SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3316 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


Ads disabled on hsx.com
Ads disabled on hsx.com


Rose of Nevada (ROSNV) 150000 0.52 (+0.06)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 19.12 (-1.71)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 25000 20.00 (0.00)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 19.12 (-1.71)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 10000 19.78 (-0.55)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 142930 48.02 (+8.02)          Lili Reinhart (LREIN) 2000 35.65 (-0.12)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 48.02 (+8.02)          The Uprising aka The Hood (THOOD) 17566 8.11 (+0.05)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 16.40 (+0.20)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 16.40 (+0.20)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 29.69 (+0.26)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 29.69 (+0.26)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 176.60 (-5.20)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 15.61 (+0.26)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 15.61 (+0.26)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 150000 12.62 (+0.29)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 4 531.04 (-1.57)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 5 240.80 (+1.04)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 700 2.28 (+0.10)          Fatherland aka 1949 (FTHRL) 6 4.62 (-0.02)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 150000 12.62 (+0.29)          Hexed (HEXED) 5 109.32 (+0.35)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 5 120.64 (+0.37)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 4 87.78 (-0.19)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 5 90.30 (-0.35)          Wildwood (WILDW) 5 15.88 (-0.05)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 5 15.32 (-0.07)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 5 30.85 (+0.13)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 121.10 (+1.15)          Verity (VERTY) 7 49.96 (-0.27)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 121.10 (+1.15)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 75 12.79 (+0.03)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 100 12.79 (+0.03)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 150000 3.87 (+0.04)          Moana (MOAN1) 10177 239.12 (-0.53)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 3 35.23 (-0.07)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 4 58.32 (+0.22)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 5 12.79 (-0.06)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 14 14.08 (-0.16)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 5 42.42 (-0.14)          Joseph Kosinski (JKOSI) 1000 132.88 (-0.32)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 110 18.94 (-0.04)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 12500 48.02 (+8.02)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 90768 27.41 (-0.05)          The Uprising aka The Hood (THOOD) 10 8.11 (+0.05)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 4 35.23 (-0.07)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 14 16.40 (+0.20)          Wife & Dog (WIFDG) 18 13.23 (-0.18)