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Whisper Numbers: Will Hotel Transylvania have vacancy?

Sony hopes to reinvigorate a slow September with a couple of new releases. First off is the 3D animated Hotel Transylvania [HTRNS] featuring Adam Sandler [ASAND] as Dracula and his buddies as other classic monsters of cinema. Dracula’s rebellious daughter is played by Selena Gomez [SGOME], which should appeal to young kids.  The marketplace has been starved for a movie that serves a broad audience, so the PG-rated comedy arrives in theaters at the right moment. Checking into 3349 theaters, Hotel Transylvania could book at least $26 million.

Sony counter-programs itself with the R-rated sci-fi actioner Looper [LOOPR]. Joseph Gordon-Levitt [JGORD] stars as an assassin who has to kill his older self from the future in the form of Bruce Willis [BWILL]. Time traveling stories are always popular if contained with the right internal logic. With excellent reviews, Looper appears to have accomplished that goal, which should attract a smart audience looking for a movie with an original premise. Playing in 2992 theaters, Looper may deliver around $23 million.

Last weekend’s upset winner End of Watch [ENDWT] should hold well with its excellent word of mouth. A decline around 45% would bring in $7.5 million for third place.

With an older target demographic that waits on opening weekend, the baseball drama Trouble with the Curve [TCURV] may drop just 40% to $7 million in its second weekend. On the other hand, the horror thriller House at the End of the Street [ENDST] looks to tumble more than 55% to $5.5 million since most of its young target audience came out on last weekend.

The weekend’s third new wide opener Won’t Back Down [WBACD] stars Maggie Gyllenhaal [MGYLL] and Viola Davis [VDAVI] as mothers taking on the public school system to improve their kid’s education. The PG-rated drama looks to interest only older women, who could just wait for the story to appear on the small screen. Won’t Back Down may earn just $4 million from 2515 locations.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): HTRNS, ASAND, SGOME, LOOPR, JGORD, BWILL, ENDWT, TCURV, ENDST, WBACD, MGYLL, VDAVI

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, September 27, 2012 @ 03:58 PM 3321 views

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Union County (UNINC) 149997 1.26 (-0.11)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 10000 55.46 (-0.06)          Union County (UNINC) 149997 1.26 (-0.11)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 48.91 (+8.91)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 10000 19.36 (+0.06)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 48.91 (+8.91)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 5000 55.50 (+2.00)          Leo Woodall (LWOOD) 25000 6.11 (-0.05)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 176.58 (-5.22)          James Cameron (JCAME) 25000 118.49 (-0.33)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 10000 9.91 (-0.01)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 10000 34.95 (-0.12)          The Last Photograph (LPHOT) 10000 1.47 (-0.02)          Monitor (MONTR) 10000 8.28 (-0.03)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 10000 15.17 (-0.02)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 10000 15.17 (-0.02)          Nomad (NOMD1) 5000 1.03 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 50000 176.58 (-5.22)          Octet (OCTET) 10000 21.65 (-0.09)          Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 10000 15.94 (-0.05)          Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 10000 15.94 (-0.05)          Daveed Diggs (DDIGG) 10000 85.57 (+0.35)          Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 10000 15.94 (-0.05)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 10000 2.39 (0.00)          Peaked (PEAKD) 10000 14.07 (-0.04)          Peaked (PEAKD) 10000 14.07 (-0.04)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 1000 98.60 (+1.45)          Rose (ROSE) 5000 1.51 (0.00)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 10000 21.48 (-0.15)          Sender (SENDR) 10000 7.56 (-0.04)          Sleeping Dogs (SLPDG) 10000 7.27 (0.00)          Sleeping Dogs (SLPDG) 10000 7.27 (0.00)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 20000 48.91 (+8.91)          Addison Rae (ARAE) 25000 29.72 (0.00)          A Visit to Grandpa’s (AVTGP) 150000 3.51 (+0.28)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 150000 2.29 (+0.11)          Mila Kunis (MKUNI) 14000 35.20 (+0.07)          Crawlers (CRWLR) 150000 1.56 (-0.12)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 4.38 (+0.21)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 150000 8.73 (+0.14)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 20000 24.72 (+0.65)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 176.58 (-5.22)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 10000 9.96 (-0.04)          Thumb (THUM) 10000 4.34 (0.00)          Patrick Stewart (PSTEW) 25000 50.88 (-0.83)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 10000 8.87 (+0.05)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 9.60 (+0.29)          Iman Vellani (IVELL) 25000 32.16 (-0.01)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 10000 7.25 (0.00)