HSX Forum

Movies

being new here i think 6pm on sat is crazy late.

Posted by: winstonman78 (a.k.a Dorfman) on Apr 13, 10:17 in response to Rolling_Thunder's post As detailed in xiayun's post below, its BOM poll and...

by he time the stock halts. u basically know what the movie is gonna do for the weekend and there isnt much adjust. look at this past weekend. most adjusts were what 10 15 cents? unless u get in on an opener early or something happens middle of the week to make it sway one way or other. not a lot of money there. yeah u can make some money early saturday if early predictions were way off. seems to take some of the fun out of it. i dunno

I scream, you scream, everybody's posting bout 4scream. Any thoughts on Rio ? ( mine inside ) JMT-NL Apr 13, 09:08

As detailed in xiayun's post below, its BOM poll and Twitter activity is pointing to $40-45m. Anything above that would be a surprise. Rolling_Thunder Apr 13, 09:49

being new here i think 6pm on sat is crazy late. winstonman78 Apr 13, 10:17

even an early saturday cutoff would make more sense than a cutoff when 3/4ths of the weekend is over. {nm} winstonman78 Apr 13, 10:18

as much as I respect Xiayuns predictions, they are only predictions. Both Scream and Rio will do better. And next year... JMT-NL Apr 13, 10:20

but the real question is do you still think Fast5 is opening less thna 50? :) {nm} lobogotti Apr 13, 10:29

Haha... Yes 40-45 {nm} JMT-NL Apr 13, 10:50

Hold that question until next week, I'm all out of money. :) {nm} PVL Admin Apr 13, 11:19

xiayun runs hot and cold. He was trippin' on ADJBU. But he showed a real acumen with his LMTLS prediction. {nm} lhayes37 Apr 13, 10:34

...with an accuracy rate ONLY beat by MTC, and followed very closely by BO.com. Those have been the top 3 for a while now. {nm} PVL Admin Apr 13, 11:09

Credit where credit is due, is all I'm saying. His accuracy clearly demonstrate the insightfulness of the considerations in his analyses. {nm} PVL Admin Apr 13, 11:14

If comparing accuracy, you need to consider timing. CS puts out his numbers on Tues whereas Xiayun is often on Friday. Respect both but GMov Apr 13, 18:38

First rule of box office predictions - no one really knows anything. Second rule is some people still know more than others. {nm} RogerMore Apr 13, 10:48

With all of this advance discussion of openers, I see no reason why halt shouldn't go back to 1PM on Friday. {nm} secretstalker Apr 13, 09:55

agreed. I wonder how much difference they are seeing with the changes having been in effect a few months now? {nm} lobogotti Apr 13, 09:58

agreed. {nm} JMT-NL Apr 13, 10:07

And O.W. halts should be 1 PM thursday ! Also, D-mac, if saturdaytrading is the worry, there are other solutions... JMT-NL Apr 13, 11:12

The reason the halt was pushed back was to capture the additional trading from Fri to Sat. {nm} Antibody Apr 13, 10:24

how is that going? you guys seeing better results? any stats? {nm} lobogotti Apr 13, 10:28

Is there really that much trading of openers once numbers come out? secretstalker Apr 13, 10:31

I've been known to trade when Nikki's first numbers come out, then flip when the HSX price has caught up to Nikki's prediction... RogerMore Apr 13, 10:45

It has regularly caught up and surpassed the projection for the weekend... secretstalker Apr 13, 13:11

Changing the halt has changed the emphasis of the game - it's now more about trading and less about predicting box office. cp6ap Apr 13, 10:41

I would welcome a return to the old rules. Man's game ****es. {nm} lhayes37 Apr 13, 10:44

agreed. {nm} GMov Apr 13, 18:40





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 31018 50.00 (0.00)          Companion (CMPAN) 40000 19.30 (+0.12)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Karma Chameleon (KCHML) 982 0.20 (+0.05)          Cleaner (CENER) 30000 18.19 (+0.01)          Karma Chameleon (KCHML) 14982 0.20 (+0.05)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 150000 27.95 (+4.00)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 32000 13.90 (-0.15)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 120.72 (-5.12)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 1000 13.90 (-0.15)          The Woman in the Yard (TWITY) 150000 23.79 (+0.51)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Cleaner (CENER) 30000 18.19 (+0.01)          Across The River And Into The Tr (ATRIT) 2040 0.60 (+0.34)          Across The River And Into The Tr (ATRIT) 5040 0.60 (+0.34)          Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 6000 10.80 (-0.02)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 10000 178.90 (-0.51)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 25 50.00 (0.00)          The Conjuring: Last Rites (CNJU4) 33000 38.01 (-0.10)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 149517 12.05 (+0.39)          The Thicket (THCKT) 696 0.05 (-0.03)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 33000 13.90 (-0.15)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 2000 50.00 (0.00)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 1 11.95 (-0.02)          Not Bloody Likely (NBLKL) 2493 0.03 (-0.02)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Bugonia aka Save the Green Plane (STGPL) 150000 19.01 (+1.89)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZN) 1 90.77 (+0.29)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 5000 126.42 (+0.55)          Playdate (PLYDT) 500 15.17 (0.00)          A Quiet Place: Day One (AQPL3) 1 132.62 (-0.11)          The Comeback Trail (CMBKT) 807 0.01 (-0.01)          The Comeback Trail (CMBKT) 7498 0.01 (-0.01)          Kalki 2898 A.D. (KALKI) 1 7.68 (-0.01)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 150000 35.25 (-0.75)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 150000 35.25 (-0.75)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          IF (IMGNF) 149999 120.72 (-5.12)          Brother and Sister (BRSIS) 2807 0.01 (-0.01)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 120.72 (-5.12)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Brother and Sister (BRSIS) 7498 0.01 (-0.01)          Alita: Battle Angel 2 (ALIT2) 150000 36.99 (-0.23)          Alita: Battle Angel 2 (ALIT2) 150000 36.99 (-0.23)