SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: Cars 2 races for more money.

Although 2006’s Cars is generally considered one of Pixar’s lesser films, that didn’t stop Disney from producing the sequel Cars 2 [CARS2]. Cars is Disney’s most lucrative brand generating billions annually in merchandising. To keep that gravy train rolling, Lightning and Mater return for a new adventure that takes them around the world in a spy caper. Cars 2 is getting the worst reviews of any Pixar films, but that’s not gonna matter to boys who play with the toys. Though the G-rated film may not appeal to teens as well as adults who frequented previous Pixar offerings. Toy Story 3’s $110 million opening last year is out of reach, but the sequel should improve on Cars’ $60 million debut.   Cars 2 should appeal to enough families to drive away with $72 million from 4115 locations.

Sony hopes its R-rated comedy Bad Teacher [BDTCH] follows in the success of this summer’s Bridesmaids and The Hangover Part II. The cast of Cameron Diaz [CDIAZ], Jason Segel [JSEGE] and Justin Timberlake [JTIMB] are all likeable and each brings fans of their own. The trailers and TV spots have been funny, which should bring out moviegoers looking for a laugh. Opening in 3049 theaters, Bad Teacher could earn $24 million.

Green Lantern [GLANT] did not shine as bright as Warner Bros. hoped in its debut. With its opening weekend already frontloaded to Friday, the superhero film is not crossing over to a broader audience. Green Lantern looks to drop more than 55% to about $22 million.

The sci-fi film Super 8 [SUPR8] should be in line for another 60% hold this weekend, which would net another $13 million.

With competition for the family audience from Cars 2, Mr. Popper’s Penguins [POPNG] is likely to drop 50% to around $9 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): CARS2, BDTCH, CDIAZ, JSEGE, JTIMB, GLANT, SUPR8, POPNG

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, June 23, 2011 @ 03:54 PM 6268 views

Recent Comments

ITGeek
Thursday, June 23 at 19:44 PM Pacific
it isn't often that i disagree with you and I have never posted any opposing remarks but I think you are nuts. Cars 2 is going to be huge. Likely not a TS3 but it should have no problems hitting $90M opening weekend. It has just barely been passed by t
ITGeek
Thursday, June 23 at 19:46 PM Pacific
oops... too many chars... TS3 merch sales barely passed Cars and with only one movie so far I think those sales have to be considered. If it makes less than $90M opening I will be shocked but only slightly surprised if it passes $110M.



Molly Gordon (MGORD) 25000 26.13 (+1.13)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 7.70 (-0.30)          Trey Parker (TPARK) 1000 66.27 (+0.27)          Trey Parker (TPARK) 1000 66.27 (+0.27)          Marisa Abela (MABEL) 3000 9.48 (0.00)          Houdini (TSLOH) 150000 0.03 (+0.01)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 1 15.12 (-1.08)          Marisa Abela (MABEL) 2000 9.48 (0.00)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 150000 72.00 (-1.44)          Nicholas Galitzine (NGALI) 3000 8.48 (-0.06)          Nicholas Galitzine (NGALI) 2000 8.48 (-0.06)          Houdini (TSLOH) 150000 0.03 (+0.01)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 60.62 (-2.60)          The Invite (TINVT) 50000 10.50 (-0.36)          Artificial (AIFIC) 30000 22.47 (-0.08)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 2.88 (+0.14)          The Invite (TINVT) 2000 10.50 (-0.36)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 1.14 (-0.26)          The Invite (TINVT) 2000 10.50 (-0.36)          Artificial (AIFIC) 33334 22.47 (-0.08)          Whalefall (WHALF) 1000 28.75 (-0.06)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 24.52 (-0.84)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 3.87 (+0.58)          Whalefall (WHALF) 1000 28.75 (-0.06)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 2000 13.30 (-0.53)          Barbarella (BARBA) 1000 30.04 (-0.05)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 2000 13.30 (-0.53)          Barbarella (BARBA) 1000 30.04 (-0.05)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.72 (-0.58)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 117.75 (-4.08)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 3000 5.00 (0.00)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 3000 10.00 (0.00)          Molly Gordon (MGORD) 1000 26.13 (+1.13)          Peaked (PEAKD) 3000 7.70 (-0.30)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 1000 41.40 (-5.72)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 8000 28.13 (-0.13)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 2.96 (-0.53)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 2.96 (-0.53)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 447.50 (-1.19)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 28520 50.14 (0.00)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 23.43 (-1.11)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 23.43 (-1.11)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 10100 54.44 (-0.18)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 15.12 (-1.08)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Face/Off 2 (FCOF2) 60000 8.18 (-0.04)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 7.70 (-0.30)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 150000 21.08 (-0.10)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 75000 9.84 (-0.02)