HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

It's basically just a law that says that given a large enough set of data (in this case, plays as Classic Cash), that the expected average..

Posted by: Willroast on Jul 17, 05:38 in response to edzep - Port Monkey!'s post Never heard of that law, and, I'm no statistician. But,...

will eventually be met. So even if you did lose 30 times in a row once, if you took a sample of 300 attempts, you would eventually average about 1 in 7 winning. So you are right that, given a long enough amount of time, you'd end up averaging close to 4 wins a month.

It sounds like common sense, but common sense never starts that way rather it becomes common sense over time.

Classic Cash & You strange Jul 15, 14:29

Nope, doesn't work {nm} JDolphin Jul 15, 15:06

I always pick Sunset Blvd., just because {nm} daveart Jul 15, 15:13

Not always, I pick The Birds Every time and am lucky to win once a week...if that. {nm} aggie2145 Jul 15, 15:18

I always pock the {nm} gibster420 Jul 15, 23:30

I pick the 2nd one, failed 3 times in a row so should be due for a win soon! {nm} gibster420 Jul 15, 23:31

I once did an experiment and picked the last one 30 days straight and didn't win once {nm} JDolphin Jul 16, 02:08

once i won it 3 days in a row....i'll never see that kind of luck again...now if i win once a month i throw a party lol! {nm} horrorfanatic Jul 16, 13:11

Law Of Large Numbers says that you should be winning about 3x a month... RazorHawk Jul 16, 14:57

He have about a 1per chance3 to lose 30 times in a row {nm} mishra Jul 16, 15:24

Never heard of that law, and, I'm no statistician. But, shouldn't wins average out to 4x a month, with 1 in 7 chance each time? {nm} edzep - Port Monkey! Jul 17, 04:31

It's basically just a law that says that given a large enough set of data (in this case, plays as Classic Cash), that the expected average.. Willroast Jul 17, 05:38

Yes - or 4.34523809524 per Month (on Average) to be a bit more Precise. RotoHockeyYTD2014 Jul 17, 05:39

OOPS - 6.46 is Average Number of Days for a Win. RotoHockeyYTD2014 Jul 17, 05:43

I'm no statistician either.... RazorHawk Jul 17, 06:04

To answer the end, 1 in 7 each day. {nm} DTravel Jul 17, 12:55

it should average out to that but if you know statistics....sometimes you could win 3 or 4 times in a row or go through steak of losing. {nm} mishra Jul 17, 14:38

It might be a fluke, but I seem to win more if I pick the first poster that pops up. {nm} avandelay Jul 17, 10:40





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


One Punch Man (1PMAN) 1000 15.56 (-0.02)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 50000 11.46 (-0.54)          Regretting You (RGRTU) 1000 22.38 (-0.04)          Ballerina Overdrive (BALOD) 1000 12.74 (-0.04)          Boner aka Rise (VIAGR) 3000 4.89 (-0.05)          Metal Men (METAL) 1000 14.17 (-0.06)          Stuntnuts: The Movie (STUNT) 1000 21.65 (-0.07)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 1000 15.18 (-0.08)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 149999 135.91 (+0.01)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Killing Gawker (KGAWK) 1000 20.35 (-0.08)          The Last Disturbance Of Madeline (LDOMH) 1000 10.47 (-0.10)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 1000 17.25 (-0.12)          After the Hunt (AFTHU) 1000 13.54 (-0.13)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 1000 35.98 (-0.18)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 1000 23.49 (-0.25)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 10000 7.03 (+2.26)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 1000 37.06 (-0.57)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 20000 9.06 (+1.60)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 200 9.06 (+1.60)          America Ferrera (AFERR) 25000 107.54 (0.00)          Andy Serkis (ASERK) 20000 171.61 (-0.95)          Heretic (HERTC) 150000 25.57 (-1.66)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Heretic (HERTC) 150000 25.57 (-1.66)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 80000 7.03 (+2.26)          Barbarella (BARBA) 150000 45.04 (-0.42)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 9.06 (+1.60)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 7.03 (+2.26)          Werewolves - Opening Weekend (WEREW.OW) 100000 5.28 (+0.28)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 22496 174.50 (-2.05)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 9000 18.69 (-0.71)          The Governesses (GVRNS) 29998 0.10 (-0.01)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 1000 18.69 (-0.71)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 10000 11.46 (-0.54)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 8000 11.46 (-0.54)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 10000 24.57 (+0.45)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 20000 11.46 (-0.54)          The Wild Robot $105M Blockbuster (TWRBT.BW) 25000 16.20 (+0.28)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 10000 79.11 (+0.10)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 150000 24.57 (+0.45)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 150000 24.57 (+0.45)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 150000 280.20 (+1.80)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 18.69 (-0.71)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 18.69 (-0.71)          The Last Disturbance Of Madeline (LDOMH) 50000 10.47 (-0.10)