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Playing & Trading Strategy

I'll take a stab at it...

Posted by: tealfan on May 21, 17:26 in response to zao111's post Any advice for playing summer blockbusters?

Opening Weekend
Keep an eye on the tracking numbers (MTC, BTC, RS) and the estimates/projections that come out Friday night.  Then play accordingly.  But if you already play openers during the year, then you probably already know this stuff.

Delists
Kids movies (especially your Pixars & your animated features) are almost always delists longs.  Understandable since the kids are going to the movies even on weekdays.

StarBonds
Be sure to play the StarBonds for the blockbusters ($100M or more).  Movies that make $250M or more make the math especially easy, since you know the cutoff is at $250M.

Blockbuster Warrants
Don't forget these.  Usually after a blockbuster's 2nd weekend actuals, Antibody decides on the strike price and adds the BW to the Calendar.

Finally, Box Office Mojo is your friend.  It's a treasure trove of box office numbers - past & present.  Good luck!

 





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Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 25000 149.00 (0.00)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 22.11 (+2.11)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 300 149.00 (0.00)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 25000 149.00 (0.00)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 84 2.52 (0.00)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 25000 149.00 (0.00)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 1 3.82 (-0.45)          Obsession - Opening Weekend (OBSSN.OW) 35000 5.96 (-0.25)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Scandalous (SCAND) 2 6.35 (-0.03)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150000 99.45 (-1.89)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150000 99.45 (-1.89)          Olivia Holt (OHOLT) 25000 12.31 (-0.51)          Octet (OCTET) 5959 22.11 (+2.11)          Lena Headey (LHEAD) 25000 7.84 (-6.63)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 900 3.82 (-0.45)          Jack Reynor (JREYN) 25000 17.36 (-0.93)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 2 83.94 (-0.65)          Ben Wheatley (BWHEA) 25000 18.18 (+0.33)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 93000 8.97 (+0.94)          Fonda (FONDA) 75000 9.26 (+1.17)          Fonda (FONDA) 16564 9.26 (+1.17)          Voltron (VOLTN) 150000 22.28 (-0.34)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 5.05 (-0.27)          Jack Reynor (JREYN) 25000 17.36 (-0.93)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 5.05 (-0.27)          Is God Is (ISGOD) 45000 12.52 (+0.46)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 17755 149.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 291.36 (-1.02)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 990 3.82 (-0.45)          American Psycho (APSYC) 12000 18.75 (-0.12)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 291.36 (-1.02)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 16066 87.50 (+0.41)          Fonda (FONDA) 75000 9.26 (+1.17)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 17.22 (+0.54)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 17.22 (+0.54)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 22755 149.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 87.36 (-0.69)          Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 75000 7.37 (-0.07)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 9.26 (+1.17)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 87.36 (-0.69)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 22.11 (+2.11)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 25000 23.68 (-0.37)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 9.26 (+1.17)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 22.11 (+2.11)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 34990 3.82 (-0.45)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 100564 4.38 (-0.08)