HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

I'll take a stab at it...

Posted by: tealfan on May 21, 17:26 in response to zao111's post Any advice for playing summer blockbusters?

Opening Weekend
Keep an eye on the tracking numbers (MTC, BTC, RS) and the estimates/projections that come out Friday night.  Then play accordingly.  But if you already play openers during the year, then you probably already know this stuff.

Delists
Kids movies (especially your Pixars & your animated features) are almost always delists longs.  Understandable since the kids are going to the movies even on weekdays.

StarBonds
Be sure to play the StarBonds for the blockbusters ($100M or more).  Movies that make $250M or more make the math especially easy, since you know the cutoff is at $250M.

Blockbuster Warrants
Don't forget these.  Usually after a blockbuster's 2nd weekend actuals, Antibody decides on the strike price and adds the BW to the Calendar.

Finally, Box Office Mojo is your friend.  It's a treasure trove of box office numbers - past & present.  Good luck!

 





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The Rule of Jenny Pen (TROJP) 150000 1.95 (0.00)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 405.59 (+4.02)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 405.59 (+4.02)          The Rule of Jenny Pen (TROJP) 149998 1.95 (0.00)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 17.15 (+1.80)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 405.59 (+4.02)          The Strangers: Chapter 2 (STRN4) 150000 18.03 (-0.10)          The Strangers: Chapter 2 (STRN4) 150000 18.03 (-0.10)          Clayface (CLAYF) 149999 73.33 (+0.25)          Dog Man (DOGM1) 149983 84.44 (-0.91)          Dog Man (DOGM1) 149983 84.44 (-0.91)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 405.59 (+4.02)          Dog Man (DOGM1) 4 84.44 (-0.91)          Dog Man (DOGM1) 4 84.44 (-0.91)          Dog Man (DOGM1) 4 84.44 (-0.91)          Dog Man (DOGM1) 4 84.44 (-0.91)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 405.59 (+4.02)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 139660 208.13 (-2.19)          Beneath the Storm (BSTRM) 150000 22.69 (-0.16)          Beneath the Storm (BSTRM) 150000 22.69 (-0.16)          Sgt. Rock (SGROC) 15000 53.26 (+0.31)          Smurfs (SMRF4) 998 48.21 (-0.10)          Dog Man (DOGM1) 7 84.44 (-0.91)          Dog Man (DOGM1) 1 84.44 (-0.91)          Couture aka Stitches (STCHS) 150000 5.80 (+1.03)          Couture aka Stitches (STCHS) 150000 5.80 (+1.03)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 150000 74.32 (-1.12)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 150000 74.32 (-1.12)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 130787 297.66 (-0.41)          Couture aka Stitches (STCHS) 25000 5.80 (+1.03)          Together (TGETR) 150000 11.20 (-0.89)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 20000 17.15 (+1.80)          Next Life (NEXLF) 25000 5.03 (+1.06)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 405.59 (+4.02)          Couture aka Stitches (STCHS) 25000 5.80 (+1.03)          GOAT (TGOAT) 7499 27.74 (-0.75)          Emilia Perez - Best Picture (A5PEMI) 24998 0.02 (+0.01)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 4000 66.67 (-0.05)          Emilia Perez - Best Picture (A5PEMI) 24998 0.02 (+0.01)          Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out M (KNIV3) 100 5.65 (+0.95)          GOAT (TGOAT) 15077 27.74 (-0.75)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 150000 26.44 (-0.16)          Philly (PHILY) 150000 5.62 (+0.48)          Philly (PHILY) 150000 5.62 (+0.48)          Philly (PHILY) 150000 5.62 (+0.48)          Philly (PHILY) 150000 5.62 (+0.48)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 7.63 (+0.71)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 7.63 (+0.71)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 7.63 (+0.71)          Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out M (KNIV3) 150000 5.65 (+0.95)