Playing & Trading Strategy

Boxoffice.com long range forecast accuracy MattW Aug 07, 15:32

Very interesting. Thanks for your work! {NM} BackRowBrett Aug 07, 16:11

Great work. Thanks for putting this together. {nm} Willroast Aug 07, 16:34

Interesting how far off they are on many bigger releases... hyperzeitgeist Aug 07, 17:15

Interesting data, thanks MattW. I wish we had the same kind of analysis for OW Derivatives. {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Aug 08, 04:29

good stuff. I think one needs to compare BO vs. HSX at the time long range is published to see who is more accurate 12 wks out {nm} Oleg Max Aug 08, 06:49

You would have to factor in the Time Value of Money on HSX prices. {nm} Antibody Aug 08, 10:45

no - the TVM isn't relevant except to the individual investor, especially when we're looking at a valuation. {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Aug 08, 12:04

Wrong. It's precisely relevant for the reason you state. The price is an aggregate of all the individual investors. Antibody Aug 08, 12:35

C'mon- you know it's deviated based on a proprietary (dynamic) algorithm, thus invalid aggregate {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Aug 08, 13:55

HSX is an aggregate of all your collective wisdom. {nm} Antibody Aug 10, 09:43

One could suspect that there are a lot of tiny pebbles in that aggregate. :P DTravel Aug 10, 12:14