tealfan Jun 18, 12:17





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Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 2000 18.53 (+0.91)          Joaquin Phoenix (JPHOE) 20000 68.83 (+0.20)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 25000 146.95 (-0.18)          M3GAN 2.0 (M3GA2) 2000 64.51 (-0.17)          Tim Story (TSTOR) 20000 35.90 (-0.10)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 2000 9.90 (-0.54)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 1000 9.90 (-0.54)          Hitpig (HITPG) 10000 6.11 (-0.67)          Billy Crudup (BCRUD) 20000 25.16 (+0.10)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 150000 14.15 (-0.12)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 100000 14.15 (-0.12)          Alice Eve (AEVE) 20000 8.71 (-0.04)          Downton Abbey 3 (DWTA3) 4594 28.94 (0.00)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 100000 39.29 (-0.06)          David Oyelowo (DOYEL) 20000 11.40 (-0.08)          Famke Janssen (FJANS) 25000 46.65 (0.00)          The Choral (CHORL) 150000 4.38 (-0.08)          The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 150000 2.66 (+0.24)          Chris Hemsworth (CHEMS) 25000 148.08 (-0.31)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 5.04 (-0.03)          Michael (MJACK) 726 62.61 (0.00)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 500 20.75 (+0.05)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 11000 8.23 (0.00)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 20.75 (+0.05)          Lee (LEE) 150000 7.75 (+0.03)          IF (IMGNF) 4000 136.31 (-0.07)          Kate Winslet (KWINS) 25000 52.77 (+0.16)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 150000 18.53 (+0.91)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 150000 18.53 (+0.91)          Dan Stevens (DSTEV) 20000 52.61 (-0.13)          The Literary Fund (BOOKS) 20000 52.90 (0.00)          The Down Under Fund (AUSIE) 20000 87.10 (+0.06)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 20000 98.26 (+0.02)          Science-Fiction Fund (SCIFI) 20000 93.02 (+0.07)          Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 20000 40.19 (+0.02)          The Force (TFORC) 150000 0.64 (+0.02)          Daisy Edgar-Jones (DEDGA) 25000 79.55 (+0.25)          Leonardo DiCaprio (LDCAP) 5000 129.75 (-0.06)          Didi (DIDI) 149999 4.87 (-0.30)          Didi (DIDI) 150000 4.87 (-0.30)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 150000 9.90 (-0.54)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 149999 9.90 (-0.54)          Love Me (LOVME) 150000 3.53 (-0.54)          Love Me (LOVME) 149999 3.53 (-0.54)          Dragonkeeper (DRGNK) 46490 1.42 (0.00)          Hitpig (HITPG) 150000 6.11 (-0.67)          Hitpig (HITPG) 149999 6.11 (-0.67)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 149999 11.34 (+0.19)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 150000 11.34 (+0.19)          The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 149999 2.66 (+0.24)