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Your points about Twister and Bad Boys are spot on; just goes to show how much people still believe in tracking data.

Posted by: goodvibe61 on May 04, 10:23 in response to SenJohnBlutarsky's post SUMMER 7 analysis

Personally, I find it difficult to believe that Bad Boys will be that popular. I still cannot believe what Smith did, and whenever i hear the guy's name i think things that evdently others don't think about. 

But when you look around at the various tracking data that's been published, it insists that Bad Boys is perhaps the most anticipated movie outside the big 3 this summer. And HSX's numbers reflect that. And so there you are; almost everyone has selected it, including myself. 

And i think Twister is a real wild card; again, i picked it instead of A Quiet Place or Apes mostly because I'm not sure what to think of its prospects, and i know how badly i got burned last summer by Barbie. And previously by Top Gun. Movies I badly forecasted. There are some movies you feel less confident in than others regarding how it will do. 

I put Mad Max in there despite the mediocre tracking. Why? I think because there are alot of lovers of the last one. Of all these summer movies maybe this will be the one with the best legs? No idea actually. 

Good luck everyone. 





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Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 55.84 (+1.59)          The Crow (TCROW) 3 22.41 (-0.05)          The Crow (TCROW) 3 22.41 (-0.05)          Despicable Me 4 (DESM4) 150000 247.68 (+0.72)          Daddio (DADIO) 50000 2.58 (+0.01)          Janet Planet (JNTPL) 150000 2.60 (0.00)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZ2) 150000 66.61 (+0.04)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 50000 16.82 (-0.24)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 25000 16.82 (-0.24)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZN) 150000 90.52 (-0.21)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Emilia Perez (EMILP) 150000 3.82 (-0.71)          Emilia Perez (EMILP) 2 3.82 (-0.71)          Elevation (ELVTN) 149517 9.19 (+0.70)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 2 12.80 (+1.37)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 111.58 (-2.09)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 719 88.09 (-0.44)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 111.58 (-2.09)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 2 12.80 (+1.37)          Bugonia aka Save the Green Plane (STGPL) 1 19.26 (+0.19)          Bugonia aka Save the Green Plane (STGPL) 1 19.26 (+0.19)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die (BADB4) 3 139.95 (+0.47)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die (BADB4) 150000 139.95 (+0.47)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 2 10.36 (+0.90)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 2 10.36 (+0.90)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 1000 8.00 (0.00)          The Bikeriders (BKRDR) 150000 29.77 (+0.06)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 12.80 (+1.37)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 12.80 (+1.37)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Bowen Yang (BYANG) 3 37.12 (+0.07)          Bowen Yang (BYANG) 25000 37.12 (+0.07)          Emilia Perez (EMILP) 150000 3.82 (-0.71)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          IF (IMGNF) 6729 111.58 (-2.09)          Kinds of Kindness (AND) 150000 16.93 (0.00)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          RZA (RZA) 3 55.87 (0.00)          Thelma (THELM) 150000 4.26 (+0.03)          Treasure (TRESU) 10000 3.34 (-0.02)          RZA (RZA) 25000 55.87 (0.00)          Kinds of Kindness (AND) 149841 16.93 (0.00)          Mike Faist (MFAIS) 24997 27.33 (0.00)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Michelle Dockery (MDOCK) 3 36.76 (+0.12)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 260.40 (-2.24)          Michelle Dockery (MDOCK) 25000 36.76 (+0.12)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 10000 268.03 (+0.05)