SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: Cars 2 races for more money.

Although 2006’s Cars is generally considered one of Pixar’s lesser films, that didn’t stop Disney from producing the sequel Cars 2 [CARS2]. Cars is Disney’s most lucrative brand generating billions annually in merchandising. To keep that gravy train rolling, Lightning and Mater return for a new adventure that takes them around the world in a spy caper. Cars 2 is getting the worst reviews of any Pixar films, but that’s not gonna matter to boys who play with the toys. Though the G-rated film may not appeal to teens as well as adults who frequented previous Pixar offerings. Toy Story 3’s $110 million opening last year is out of reach, but the sequel should improve on Cars’ $60 million debut.   Cars 2 should appeal to enough families to drive away with $72 million from 4115 locations.

Sony hopes its R-rated comedy Bad Teacher [BDTCH] follows in the success of this summer’s Bridesmaids and The Hangover Part II. The cast of Cameron Diaz [CDIAZ], Jason Segel [JSEGE] and Justin Timberlake [JTIMB] are all likeable and each brings fans of their own. The trailers and TV spots have been funny, which should bring out moviegoers looking for a laugh. Opening in 3049 theaters, Bad Teacher could earn $24 million.

Green Lantern [GLANT] did not shine as bright as Warner Bros. hoped in its debut. With its opening weekend already frontloaded to Friday, the superhero film is not crossing over to a broader audience. Green Lantern looks to drop more than 55% to about $22 million.

The sci-fi film Super 8 [SUPR8] should be in line for another 60% hold this weekend, which would net another $13 million.

With competition for the family audience from Cars 2, Mr. Popper’s Penguins [POPNG] is likely to drop 50% to around $9 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): CARS2, BDTCH, CDIAZ, JSEGE, JTIMB, GLANT, SUPR8, POPNG

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, June 23, 2011 @ 03:54 PM 6380 views

Recent Comments

ITGeek
Thursday, June 23 at 19:44 PM Pacific
it isn't often that i disagree with you and I have never posted any opposing remarks but I think you are nuts. Cars 2 is going to be huge. Likely not a TS3 but it should have no problems hitting $90M opening weekend. It has just barely been passed by t
ITGeek
Thursday, June 23 at 19:46 PM Pacific
oops... too many chars... TS3 merch sales barely passed Cars and with only one movie so far I think those sales have to be considered. If it makes less than $90M opening I will be shocked but only slightly surprised if it passes $110M.


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Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 48.73 (+8.73)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 48.73 (+8.73)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 1000 48.75 (-1.10)          Pressure (PRSUR) 2000 13.36 (-1.67)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 2999 181.24 (-0.07)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 5000 315.24 (-2.37)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 149999 9.46 (+0.13)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 7.11 (+0.91)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 7.11 (+0.91)          Obsession (OBSSN) 3684 108.22 (+12.74)          Pressure (PRSUR) 2000 13.36 (-1.67)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 19.09 (-1.74)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 19.09 (-1.74)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 1 59.99 (+0.01)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 21.70 (-0.04)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 1 9.46 (+0.13)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 1 9.46 (+0.13)          Fonda (FONDA) 1 9.66 (+0.04)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 5446 18.59 (+0.28)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 5144 55.72 (+0.17)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 9.08 (-0.04)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 3.92 (+0.33)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 3.92 (+0.33)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 54.08 (-0.82)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 149999 12.74 (-0.10)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 149034 84.61 (+2.33)          Scary Movie - Opening Weekend (SCAR6.OW) 100000 43.90 (+0.53)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 15.66 (+0.31)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 176.58 (-5.22)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 176.58 (-5.22)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 149999 531.04 (-1.57)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 16900 18.59 (+0.28)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Crime After Crime (CACRM) 150000 2.13 (-0.02)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 9.63 (+0.32)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 55 358.53 (+3.82)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 2654 18.59 (+0.28)          When We Pray (WPRAY) 150000 0.03 (-0.03)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 20000 6.65 (+0.23)          Scary Movie H$35 Call (SCAR6.CA) 25000 4.58 (+0.20)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 40000 6.65 (+0.23)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 99.90 (+2.16)          Scary Movie - Opening Weekend (SCAR6.OW) 100000 43.90 (+0.53)          Peddi (PEDDI) 150000 2.59 (0.00)          Peddi (PEDDI) 150000 2.59 (0.00)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 12.30 (+0.61)          Fatherland aka 1949 (FTHRL) 150000 4.70 (+0.06)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 48.47 (+0.23)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 32.42 (+0.05)