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Whisper Numbers: Can anyone out earn The Help over Labor Day Weekend?

The summer movie season comes to an end as three new films open over the long Labor Day weekend. The sci-fi horror Apollo 18 [APO18] appears to have to best chance to break out. The Weinstein Co. film is the latest entry in the “lost footage” sub-genre of horror popularized by Paranormal Activity and purports to show what happened to the astronauts of a secret last mission to the moon. With a cast of unknowns, the film will have to draw on its premise alone. The PG-13 rating should bring out the teen target audience. Launching in 3328 theaters, Apollo 18 could land around $16 million over the four-day holiday weekend.

If Apollo 18 should falter, The Help [THELP] could hang on to the top spot for a third weekend. The drama recently crossed the $100 million mark and could add another $15 million over the long weekend.

Relativity unleashes its own PG-13 rated horror film with the self-explanatory titled Shark Night 3D [SHK3D]. Last year, Piranha 3D featuring R-rated gore and nudity took in $10.1 million. Shark Night 3D is opening against a glut of 3D horror competitors this year which have all under-performed. Released in 2806 theaters, Shark Night 3D may draw in $11 million through Monday.

Focus targets older adult moviegoers with the spy thriller The Debt [TDEBT] starring Sam Worthington [SWORT] and Helen Mirren [HMIRR]. The R-rated film has earned respectable reviews and opening on Wednesday, where it grossed $0.97 million, should spread the word of mouth. George Clooney’s The American also opened on the Wednesday before Labor Day last year grossing $1.7 million on its way to $16.7 million from Friday to Monday. With less starpower and only 1786 locations, The Debt could settle with $7 million over the four-day weekend.

After hurricane Irene took away some of its opening weekend business, the actioner Colombiana [CLMBA] looks to make up $7 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): APO18, THELP, SHK3D, TDEBT, SWORT, HMIRR, CLMBA

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, September 1, 2011 @ 03:10 PM 3298 views

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Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 55018 5.33 (+0.03)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 22.22 (-0.58)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 25000 18.53 (-0.06)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 22.22 (-0.58)          Dev Patel (DPATE) 20000 9.83 (0.00)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 94982 5.33 (+0.03)          Hershey (HERSH) 10000 12.43 (0.00)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 5000 491.66 (+0.80)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 50000 48.64 (-0.19)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 190 10.38 (0.00)          Primetime (PRMTM) 75000 22.22 (-0.58)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 35 218.10 (0.00)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 50 2.76 (0.00)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 195 8.10 (0.00)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 60.13 (+0.14)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 190 8.87 (0.00)          Voltron (VOLTN) 115 21.09 (0.00)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 1 20.00 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 50000 30.38 (+0.63)          Wind of Change (WNDOC) 400 4.16 (0.00)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 55 46.25 (0.00)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 66 56.68 (0.00)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 10000 100.50 (+0.60)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 185 8.76 (0.00)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 185 10.63 (0.00)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 13.72 (+0.36)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 48.64 (-0.19)          Pressure (PRSUR) 149997 13.72 (+0.36)          Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 15 76.42 (0.00)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 1100 242.99 (0.00)          Dave Franco (DFRAN) 20000 56.49 (+0.16)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 49 41.42 (+0.15)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 2 165.50 (0.00)          The Flood (FLOOD) 5 78.09 (+0.24)          Joni Mitchell biopic (JONIM) 10000 12.94 (-0.01)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 18 20.14 (+0.30)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 8000 491.66 (+0.80)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 5 81.99 (+0.25)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 4 491.66 (+0.80)          John C. Reilly (JCREI) 20000 44.26 (+0.16)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 5 52.84 (+0.15)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 4 135.52 (+0.33)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 4 117.95 (+0.32)          The Beast (TBEAS) 50 6.89 (-0.22)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 700 2.22 (-0.07)          Archangel aka Price of Freedom a (ARCNG) 5 16.03 (+0.06)          Fonda (FONDA) 149999 9.69 (+0.03)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 9 43.01 (+0.30)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 18 65.76 (-0.97)          James Corden (JCORD) 20000 30.34 (-0.12)