SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Alice in Wonderland to trip up four new releases.

Moviegoers were apparently really starved for a new 3D film, especially a fresh spin on the classic story Alice in Wonderland [ALCNW] reuniting Tim Burton [TBURT] and Johnny Depp [JDEPP].  However, the fantasy film is unlikely to have the legs of its 3D predecessor, Avatar after its multiple record-breaking debut.  Alice in Wonderland could be headed for a tumble of more than 50% to come through its second weekend at about $54 million.

Matt Damon [MDAMO] reteams with director Paul Greengrass [PGREE] for the R-rated actioner Green Zone [GREZN]. Originally based on the non-fiction book "Imperial Life in the Emerald City" which explained how the U.S. bungled post-war Iraq, the film has instead been turned fictionalized into an American solider going rogue in search of the truth.  Since films about war and politics in the Middle East have not fared well at the box office, Universal has smartly marketed Green Zone like it was a Bourne sequel.  However, the R-rated film is still unlikely to recover its production cost of at least $140 million. Green Zone could dig up just $21 million from 3003 locations.  

The success of Knocked Up with its improbable coupling has inspired another nerdy-loser-gets-the-hot-girl movie in She’s Out of My League [SHOML]. The R-rated raunchy comedy hopes to appeal to the same young crowd drawn to I Love You, Man, which opened to $17.8 million last year.  However, the DreamWorks film lacks the star power of the typical Apatow film in this genre. Opening in 2956 theater, She’s Out of My League could score $13 million on its first date.

Summit will see if Twilight fans will follow Rob Pattinson [RPATT] to another film with Remember Me [REMBR].  The PG-13 rated romance is targeted strictly at ladies who swoon for the young heartthrob. Playing in 2212 theaters, Remember Me could tally $11 million in its debut.

Forest Whitaker [FWHIT] clashes cultures with Carlos Mencia [CMENC] in the PG-13 rated Our Family Wedding [FAMWD].  Also starring America Ferrera [AFERR], the interracial romantic comedy from Fox Searchlight film is aimed at the urban audience.  Stepping into 1605 theaters, Our Family Wedding could walk away with at least $9 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): ALCNW, TBURT, JDEPP, MDAMO, PGREE, GREZN, SHOML, RPATT, REMBR, FWHIT, CMENC, FAMWD, AFERR

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 11, 2010 @ 03:48 PM 4165 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Baby Driver 2 (BDRV2) 150000 7.94 (-0.03)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.50 (+0.50)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.50 (+0.50)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 49.61 (-0.52)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 127446 200.50 (+0.50)          Star Trek Origin Story (TREK4) 150000 44.28 (-0.30)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 111478 200.50 (+0.50)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 49325 126.83 (-5.29)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 150000 17.65 (-0.35)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 49325 126.83 (-5.29)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.50 (+0.50)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 147.50 (+0.79)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.50 (+0.50)          Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 124748 182.07 (-0.35)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 126.83 (-5.29)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 5000 223.56 (-5.00)          Wife & Dog (WIFDG) 50000 15.79 (-0.07)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 126.83 (-5.29)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 126.83 (-5.29)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 126.83 (-5.29)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 5000 205.04 (-10.89)          Temuera Morrison (TMORR) 25000 157.52 (-1.00)          Temuera Morrison (TMORR) 25000 157.52 (-1.00)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 50000 371.42 (-1.56)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.50 (+0.50)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 150000 223.56 (-5.00)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.50 (+0.50)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 150000 223.56 (-5.00)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.50 (+0.50)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 150000 17.65 (-0.35)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 205.04 (-10.89)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 150000 223.56 (-5.00)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.50 (+0.50)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 130733 200.50 (+0.50)          Wicked $360M Blockbuster Warrant (WICKD.BW) 25000 10.28 (+0.54)          Gladiator II $150M Blockbuster W (GLAD2.BW) 25000 10.22 (+0.34)          CBS: Watson (WATSON) 25000 12.64 (-0.21)          CBS: Watson (WATSON) 25000 12.64 (-0.21)          Spider-Man Untitled (SPID9) 100000 367.15 (+1.93)          Tron: Ares (TRON3) 126454 113.02 (+0.27)          Y2K (Y2K) 150000 4.75 (-0.08)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFCN) 10000 147.00 (+3.09)          Y2K (Y2K) 150000 4.75 (-0.08)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 10000 126.83 (-5.29)          Dog Man (DOGM1) 149999 54.53 (-0.74)          Avatar: Fire and Ash aka Avatar (AVAT3) 150000 435.35 (-1.31)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 149999 107.95 (+0.11)          The Unbreakable Boy (UNBOY) 50000 8.36 (-1.71)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 50000 4.17 (-0.58)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 50000 223.56 (-5.00)