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Whisper Numbers: Bourne, Campaign against Batman

A couple of newcomers hope to finally take down the caped crusader.  Unable to convince Matt Damon to reprise his role, Universal relaunched its spy franchise with Jeremy Renner [JRENN] in the fourth installment The Bourne Legacy [BORN4]. In order to one up on the Bourne trilogy, the studio marketing describes his character Aaron Cross as a genetically altered super-soldier who is even better than Jason Bourne. Cross goes on the run with a scientist played by Rachel Weisz [RWEIS] after the government terminated their black ops program and marked them for death. With all the elements from the Bourne series, the PG-13 rated film should appeal to at least a portion of the fanbase that opened The Bourne Ultimatum to a whopping $69.3 million in 2007. Breaking into 3746 theaters, The Bourne Legacy could earn around $39 million.

Will Ferrell [WFERR] and Zach Galifianakis [ZGALI] square off in the political comedy The Campaign [CMPGN]. Both comedians excel at playing buffoons and politicians provide great fodder this election year. Ferrell’s last R-rated wide release Step Brothers grossed $30.9 million in August of 2008, while Galifianakis co-led the R-rated Due Date to a $32.7 million debut. However, moviegoers may not be in the mood for a film about dirty politics, even one played for laughs. The Campaign may be able to tally $27 million from 3207 locations.

After a three week reign, The Dark Knight Rises [BATM3] looks to fall back to third place with around $22 million to its total just short of $400 million.

Meryl Streep [MSTRE] and Tommy Lee Jones [TLJON] star in the PG-13 rated dramedy Hope Springs [GHSPR] targeted at the older adult demographic. Streep’s late summer film Julia & Julia debuted with $20 million in 2009. However, Hope Springs doesn’t have her portraying any famous, real-life figure. To get the word of mouth started, Sony opened the film on Wednesday and grossed $2.2 million. Playing in 2361 theaters, Hope Springs should be able to manage about $14 million for the weekend.

Total Recall [RECAL] came out of its below expectation opening weekend with poor word of mouth. With added competition, the sci-fi remake looks to drop 55% to around $11 million.

Nitro Circus The Movie 3D [NTROC] seeks to follow the trail blazed by the Jackass crew. The documentary hopes to attract young male fans of extreme sports not interested in the Olympics. Opening Wednesday in 800 theaters and grossing $0.7 million, Nitro Circus The Movie 3D may score $2.5 million from Friday to Sunday.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): JRENN, BORN4, RWEIS, WFERR, ZGALI, CMPGN, BATM3, MSTRE, TLJON, GHSPR, RECAL, NTROC

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 9, 2012 @ 04:29 PM 6600 views

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Werewolves - Opening Weekend (WEREW.OW) 100000 5.11 (+0.11)          Vanessa Redgrave (VREDG) 25000 17.82 (+0.10)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 6699 8.47 (-0.10)          Radha Mitchell (RMITC) 25000 20.45 (+0.12)          Naomie Harris (NHARR) 25000 96.92 (-0.25)          Natalie Dormer (NDORM) 25000 117.99 (+0.33)          Liev Schreiber (LSCHR) 25000 39.35 (+0.25)          Josh Hutcherson (JHUTC) 25000 82.69 (0.00)          Hugh Grant (HGRAN) 25000 75.49 (+0.25)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 150000 30.20 (+1.05)          Helena Bonham Carter (HBCAR) 25000 38.18 (+0.12)          Emma Thompson (ETHOM) 25000 53.86 (-0.16)          Tom Hardy (THARD) 25000 152.13 (+0.50)          Juno Temple (JTEMP) 25000 60.66 (-0.25)          Bring Them Down (BRTDW) 75000 1.77 (-0.16)          Wicked (WICKD) 150000 288.42 (+0.43)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 143300 8.47 (-0.10)          Relay (RELAY) 144999 3.41 (-0.08)          How to Train Your Dragon (HTTYD) 25000 175.98 (+0.25)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 19.98 (-0.01)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 150000 6.26 (+0.04)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.08 (-0.92)          Wicked - Opening Weekend (WICKD.OW) 25000 116.72 (+0.69)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 5000 27.40 (+0.83)          Heretic (HERTC) 2000 27.20 (-0.03)          M3GAN 2.0 (M3GA2) 105 75.39 (0.00)          The Familiars (FAMIL) 45009 15.80 (-0.01)          Stuntnuts: The Movie (STUNT) 150000 21.66 (-0.06)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 17000 33.82 (-0.04)          Ranger's Apprentice (RNGAP) 75009 1.70 (-0.01)          Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 45000 15.99 (-0.01)          The Saint (TSAIN) 60000 17.55 (+0.32)          Harbinger (HARBN) 100009 0.38 (-0.02)          They Found Us (THFUS) 19999 15.45 (-0.42)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 20000 11.08 (-0.92)          Micronauts (MCRON) 10000 3.29 (0.00)          Red One (REDON) 25000 88.16 (+0.13)          Look Who's Talking (LWTLK) 1 4.26 (0.00)          Look Who's Talking (LWTLK) 50000 4.26 (0.00)          The Fire Inside (FLNTS) 1 8.33 (-0.03)          The Fire Inside (FLNTS) 150000 8.33 (-0.03)          One of Them Days aka Untitled Ke (1OTDS) 1 17.47 (0.00)          One of Them Days aka Untitled Ke (1OTDS) 1 17.47 (0.00)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 150000 197.30 (+0.50)          Wicked H$100 Call (WICKD.CA) 25000 7.92 (+0.10)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 1 10.34 (+0.02)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 50000 10.34 (+0.02)          Wicked - Opening Weekend (WICKD.OW) 100000 116.72 (+0.69)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 50000 7.92 (-0.08)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 1 5.80 (+0.01)