SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Number: Ninja Turtles should neck out a victory

Three new films hit the multiplexes this week joined by three wide expansion of films already in limited releases. None are likely to dethrone Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles [TMNT1]. Even with a 55% dropoff in its second weekend, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles would still bank $30 million, which should be enough to hold off the newcomers.

Sylvester Stallone [SSTAL] has added more old stars to the action sequel The Expendables 3 [XPND3]. After a couple of R-rated outings, the third film has gone PG-13 rated in hopes of capturing a younger audience. However, an untimely leak of the finished film on the internet has threatened its box office potential, despite the best efforts of Lionsgate marketing. While the first film debuted at $34.8 million, the second dropped to $28.6 million and the trend is likely to continue. Attacking 3221 theaters, The Expendables 3 may blow up $23 million.

R-rated buddy comedies have performed well this year and Let’s Be Cops [LBCOP] hopes to be latest to succeed. Although the film lacks starpower, the premise is easy enough to explain and sell. The trailers have been funny, and Fox got the word of mouth going with a Wednesday opening that grossed an impressive $5.2 million. Serving 2936 theaters, Let’s Be Cops should be able to arrest $22 million from Friday through Sunday.

One of the original dystopian sci-fi novel for young adults, The Giver [GIVER] finally gets a PG-13 rated adaptation from The Weinstein Co.. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] takes the lead role as a boy who learns the truth about his perfect society. Jeff Bridges [JBRID] and Meryl Streep [MSTRE] star in supporting roles to attract moviegoers who read the 1993 novel when they were younger. Aside from The Hunger Games and Divergent, other YA sci-fi adaptations have mostly missed. The Giver could take in $18 million from 3003 locations.

After 3 weeks of limited release, Magic in the Moonlight [MGCML] expands wide into 964 theaters. Woody Allen fans should contribute about $3 million.

After earning more than $10.5 million in 5 weeks, Boyhood [GROWN] ups its theater count to 711. With rave reviews and award buzz, Boyhood looks to grow another $2 million.

The romantic comedy What If [FWORD] also expands wide into 786 theaters and Daniel Radcliffe [DRADC] could attract $2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): TMNT1, SSTAL, XPND3, LBCOP, GIVER, BTHWA, JBRID, MSTRE, MGCML, GROWN, FWORD, DRADC

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 14, 2014 @ 03:18 PM 2643 views

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Moana 2 - Opening Weekend Wed-Su (MOAN2.OW) 100000 133.95 (+1.10)          Moana 2 H$130 Call Wed-Sun (MOAN2.CA) 25000 3.67 (+0.12)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          The Last Train From Hiroshima (TLTFH) 149975 47.49 (+0.38)          The Amateur (AMTUR) 149975 37.96 (-0.23)          Weekend in Taipei (WKNTP) 150000 4.35 (-0.28)          Venom: The Last Dance (VENM3) 5000 140.27 (-0.35)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 5 5.00 (0.00)          Red One (REDON) 125556 82.98 (-3.80)          Nick Kroll (NKROL) 25000 73.51 (-1.25)          Nick Kroll (NKROL) 25000 73.51 (-1.25)          Lucy Liu (LLIU) 25000 65.40 (-0.75)          Andra Day (ADAY) 25000 52.79 (+0.33)          Rule Breakers (RULBR) 15000 6.72 (+1.10)          Lucy Liu (LLIU) 25000 65.40 (-0.75)          Levon's Trade aka Levon Cade (LEVON) 50000 24.47 (+1.18)          Die, My Love (DIMLV) 50000 9.16 (+1.45)          Chris Evans (CEVAN) 25000 173.17 (-1.50)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 75000 29.23 (+4.23)          Chris Evans (CEVAN) 25000 173.17 (-1.50)          Red One (REDON) 20000 82.98 (-3.80)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 8.99 (-0.01)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 8.99 (-0.01)          Barbarella (BARBA) 1 45.59 (0.00)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 1 34.12 (-0.36)          Red One (REDON) 8339 82.98 (-3.80)          Red One (REDON) 115082 82.98 (-3.80)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 150000 24.93 (-0.56)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 150000 24.93 (-0.56)          Rule Breakers (RULBR) 150000 6.72 (+1.10)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 150000 22.63 (+0.04)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 150000 22.63 (+0.04)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Red One (REDON) 135999 82.98 (-3.80)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 50000 5.00 (0.00)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 29.23 (+4.23)          Red One (REDON) 918 82.98 (-3.80)          Adrien Brody (ABROD) 10 9.49 (0.00)          Bag Man (BAGMN) 150000 1.60 (-0.08)          Bag Man (BAGMN) 150000 1.60 (-0.08)          Famous (FAMOS) 150000 18.98 (-1.56)          Famous (FAMOS) 150000 18.98 (-1.56)          Rule Breakers (RULBR) 150000 6.72 (+1.10)          Rule Breakers (RULBR) 150000 6.72 (+1.10)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 29.23 (+4.23)          Die, My Love (DIMLV) 150000 9.16 (+1.45)          Levon's Trade aka Levon Cade (LEVON) 150000 24.47 (+1.18)          Rule Breakers (RULBR) 150000 6.72 (+1.10)          28 Years Later Part II (28LT4) 150000 54.98 (+0.72)